⏳ Why are voters out of step with parties on immigration and redistribution? Hironao Yoda and Serika Atsumi study 16 Western European countries: newer cohorts link the two issues as parties do — older ones don't, so the gap should narrow with generational turnover. 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...

🧵 Just accepted @thejop.bsky.social, with @tswalve.bsky.social "What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success" Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Mukavia uutisia, väitöskirjaprojektin ensimmäinen tutkimusartikkeli on nyt julki Party Politicsissa (Open Access): doi.org/10.1177/1354... Artikkelissa tutkimme miten poliittisen puolueen edustama ideologia vaikuttaa sen ehdokkaiden erottautumisprioriteetteihin vaalikampanjassa.

What do parties do after severe and persistent electoral defeat? In a new paper recently published in Party Politics, I find that parties tend to focus more on their core issues but do not necessarily adopt more extreme positions: doi.org/10.1177/1354....

Does losing an election affect politicians' democratic attitudes? A large literature documents a winner–loser gap among voters, but evidence on political elites was long scarce. A series of recent studies has narrowed this gap. A thread on the state of the evidence. 🧵

New in @electoralstudies.bsky.social w/Justin F. Reeves: "Getting to know her: Information and gender bias in preferential voting systems." Can women's success in open-list PR elections be improved by (1) providing candidate information and/or (2) making preference voting compulsory? 🧵1/10

1/4. New article published: Can AI support Citizens' Assemblies? Jäske, Kulha, Leino, Setälä & Wessman tested GPT-4o in Finland's 2025 Energy Assembly. They identify 6 deliberative functions & tested AI in 3: inquiry, co-creation & integration @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @sagepub.com

New publication out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social! We know young voters vote for different parties and hold different attitudes than older citizens. What we know less about: whether they also care differently about political issues. Using novel experimental survey data, I show: they do! 👇

“Nothing else matters?” Salience differences between young and old | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core

“Nothing else matters?” Salience differences between young and old

cambridge.org

Following the dismissal of Ukrainian Defense Minister Fedorov, protests have erupted in Kyiv, Ukraine.

LATEST: Mykhailo Fedorov is out as Ukraine's defense minister, people close to the president and familiar with his decision this evening confirm to me.

Christopher Miller@christopherjm.ft.com · 2mo ago

Will he stay or will he go? With the PM spot locked up for Sergii Koretskyi, the biggest unanswered question around President Zelenskyy's new cabinet shuffle is whether he'll oust the popular defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov. A look at the situation ahead of tomorrow's expected govt appointments:

‘Polarization’ has become the master concept for diagnosing our current democratic crisis. But this is not polarization. It is the radicalization of the political right. By misdiagnosing it, we risk becoming complicit in the crisis. 🧵 Just out in Perspectives on Politics doi.org/10.1017/S153...

My very personal reflection on the use of AI in social science, perhaps the first of many. yiqingxu.substack.com/p/ai-disarray

AI Disarray

I have felt a little disarrayed recently, and I attribute it to AI.

yiqingxu.substack.com

Tuesday, Senegal 🇸🇳 plays France 🇫🇷 , its former colonial ruler, in the World Cup. French police was set on high “vigilance across the territory” (AFP). Why are such post-colonial encounter sensitive ? Answer from a paper I wrote (available on request, previously presented at MPSA)🧵

Usein puhutaan länsimaisten yhteiskuntien arvojen liberalisoitumisesta. Briteissä kehitys tässä asiassa vastakkaista sekä vasemmistossa että oikeistossa.

Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte@turnbulldugarte.com · 4mo ago

Today marks the beginning of Pride Month 🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ Here is a graph on why we still need pride.

📝New preprint: A golden era for open-ended questions? Using LLMs for text classification tasks ➡️Advanced LLMs outperform student assistants in text coding accuracy. We provide replication files & practical guidance for applied social scientists. Feedback welcome! 🧵 osf.io/preprints/so...

In most advanced democracies, newer generations and younger citizens are less likely to vote. In this new paper, Thomas Jocker (@uva.nl) and I ask *why* this is the case. We try to answer this question by analyzing the answers that *non-voters themselves* give to this question 👇

Do They Want, Can They, and Have They Been Asked? Generational Differences in Reasons for Non‐Voting in Switzerland

In many advanced democracies, newer generations and younger citizens are less likely to vote than earlier generations and older individuals. However, despite this being an established empirical matte...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Can LLMs Emulate Human Belief Dynamics? 🧪 The answer is a clear no. [The findings] raise a sharp warning against deploying LLMs as human proxies in social simulations. arxiv.org/pdf/2605.18781 #SyntheticData #EsWirdImmerAbsurder

Early in my PhD, a colleague finishing his (highly rated) dissertation told me he was stuck on the introduction. After years of hard work, he could no longer find an argument for why any of it actually mattered. This stuck with me ever since. A🧵 about this paper: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

On 7 May 2026, Britain ran a PR experiment: Scottish Parliament: a Mixed-Member Proportional system Welsh Senedd: a (new) Low-Magnitude Party List system Same day, same political context, different outcomes. Which version of PR would be better for Westminster? 🧵

Looks like Orban’s Russia-backed false flag operation could be underway to lead to the cancelling of the Hungarian elections. Predicted recently. Serbian president Aleksandar Vučić has informed Orban of “explosives of devastating power” found at the gas pipeline connecting the two countries. 1/2

New preprint out today (osf.io/preprints/ps...). We tested whether AI agents are actually infiltrating online surveys. Spoiler alert: they aren't Thread 🧵 [1/9]

1/ Happy to release StatsClaw — an open-source multi-agent workflow for building statistical software with AI. w/ @tianzhuqin.bsky.social Site: statsclaw.ai Paper: bit.ly/statsclaw GitHub: github.com/statsclaw/

StatsClaw

Collaborative AI for Stats Packages.

statsclaw.ai

Excited to share the special issue co-edited with Garzia, Tromborg and Marschall: "Voting Advice Applications: Methodological Innovations, Behavioural Effects, and Research Perspectives". Published in Politics and Governance (@CogitatioPaG)! www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandg... #OpenAccess

Voting Advice Applications: Methodological Innovations, Behavioural Effects, and Research Perspectives

Thematic Issue, Vol 14 (2026)

cogitatiopress.com

Interesting new bot-detection strategy in online samples: academic.oup.com/jcr/advance-...

Jokin järki sentään liikkuu vielä tässä maassa. #yhteiskunta

Oikeusministeriö peruu päätöksensä: vaalidataa ei siirretäkään Amazonille – ”Voidaanko luottaa, että ei tulisi yllätyksiä?”

Muuttunut kansainvälinen tilanne pakotti oikeusministeriön perumaan aiemman päätöksensä. Suojelupoliisi varoitti pilvipalveluista kaksi viikkoa sitten.

yle.fi

📢 Out Now! V-Dem Dataset v16 & the V-Dem Institute Democracy Report 2026 💾 The V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d... 📰 The Report "Unraveling The Democratic Era?”: v-dem.net/publications... 📈 Explore the new data with the V-Dem Graphing tools: v-dem.net/graphing/gra... #PoliSky #PoliSciSky 1/3

Selvisipähän se, miksi Belgia jarrutteli jäädytettyjen varojen hyödyntämisen kanssa.

Financial Times@financialtimes.com · 7mo ago

Belgian prime minister calls for EU to normalise ties with Russia ft.trib.al/MRQlCBH

Vaalitutkimuksesta taas kuuluu! Vuoden 2023 eduskuntavaalien ehdokastutkimus "Tie Arkadianmäelle" on nyt ulkona. Kokoelmassa monta kiinnostavaa lukua, itse olin mukana kolmessa. Linkki tutkimukseen: doi.org/10.61201/ssz... 1/4

WSJ reporting that the U.S. used Claude for the air strikes in Iran. Centcom has been using Claude "for intelligence assessments, target identification and simulating battle scenarios" www.wsj.com/livecoverage...