@imparibus.bsky.social

L’OFCE rejoint désormais Bluesky 🦋 pour partager l’actualité de ses chercheurs 🥳. De nouvelles publications à suivre très prochainement 📊 📉👀!

81% of Americans consider foreign trade as an opportunity for economic growth, jumping 20 percentage points since last year. Those seeing it as more of a threat to the U.S. economy has fallen by half, to 14%.

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Because we've carefully collected data since forever, we're able to assemble this chart showing every D vs. R House special election compared to the most recent prior presidential election since Trump first won office. Last night's race in #FL01 saw the biggest Dem overperformance in 35 races.

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Trade data from this morning has driven a huge drop in the Atlanta Fed GDPNow real-time tracker for Q1 GDP. Today's data took it from 2.321% to -1.477%. What's going on? Let's do a little thread explaining.

Chart of Atlanta Fed GDPNow for past year

This period under Musk/Trump feels like early February in 2020—when a terrible thing was happening with breakneck speed, and the people paying close attention were hair-on-fire about it while the rest of the country carried on as normal.

Pas certain que tout ceux qui citent la phrase de Marc Bloch sur le sacre de Reims et la fête de la Fédération se rendent compte qu’elle est précédée d’un éloge de la grève de solidarité et suivie d’un hommage à l’esprit du Front populaire.

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