Daniel Drezner

@dandrezner.bsky.social

Political science professor, academic dean, writer, podcaster, shaker of hands with Mel Brooks — you know, the usual kinks.

A gracious concession: “I want to congratulate Abdul El-Sayed on winning the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate. He is a doctor, a community health official, a Rhodes Scholar, and a dedicated Michigander. I am proud to offer my support as he takes on Mike Rogers in the general election…

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The AP has also called the #MI13 Democratic primary for state Rep. Donavan McKinney, who defeats incumbent Shri Thanedar. McKinney is a progressive but likely appealed to many voters who wanted Detroit to have a Black congressman again.

My ice-cold boring take that will definitely not go viral is that a primary result with a margin of victory of roughly 1 percent tells you precisely nothing about The Future Of The Party.

“It’s not obvious at all that Rubio has provided any value-added over any other lapdog who would have occupied his position in his stead. Like everyone else, he has functioned as a yes man for Trump. Indeed, he has failed in both of his foreign policy roles.” - @dandrezner.bsky.social

Daniel Drezner@dandrezner.bsky.social · 4h ago

Marco Rubio is ostensibly neglecting his State Department duties to stay close to Trump and focus on the important stuff… except for the most important foreign policy quagmire of the day. danieldrezner.substack.com/p/why-isnt-m...

bluesky life hack: before you post about being bluesky-mobbed, or even let yourself *feel* like you're being bluesky mobbed, check your ratio. 100 nasty replies and 20 nasty QTs feels bad! You notice it! But if you've also gotten 2k likes and 600 regular RTs, you haven't found The Bluesky Problem.

"The thing is, Marco Rubio is not the Assistant Secretary of State for Latin America;he’s the president’s chief foreign policy advisor. He is supposed to be running the interagency policy process as well as the StateDepartment.And it’s becoming increasingly clear that he’s not running a damn thing."

Daniel Drezner@dandrezner.bsky.social · 4h ago

Marco Rubio is ostensibly neglecting his State Department duties to stay close to Trump and focus on the important stuff… except for the most important foreign policy quagmire of the day. danieldrezner.substack.com/p/why-isnt-m...

This plane landed in Myanmar about three hours ago. This is the third ICE flight to Myanmar this year. Burmese deportees in 2025 were immediately sent to a torture facility next to the airport, according to Myanmar Now. Weeks later, not all of them had emerged.

An FR24 map showing N59JE landing in Yangon and then continuing to Bangkok
Gillian Brockell@gillianbrockell.com · 23h ago

This likely ICE flight operated by Journey Aviation has taken off and appears to heading for an Asia removal. In May, this aircraft deported people to Myanmar.

An ADSBx map showing N62FF heading northwest out of Mesa, AZ and over the Pacific.

Whoever ends up winning the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan, I hope with little expectation that those who took seriously polls showing a rout for El-Sayed will think twice about relying on questionable and/or partisan polls.

Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe

Maybe this is right, I dunno. But overperforming in Shiawassee county (Thomas Dewey’s home, btw) & other small Repub counties means nothing if he’s overperforming in the big Dem counties. 150 vote margin for her in Shiawassee would get swamped by 15,000 margin in Kent.

VoteHub@votehub.com · 13h ago

From Zachary Donnini: “This is narrowing at a rapid rate and will come down to Wayne. Stevens is vastly outperforming expectations across a lot of whiter, less urban areas. El-Sayed exceeding his targets in Kent, Washtenaw, and Oakland. Stevens exceeding elsewhere.”

Republican power grabs in Kansas and Missouri are going down in flames with 18-25% of votes reported so far. Missouri's Amendment 4 aimed to make citizen-initiated constitutional amendments practically impossible. Kansas' Amendment 1 was designed to flip the state Supreme Court to ban abortion

This is a weird form of gaslighting MAGA is very fond of: They act like the preservation of core American traditions and norms that have been around for centuries is actually some wacky novelty. I guess because they want to pose as “conservatives” rather than the radicals they are.

Aaron Reichlin-Melnick@reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 16h ago

Senator Banks calls the Supreme Court’s decision not to change the law on birthright citizenship “the worst Supreme Court decision of my lifetime.” Keep in mind that he was born and lived his entire life under the legal interpretation of the 14th Amendment the Court kept in place.