yes of course we expect authors to check every citation what the fuck are you talking about
Geoff Lorenz
@geofflorenz.bsky.social
Training and researching artists of the possible at UNL. Scholar of Congress, interest groups, parties, and how to get us out of this mess. Every majority is a coalition.
🎉🚨New Publication 🚨🎉 Beyond thrilled this is finally out! First large-scale, cross-national database of parties' social group appeals — who they speak to, the stance they take towards the groups, and whether a policy is mentioned. 55 years, 8 European countries, fully public and available here:
dataverse.harvard.edu
British Journal of Political Science@bjpols.bsky.social · 5mo agoNEW - Who Do Parties Speak To? Introducing the PSoGA: A New Comprehensive Database of Parties’ Social Group Appeals https://cup.org/43fmXFj - @alonadolinsky.com, @lenamariahuber.bsky.social & @rwillh11.bsky.social #FirstView
I spend a lot of time thinking who the most effective members of Congress are, but @balint.house.gov , @rephuffman.bsky.social , @casten.house.gov are possibly among the raddest members of Congress!
Representative Becca Balint@balint.house.gov · 5mo agoLast night, I was proud to jam with @rephuffman.bsky.social and @casten.house.gov on stage at the Congressional Record! It was a great evening full of appreciation for the arts and recommitment to protecting its presence in our schools for our kids.
Super interesting!
Omar Wasow@owasow.bsky.social · 5mo ago“Writing is hard.” Thrilled to share that this simple idea led to a new paper in Political Analysis! Where most text methods focus on content, I test if expression is also effortful action. I find simple measures like character counts reveal attitudes and predict voting. cup.org/4cUmoXi 1/
Oof
Berna Devezer@devezer.bsky.social · 5mo ago📣 The difference between replicable and not replicable is not itself scientifically replicable. 📣 New work with Erkan Buzbas, showing that verdicts such as "X% of results replicated" are based on an inferential machinery that doesn't work. arxiv.org/abs/2604.26268
bsky.app/profile/atru... Some folks are using this as an example of why, say, Ds in general or Kamala Harris specifically obviously should not go on Rogan. In doing so, they fail the ice cream test. The point of going on Rogan isn't to persuade Rogan, it's to reach his audience.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 6mo agoJoe Rogan is standing directly behind Trump in the Oval Office
The Yale Report on Trust in Higher Education (president.yale.edu/sites/defaul...) does not deal directly with conservative attacks on higher ed, but that does not necessarily mean it has missed the ball. A thread:
president.yale.edu
We're hiring a Research Support Associate at MIT Political Science. Work with me, In Song Kim, Rich Nielsen, and Naoki Egami on methods and political economy. Great opportunity for those considering a PhD in the social sciences. One-year position with possible extension.
Term limits are bad. There’s very little waste and inefficiency in government.* Members of Congress are seriously underpaid. * this one may not apply to Trump-headed governments
M. Nolan Gray 🥑@mnolangray.bsky.social · 6mo agoWhat's something that experts/practitioners in your field universally agree upon, but that remains a "hot take" among the general public?
Many thanks to @mattgrossmann.bsky.social for having me on the @niskanencenter.bsky.social #ScienceofPolitics podcast to talk '26 midterms for the U.S. Senate & House! TLDR; battleground looks expanded for Senate Democrats compared to year ago thanks to candidate recruitment efforts. Take a listen!
Matt Grossmann@mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 7mo agoPredicting Congressional Election Results Presidential approval & ideological direction of public opinion, not economics or party conflict, predict election results. That looks good for Dems New #ScienceOfPolitics podcast/transcript with Carlos Algara www.niskanencenter.org/what-predict...
Many Americans may believe that Democrats support science and Republicans don’t—but research suggests that although the Trump administration’s hostility toward science is real, it isn’t matched by the rest of the GOP's, Alexander Furnas and Dashun Wang write.
The Republicans Made Peace With Science
The Trump administration’s hostility to science is real, but it isn’t matched by the rest of the GOP’s.
bit.ly
I know who needs to read this: political science does not require natural laws that apply unconditionally to be a science. It needs human beings to not be completely random or idiosyncratic in their behavior. I do agree that political science is hard in a way the physical sciences are not, though.
It's really true. I remember observing in his first term that Trump's worst interviews were often with friendly reporters.
Next year, I'm teaching graduate "scope & methods." I want to mix "what is political science," "how to write a paper", "research design for causal inference", and "how to increase the credibility and public value of political science." Any reading recs for 1st semester grad students?
Yet another fun thing going into my Research Design course next year.
Matt Graham@mattgraham.bsky.social · 10mo agoSurvey experiments' popularity in political science is getting attention. What is good and bad about them? How can one maximize their benefits and mitigate their downsides? Greg Huber and I wrote up our thoughts: Paywalled: doi.org/10.1016/bs.h... Free: m-graham.com/papers/Huber...
Teaching grad research design when I get back from sabbatical... so this'll come in handy!
Brendan Nyhan@brendannyhan.bsky.social · 10mo agoNeeded - larger samples, more realism about (the lack of) heterogeneous treatment effects: -"less than a third of proposed hypotheses were supported... the largest predictor of positive exp. results was sample size" -"moderation hypotheses were rarely significant" academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...
Look I know I'm old but I honestly had no idea that the Pomplamoose guy was the CEO of Patreon.
Opinion | I’m Building an Algorithm That Doesn’t Rot Your Brain
nytimes.com
One reason why any healthy democracy needs at least two relatively healthy political parties where each sometimes wins an election, and neither destroys the democratic system when it does, is that winning elections is hard. The idea that everyone who ever lost an election is stupid is not correct.
This is an incredibly simple and effective way to communicate an important (and pretty unfortunate) point.
Lee Drutman@leedrutman.bsky.social · 11mo agoThis is the sound of candidates losing the struggle against the crushing weight of partisan gravity. This is nationalization and polarization and presidentialization swallowing everything else. This is the dangerous collapse of dimensionality, in one chart leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-modera...
This is the sound of candidates losing the struggle against the crushing weight of partisan gravity. This is nationalization and polarization and presidentialization swallowing everything else. This is the dangerous collapse of dimensionality, in one chart leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-modera...
These numbers are striking.
Adam Bonin@adambonin.bsky.social · 11mo agoThe American people do not have confidence in the Roberts Court. Only 21% say they have "a great deal" or "quite a lot" of confidence in the Court; 79% say they have "very little" or only "some" confidence. (Economist/YouGov, n=1623) d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
Super glad to see this in print! It was a labor of love for @alexanderfurnas.com, @geofflorenz.bsky.social, and I -- we really love these data and think they have plenty of potential outside of this paper. Thanks to the Center for Effective Lawmaking for feedback! thelawmakers.org/legislative-...
thelawmakers.org
It's true. A few days before heading to MPSA (which was great!) I got word that I'm being tenured and promoted to Associate Professor, effective August. This career has been a gift, and I know that the institution of tenure is itself increasingly precious. I hope to use it well.
Tierney Lorenz@tierneylorenz.bsky.social · last yr.I spy @geofflorenz.bsky.social amongst this illustrious list: news.unl.edu/article/103-... Please go shower him with congratulations!
At conferences, I expect to meet people I’d only really known on social media. I didn’t expect one of them to have gone to my rival high school. @geofflorenz.bsky.social
a man in a suit with the words it 's a small world behind him
ALT: a man in a suit with the words it 's a small world behind him
media.tenor.com
Excited to share that my paper on citizen-to-citizen persuasion, co-authored with Carlos Rueda-Cañòn and @tjryan02.bsky.social, was just accepted at the Journal of Politics @thejop.bsky.social . Link: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... 🧵
Been wondering what to do with that awesome dissertation on legislative politics defended in the past two years? Nominate it for the Carl Albert Dissertation Award! Submission deadline March 30th! Link for deets (note: one nominee per degree-granting dept). connect.apsanet.org/s3/carl-albe...
Carl Albert Dissertation Award
connect.apsanet.org
🚨 New year, new working paper 🚨 "In Control but Incoherent: Institutional Power, Electoral Politics, and Message Discipline in Congress" with Gechun Lin (WUSTL). Available here: benjaminnoble.org/files/papers... Read on for the 🧵 version…
New Cambridge Element 'Cooperating Factions' by @blumrm.bsky.social & @profhansnoel.bsky.social is now free to read for 4 weeks! cup.org/4iqOjiu "This Element uses data on party leader endorsements in nominations to identify a network of party actors..." #cambridgeelements #politics
