Joey Schnaubelt

@jschnaubelt.bsky.social

Paleoclimate, climate modeling, atmospheric rivers, the Last Interglacial, ice sheets, grad student at UConn. He/him. 🏃🚴🧗

The difference in utility between the use of ML to tackle big data problems that would otherwise be intractable & the use of LLMs to produce pointless slop is so large they cannot both be usefully described as “AI“. The first is making real progress, the second is dragging us towards the abyss.

Dan Silverman@dmsilverman.bsky.social · 5d ago

I‘m far from an AI doomer, but it is amazing how many serious voices — on LinkedIn, no less! — are sharing stories about how AI slop is quickly becoming one of the top problems they see in academic writing and research “AI will 10x our research!” doesn’t seem to be surviving encounters with reality

With all the July model runs now in, it is very likely that 2026 will see the largest El Niño event since records began in the late 1800s – and potentially by a truly mind-blowing margin. The median estimate is now 3.6C, roughly 0.8C hotter than the prior record (2.75C). www.theclimatebrink....

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Letter in today's Times by climate scientist Sir Brian Hoskins: "The discourse around net-zero is increasingly decoupled from…science and our changing weather. "Net-zero is not an arbitrary slogan, rather it is dictated by the laws of physics."

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1/3 "The narrow viability boundaries we identify lend quantitative support to concerns raised by proponents of a non-use agreement, which contend that the systemic risks of SRM may be unacceptably high in a real-world context of geopolitical instability and failed cooperation"

Economic assessment of SRM under socio-political and geophysical tipping dynamics

Economic assessment of SRM under socio-political and geophysical tipping dynamics, Estrada, Francisco, Bastien-Olvera, Bernardo A, Calderon-Bustamante, Oscar, Altamirano, Miguel A, Muñoz-Sánchez, Rodrigo, Moreno-Cruz, Juan, Botzen, Wouter

iopscience.iop.org

Our paper (led by Austin Carter) is out today! A new dust record from the Allan Hills, East Antarctica show an abrupt shift in dust geochemistry and increase in accumulation right at the start of the Last Interglacial. 🧵🧪❄️⚒️🥼

Diminished Ross Ice Shelf and West Antarctic Ice Sheet during Last Interglacial warming - Nature Geoscience

Dust derived from Antarctic sources measured in an ice core from the Allan Hills spanning the peak of the Last Interglacial suggests that the Ross Sea was probably open at the time, coincident with a ...

nature.com

Our paper (led by Austin Carter) is out today! A new dust record from the Allan Hills, East Antarctica show an abrupt shift in dust geochemistry and increase in accumulation right at the start of the Last Interglacial. 🧵🧪❄️⚒️🥼

Diminished Ross Ice Shelf and West Antarctic Ice Sheet during Last Interglacial warming - Nature Geoscience

Dust derived from Antarctic sources measured in an ice core from the Allan Hills spanning the peak of the Last Interglacial suggests that the Ross Sea was probably open at the time, coincident with a ...

nature.com

Rainfall intensity matters as much as how much rain falls. New in Nature: Corey Lesk and I show that daily-scale concentration of precipitation dries the land over the long-run, an effect as strong as total precipitation is climatological wetting. Paper here: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

More concentrated precipitation decreases terrestrial water storage - Nature

Concentration of precipitation in large events decreases land water availability, and this effect will further increase with a future warming climate.

nature.com

How can records of the past inform our understanding of extreme events? Join the National Academies on April 29 for a webinar releasing a new report on a proposed Center for Paleoenvironmental Records of Extreme Events (CPREE). Register: events.nationalacademies.org/46602

Functions and Criteria for a New Center for Paleoenvironmental Records of Extreme Events: Report Release Webinar

Register for this event from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

events.nationalacademies.org