Joe Davis
@doeyjavis.bsky.social
Politics, campaigns, psychology, sportsball, root beer floats. The Great State of Minnesota. The Lynx were robbed. I'll try and do less stream of consciousness here, but no promises.
"White men who were selected for the draft subsequently expressed less negative attitudes toward Black people and toward policies designed to help them [...], suggesting that interracial contact during military service led to attitude change."
The Vietnam Draft Lottery and Whites’ Racial Attitudes: Evidence from the General Social Survey | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
The Vietnam Draft Lottery and Whites’ Racial Attitudes: Evidence from the General Social Survey - Volume 119 Issue 4
cambridge.org
DCCC and HMP are getting behind Lawrence in MI07 pretty quickly
I encourage all of us to have the grace and focus shown in this going up within minutes of the race being called.
Hell yes lock it in everyone. Next week it’s the same expectations of the losing side, whomever that may be.
This is the way. Left, middle, blah blah blah new made up trending faction… get after it in the primary and then we lock in. haleyformi.com/haley-steven...
haleyformi.com
“Wow turnout was completely unprecedented” and “Wow the polls were so wrong” sit down at the bar and
What is truly "shocking" about the polling miss in Michigan is that it is completely average for a primary "The expected error on the margin between two primary candidates in a race for governor or U.S. Senate is a whopping 13.0 points." blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/2026-texas...
Do we really know who's leading the Texas Senate races?
Primary polls have historically been rather unreliable, and a surge in new primary voters means turnout assumptions matter more than usual
blog.fiftyplusone.news
Polling is like really fucked. Strikes me as a huge problem honestly.
Democratic socialist this, liberal that, conservative this… Yes, some of us organize our beliefs around these labels. Yes, some of these labels can be made scary by political elites. But, despite v old arguments on this topic, we often project onto others our own sophisticated thoughts abt this.
It would be substantialy more reasonable to require everyone in the legislature to resign if 80% of voters reject an amendment they proposed.
Makes me think of Zuckerberg’s “but people have a demand for 5.5 friends, so let’s put ai bots everywhere!)
But the more interesting question is what happened downstream. Did talking to AI make people feel less lonely? Surprisingly, no! It did the opposite. It actually increased loneliness.
But the more interesting question is what happened downstream. Did talking to AI make people feel less lonely? Surprisingly, no! It did the opposite. It actually increased loneliness.
Isn’t the sales tax thing going down in flames in Missouri part of the MNGOP platform now?
Two more GOP amendments go down to crushing defeats, both in MO. #4 would have made future ballot initiatives impossible to pass by requiring winning a majority statewide *and* in each congressional district. #5 would have eliminated the state income tax.
When attentions checks go horribly wrong lololol
“Please ignore the question and select Crime and Education”
I saw one of his pieces at the Palm Springs Art Museum and it was fabulous
It's Textile Tuesday, and you know what that means: a piece by artist Faig Ahmed called "The Dragons of Karabakh" that's woven to look like an antique Central Asian carpet is melting off the wall into a puddle. More about the artist here: faigahmed.com
That was too hard on the ai email senders, but please do stop it.
Do I know any finance director types who would be interested in a highly competitive House race gig?
One city department shouldn't be able to go so far over budget that it wrecks the rest of the enterprise, imho.
More than 100 city employees could be laid off in Minneapolis in the first major layoffs in 16 years as the city faces a $33 million budget gap.
One more interesting point: this spring I sat down with Sharyn Alfonsi of 60 Minutes for an extensive interview about my Epstein investigation. Subsequently, CBS pulled the segment and fired the reporter. The MAGA buyout of media has unquestionably aided the Trump administration’s cover up here.
Bombshell new report out from my investigators this morning spanning our four year investigation into Jeffrey Epstein’s financial records. This report shows exactly how Wall Street protected Epstein and enabled his sex trafficking for decades. Mega thread following with some key points:
I can’t get beyond the idea that someone thought “Yeah, Eric Adams is the guy to send to Rapids to sell data centers” I can’t think of a single reason why you’d think it would work besides “oh these Wisconsin flyover idiots will think former big city mayor is from the future!!!” Or some nonsense
A video taken Saturday shows former NYC Mayor Eric Adams in sales pitch mode in Wisconsin Rapids, as he's heckled by residents opposed to the data center he's trying to sell them on. "My name is Eric Adams," he begins, as the boos begin to rain down. "You belong in prison!" one attendee shouts.
On Jan. 11, Gregory Bovino watched as his Border Patrol agents dragged a man out of his car at a St. Paul Speedway, knelt on his back until he lost consciousness, and dragged his limp body into the back of a van. The man's name is Orbin Mauricio Henriquez Serrano and this is his story.
Orbin Mauricio Henriquez Serrano survived a violent arrest in St. Paul. It still haunts him. • Minnesota Reformer
The morning of Jan. 11 began for Orbin Mauricio Henriquez Serrano with an ominous warning: The gas light on his Jeep Cherokee was glowing yellow on the dashboard. He didn’t want to go to work at the r...
minnesotareformer.com
Lynx fans. "Coffey Popup" at Bichota Coffee Saturday August 8th 8am-11am Lynx signs from @mrjohnsonpaints.bsky.social for $5, with every sign sold $1 will go to Juxtaposition Arts from @pentzhomes.bsky.social, 10% off all "Coffey" drinks and some other giveaways!
If Iran sent a bomb that disabled our water infrastructure, it would be massive news. If the President then took Iran’s side and blamed Minnesota, it would be treason. Why is this buried 2/3 down the @startribune.com page?
Plymouth and Maple Plain were hit in these cyberattacks. When the United States experiences an attack, we need a competent president who responds with common sense and a plan to fix it.
U.S. intelligence agencies have assessed that Iran was likely behind a coordinated cyberattack on more than 30 municipal water systems in Minnesota this week, according to several U.S. officials. The FBI is investigating the attack. https://wapo.st/4g36T0B
This is more than the NSF social sciences division - now on the chopping block - awarded in grants last year. Think about that: a single AI company has the money to fund more social science research than the US govt.
Anthropic AI research fund offers $5m - $30m for social science research on themes of AI impact on workers; transition initiatives; income support; building worker stakes; and wider evidence on public investments. Total fund of $200m available www.anthropic.com/news/economi...