John Sides

@johnsides.bsky.social

Professor of Political Science, Vanderbilt University - https://johnsides.org/ Publisher of Good Authority - https://goodauthority.org/

If you're teaching political behavior, race and politics, or criminal justice in the fall, this is for you! My latest for @goodauth.bsky.social synthesizing some of the excellent literature on how carceral contact influences politics 👇 goodauthority.org/news/good-to...

Good to Know: How contact with the carceral state affects our politics

Can direct and indirect contact with police and immigration enforcement officials influence political participation?

goodauthority.org

Excited to share that Cindy Kam’s and my article is published online! We examine item refusal pre- and post-Dobbs and find a significant increase in women’s refusal to disclose their pregnancy status after the decision, with concerning implications for research, policy, and women’s health.

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ@poqjournal.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Did Dobbs have a chilling effect on survey responses? In POQ, Kam & Marcellin find that women were less willing to disclose their pregnancy status in the nation's premier health survey (BRFSS), on the heels of the Dobbs decision. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

The admin is proposing indefinite control of Venezuelan oil, but evidence suggests that Venezuelan cooperation will only extend as far as it‘s coerced - and can’t extend past what the crumbing infrastructure can generate. Meanwhile ordinary Venezuelans continue to suffer. @goodauth.bsky.social

Good Authority@goodauth.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Restoring the oil sector – and securing friendlier relations – may prove equally difficult. Here's what to expect in Venezuela, after Maduro. Read from @hsulli.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/what-to...

Some thoughts on what Trump has done in Venezuela and what it might mean for US national security. Caveat: not a Latin America scholar so this is focused on US policy. Clearly huge consequences for Venezuela that others can address. First, despite the buildup, I didn't think Trump would do it. 1/

I'm chairing the APSA Carey McWilliams Prize Committee. This prize goes to someone who has made "a major journalistic contribution to our understanding of politics." More information is here: apsanet.org/programs/aps... We would be grateful for people to submit nominations!

Carey McWilliams Award - American Political Science Association (APSA)

Carey McWilliams Award Carey McWilliams Award Nominations now open. The McWilliams Award honors a major journalistic contribution to our understanding of

apsanet.org

Under Biden, there was no thermostatic shift in public opinion about the size of government. The public stayed relatively liberal. Take attitudes toward the government's role in health care:

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Imagine asking people two questions -- whether each of these is a good or bad way to run a govt: 1) having a democratic political system 2) having a strong leader who does not have to bother with parliament and elections What percent says *both* are good? 44%!

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Just like in his 1st term, Trump is going to hover around 40% approval. As @johnsides.bsky.social et al point out in their 2020 election book, Trump always sides with his base rather than choose policies with broader appeal. When you only aim to satisfy 40% of the population, you get 40% approval.

YouGov America@today.yougov.com · last yr.

NEW Economist/YouGov Jul 25-28 % who approve | disapprove of Trump U.S. adult citizens 40% | 55% (-15) Last week 41% | 55% Start of term 49% | 43% Democrats 6% | 91% Independents 29% | 62% Republicans 86% | 12% Men 44% | 51% Women 37% | 59% d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...

A stacked bar chart of YouGov polling data with the headline: "Approval and disapproval of Trump's job performance."

The chart's sub-headline is: "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? (%)."