Trump promised to bring down rates. Before the Iran War, markets expected rate cuts of up to 0.75 points this year. The inflationary war flipped the calculus: now they're pricing in two rate HIKES by mid-2027. My @morningjoe-msnow.bsky.social Chart
John Fasullo
@jfasullo.bsky.social
Climate scientist at the NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research and ATOC at the University of Colorado. https://staff.cgd.ucar.edu/fasullo/index.html
Bernie Moreno decries "moronic politicians that listened to the words of a megalomaniac"
This is important - Honest Brokers (TM) and their echo chamber will often point to the decreasing global wildfire, but that reflects changing human land use practices. In temperate and boreal forests, climate's role is more clear. See this paper by Cunningham et al. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Increasing frequency and intensity of the most extreme wildfires on Earth - Nature Ecology & Evolution
Analysis of fire radiative power derived from satellite data finds that the frequency of extreme fire events increased 2.2-fold from 2003 to 2023 and that these increases were mostly driven by extreme...
nature.com
The Associated Press@apnews.com · last wk.Experts say the world is experiencing two opposing fire trends because of human impact.
1. Rural voters elect Republicans 2. Republicans destroy services for rural areas, making life worse for their constituents 3. Election time: "Vote GOP to fight transgender elitist illegal alien snooty professors who think they're better 'n you!" 4. Rural voters elect Republicans 5. Rinse, repeat
19thnews@19thnews.org · last wk.Democratic candidates in competitive races are hoping that anger over labor and delivery unit closures will prompt voters to reject the Republican lawmakers who helped enact President Trump's tax-and-spending law, which contained nearly $1 trillion in cuts to Medicaid.
In Colorado by 2090 "a snow drought like the one this winter will become the norm -- predicted to happen almost every nine years out of 10 -- not the exception" www.denverpost.com/2026/07/22/c...
Last winter’s extreme snow drought was a sign of the West’s future, Colorado study finds
Extreme snow droughts like the one that plagued the West this winter will become more frequent — and eventually the norm — across much of the region as climate change fuels warmer temperatures, accord...
denverpost.com
Appointing Wielicki, a former geochemistry instructor and climate science critic, to lead the USGCRP and oversee the National Climate Assessment won’t address the report’s shortcomings theconversation.com/the-national...
The National Climate Assessment is broken – appointing Matthew Wielicki to lead it won’t help
What communities and businesses really need is information they can act on, with examples of what’s worked elsewhere and why – and what fails.
theconversation.com
The bad faith nature of the changes proposed by the administration, which explicitly politicize science, is obvious as its sponsors, only a few years ago, decried the same politicization. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/16/u...
White House Faces Stiff Pushback on Subjecting Grants to Political Review (Gift Article)
Academics, city leaders and congressional lawmakers number among the thousands to urge the Trump administration to reconsider a plan to assert more control over grants.
nytimes.com
Breaking news: The lining of the Lincoln Memorial’s Reflecting Pool peeled in at least seven places along seams that were created when the material was applied, indicating likely problems in how it was installed, according to experts and a Post analysis.
Reflecting Pool peeling likely caused by application flaws, experts say
President Donald Trump has blamed vandals, but a Washington Post analysis finds that the peeling tracks closely with stages of the renovation process.
washingtonpost.com
i remember scientists saying 20 years ago that climate change-fueled wildfires would darken and poison the skies hundreds of miles away. but republicans said that was a lie, so now climate change-fueled wildfires darken and poison the skies hundreds of miles away every summer
"Climate change is making summers in Colorado and the West hotter, fueling more intense heatwaves like the one this past weekend and exacerbating problems like extreme drought and water shortages, according to experts." via @summitdailynews.bsky.social at www.summitdaily.com/news/colorad...
Record-breaking heatwave adds to ‘compounding extremes’ of climate change in Colorado
Feeling hotter than usual? It’s not just your imagination. Climate change is making summers in Colorado and the West hotter, fueling more intense heatwaves like the one this past weekend and exacerbat...
summitdaily.com
Objective measures of @NCAR_CGD climate science show it to be at the forefront of scientific discovery www.dailycamera.com/2026/07/11/n...
Amid the administration’s attacks on climate change, NCAR and CU Boulder rank top 10 in the world for climate research
NCAR earned second place globally out of more than 40,000 institutions, with Carbon Brief noting it had some of the most highly cited authors.
dailycamera.com
Alternate headline: "Trump Justifies Money Made as President By Lying About It" www.nytimes.com/2026/07/11/u...
Trump Justifies $2 Billion Made as President With Inaccurate Claims
President Trump has wrongly attributed the $2 billion windfall he gained during his second term to a hot stock market and claimed that he was the only president to donate his salary.
nytimes.com
Folks skeptical of human-driven warming like to point to a period of somewhat less rapid warming from 1900-1945. In a new analysis at TCB, I dig into the different factors driving it, and find that humans, natural factors, and variability all played an important role: www.theclimatebrink....
I do like the idea of becoming a climate critic * Last Glacial Maximum: cold, liked the furry animals, too dusty. 3 stars * Holocene: 5 stars, great while it lasted * +2C: went in with low expectations and was still disappointed, one star
Katharine Hayhoe@katharinehayhoe.com · 4w agoIt is not headed by a “climate critic“. It is headed by someone who is unqualified in this area, who cannot offer valid critiques but instead shares debunked claims, and who regularly attacks climate scientists. Like me.
Australia's 2019-20 bushfire season illustrated that MCB, initiated during the El Niño growth phase, might disrupt the Bjerknes feedbacks that normally amplify El Niño conditions, as we show today in Science Advances: www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Targeted marine cloud brightening weakens subsequent El Niño
Seasonal marine cloud brightening in the southeast Pacific reduces global El Niño impacts on decision-relevant timescales.
science.org
Like many, many dynamics in US politics, this only goes one direction. Only one party is held to any moral standards. Only one party is asked to ritually reject its most ideological members. Only one party is held collectively responsible for anything any of its activists say.
The Atlantic@theatlantic.com · 4w agoDemocrats became great by fighting the far left—and today’s party can learn crucial lessons from those battles, David Brooks argues:
Two years ago, my colleagues and I were sued by Stephen Miller's America First Legal. The Hines v Stamos case — built atop a number of false allegations — was a central element of the "censorship industrial complex" myth. Today, that case was dismissed (by a Trump judge in LA). We won.
![UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
WESTERN DISTRICT OF LOUISIANA
MONROE DIVISION
JILL HINES ET AL — CASE NO. 3:23-CV-00571
VERSUS — JUDGE TERRY A. DOUGHTY
ALEX STAMOS ET AL — MAG. JUDGE KAYLA D. MCCLUSKY
MEMORANDUM RULING
Before the Court is a Renewed Joint Motion to Dismiss for Lack of Subject Matter and Personal Jurisdiction [Doc. No. 191] filed by Defendants, Alex Stamos, Renée DiResta, the Board of Trustees of the Leland Stanford Junior University, the Leland Stanford Junior University, Kate Starbird, Graphika, Camille François, the Atlantic Council, and Graham Brookie (collectively, "Defendants"). Plaintiffs, Jill Hines ("Hines") and Jim Hoft ("Hoft") (collectively, "Plaintiffs"), filed an Opposition [Doc. No. 207]. Defendants then filed a Reply [Doc. No. 209].
For the reasons set forth, Defendants' Motion is GRANTED.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:h3t5rqlvuaorq42yckpijirj/bafkreiggakmifunn64abigm63tqgz3acksb5neiyr736xtwd7dnfiodzra)
Letter in today's Times by climate scientist Sir Brian Hoskins: "The discourse around net-zero is increasingly decoupled from…science and our changing weather. "Net-zero is not an arbitrary slogan, rather it is dictated by the laws of physics."
“The best solutions to our climate challenges are going to come from a climate literate public,” True! www.climate.us
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The rise of larger vehicles like SUVs and pickup trucks, with their taller hoods and larger blind zones, has contributed to a 75% increase in pedestrian and cyclist deaths since 2009. Until we design better streets and ban these vehicles, people outside these vehicles will keep dying.
The Deadly Rise of Giant Trucks and S.U.V.s (Gift Article)
The vehicles on American roads have grown larger — and they are killing thousands more pedestrians, a Times investigation found.
nytimes.com
A 40°C in the forecast for Reading now on Wednesday. Still rather uncertain on the exact magnitude, but 3 consecutive days breaking the previous all-time record for Reading (37.6°C) is possible.
MetJam@metjam.co.uk · 2mo agoThis is what the Met Office app forecast for Reading looks like in terms of where it sits in the climatological record, and it's safe to say it obliterates anything seen before it - do believe it's a bit too enthusiastic with its temperatures but still astounding.
Indeed, the idea that we could achieve global compliance and robust geoengineering governance principles when a handful of bad state actors have stymied a far safer and more efficacious solution (fossil fuel phaseout/clean energy transition) requires a curiously selective sort of optimism.
Day 1 of the 2026 CESM Workshop brought inspiring talks, awards, working group discussions, and a lively poster session. Congratulations to Charlie Koven and Genevieve Clow on their CESM awards! Missed a session? Watch online: lnkd.in/gNncXvBy
What NCAR does: Our goal "is to enable support for real-time wildland firefighting as well as pinpoint what parts of the energy distribution network are most likely to be impacted by a high-wind event" www.dailycamera.com/2026/06/12/n...
Boulder’s NCAR explores ways to provide neighborhood-level wind forecasts
Researchers at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder are aiming to improve prediction accuracy and detail of damaging winds that fan the flames of wildfires, topple trees onto powerl...
dailycamera.com
Now all done but the synthesis! Thanks to the ~110 scientists and practitioners, not to mention @agu.org and our local volunteers, for a great three days in Montreal!
Bob Kopp@bobkopp.net · 2mo agoArriving in Montreal for the @agu.org Chapman Conference on Updating Usable Projections of Future Sea Level — already ran into about half a dozen colleagues before getting to my hotel!
Another way to do this would be to obey the law as President
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 2mo agoActing AG Todd Blanche says he's working to install "roadblocks" to prevent Democrats from prosecuting Trump and his associates in the future
i know no one cares, nothing matters, it’s all blasé to the median voter and pundit, but a sitting AG (even just acting) making these kinds of boldly partisan remarks would have been seen, in the past, as grounds for removal on a bipartisan basis
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 2mo agoActing AG Todd Blanche says he's working to install "roadblocks" to prevent Democrats from prosecuting Trump and his associates in the future
Are you telling me that the scientifically-based Have Some Guys From Nebraska Stand Around Doing Nothing strategy is not the cure-all we were led to believe? Shocking.
NPR@npr.org · 2mo agoA new study has found that the National Guard's presence in Washington, D.C. had no effect on violent crime in the city. The Guard has been deployed since last August as part of a federal task force to fight crime, and their numbers are set to double in the coming weeks. n.pr/3PWDxqK
Scientists are sounding the alarm about a new rule that would dramatically change how the federal gov't makes grant funding decisions. The rule is extraordinarily sweeping, and could have huge impacts on health and climate research. W/ @ellanilsen.bsky.social www.cnn.com/2026/06/04/c...
Researchers say this new Trump rule could destroy American science as we know it. They’re fighting back | CNN
Scientists across multiple disciplines are raising the alarm after the White House proposed taking greater control over how scientific research gets funded and allowing political appointees to decide ...
cnn.com