Josh Holloway

@jholloway.bsky.social

Senior Lecturer in Government at Flinders University. Democracy | Parties | Elections

Happy ten year anniversary of the 2016 blackout in South Australia. I was told that as clean power grew in Aus, we'd see a blackout apocalypse. The chart below shows blackouts for generation shortfall as columns, and renewable proportion as a percent of the eastern grid. Enjoy :)

a chart showing blackout data for Australia

Forget grandiose talk of curing cancer - this is what AI is actually doing to healthcare. In the words of one cardiologist: “it’s bots fighting bots, agents fighting agents, a horrible dystopic future nobody wants to live in.”

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The AI debate has forced me, somewhat agst my will, to grapple a bit more closely with the "longtermists", basically a movement or subculture of morons who propose novel forms of moral reasoning based on sci-fi ideas they imagine might happen hundreds, thousands or millions of years in the future.

Faine Greenwood@faineg.com · 2w ago

Nick Beckstead, noted longtermist and "effective altruist,” just comes out and says it: "But it now seems more plausible to me that saving a life in a rich country is substantially more important than saving a life in a poor country, other things being equal."

This is precisely why Nick Beckstead, a noted EA, argued in 2013 that, given the "overwhelming" moral importance of the far future - "millions, billions, and trillions" of years from now - we should prioritize saving the lives of people in rich countries over those in poor countries, other things being equal. The reason is that people in rich countries are better positioned to influence the far future.

To take another example, saving lives in poor countries may have significantly smaller ripple effects

than saving and improving lives in rich countries. Why? Richer countries have substantially more

innovation, and their workers are much more economically productive. By ordinary standards at

least by ordinary enlightened humanitarian standards saving and improving lives in rich countries

is about equally as important as saving and improving lives in poor countries, provided lives are

improved by roughly comparable amounts. But it now seems more plausible to me that saving a life

in a rich country is substantially more important than saving a life in a poor country, other things
being equal.
Screenshot from Beckstead's 2013 PhD dissertation, regarded as one of the founding documents of longtermism, one of the main cause areas of EA.

You don't have to be an advanced scholar of fascism to know about how often the "respectable right" have been happy to associate with "conservative business figures" who were happy to do the unpleasant work of funding for the street thugs........

Very forceful statement by Terry Tao about AI and math. terrytao.wordpress.com/2026/09/11/a... Note, he is not claiming the models aren't real and powerful. He's talking about how that power should be used. This, I believe, is what all AI discussions should center.

A Severe Misalignment of AI in Mathematics

I am proud to be among the list of 25 initial signatories — all Fields Medallists — to the declaration below, which grew out of discussions between ourselves over the last week. We have…

terrytao.wordpress.com

Exclusive: US-controlled weapons corporations and forces have control or access to more than 100 facilities across the continent, which some analysts describe as a ‘colonisation’ of Australia’s military.

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Once you have a lot of money it becomes easier to get more money by doing nothing, which disincentivizes work. This is why all our billionaires post insane bullshit all day. If they had to work they'd be too busy to act like this, doubly benefiting society

In what is possibly one of the pettiest Zionist hit-jobs yet, The Australian’s James Madden, at the behest of the Zionist Federation of Australia, platforms ZFA president Jeremy Liebler’s idea that anti-genocide, anti-Zionist views should preclude an academic from being interviewed about… aged care

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🚨 The archived version of the suppressed Amnesty report into the anti-trans network operating to dismantle human rights in the UK has been "excluded" from the Wayback Machine. JKR is working very hard to scrub its existence from the eyes of the public. Thankfully, I kept screenshots.

A screenshot of the Wayback Machine page when trying to access the suppressed Amnesty report into anti-trans organisation and networks in the UK saying "This URL has been excluded from the Wayback Machine".

On their latest witch hunt, the DOJ arrested Heidi Beirich, leading expert on far-right extremism. Purpose: to frighten others investigating dangerous rightist creeps and because she knows far too much. Like their other vindictive prosecutions, it will not work. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

Trump’s justice department arrests expert on far right as part of SPLC crackdown

Prosecutors charge Heidi Beirich with financial crimes as part of case against the Southern Poverty Law Center

theguardian.com

Really important research with clear findings, implications & policy recommendations to arrest the trend of oversized cars & trucks killing & maiming more pedestrians 🙏 & kudos to Milad Haghani, Abbas Rajabifard, Iman Taheri Sarteshnizi, & Neema Nassir @aunz.theconversation.com

Big US-style trucks are killing more pedestrians in Australia – our research proves it

Pedestrians are more likely to be killed by heavier cars – and even more so if the vehicle is taller, Australian-first research has found.

theconversation.com

Using ~8.5k election-poll-party observations from 372 elections in 32 countries, we find a persistent partisan asymmetry: polls tend to overestimate the left relative to the right. On average across elections, polls the month before an election overstated the left by about 1.4 points

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