Kevin Hanley
@khanley.bsky.social
JD candidate @brooklynlaw | polling @dataforprogress.org very interested in your thoughts
dr. robby: we have a patient in er room 1. health is at 1%. ideas, people me: 1 dose of the correct kind of medicine, stat! dr. mohan: oh my god. patient’s health is now 100% dr. robby: do you want to ride motorcycles with me me: no. i have to go home and post on bluesky — the world’s #1 site
NEW: A strong majority of voters (68%) would oppose the U.S. putting boots on the ground in Iran. This includes 85% of Democrats, 71% of Independents, and about half of Republicans.
It's too bad i'm not important enough for Isaac Chotiner to interview because i'm pretty confident I'd be the first person to come out of it looking pretty good
The horror stories rolling in from Minnesota are just the tip of the iceberg. This 20-year-old, who's lawfully present in the country, was arrested for being Latino, then jailed in a filthy cell where he couldn't even sit down. 18 days of illegal detention. democracyforward.org/wp-content/u...
no one tells you how much milk regulation comes up in conlaw
NEW: Voter favorability of ICE has plummeted after the fatal shootings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti. Only 39% of voters have a favorable view of ICE, while 58% are unfavorable.
If you had a magic wand, what would you change in your community? Folks in Milwaukee, WI told us about the minimum wage, job training, and welcoming immigrants.
our new poll has zohran up 16 points over cuomo in a traditional electorate weight
This is a Hall of Fame reader comment on a very reactionary op-ed about Zohran Mamdani's victory that was published in my local paper today.
Yup, i think in many ways 2021 was a needed loss for the left to familiarize themselves with RCV and all its intricacies
heresiarch@heresiarch.bsky.social · last yr.Feels like ranked choice was absolutely decisive in this race—not because of the vote count, but because of how it changed the incentives from zero-sum to cooperapetitive. It allowed a fractured left field to align organically through co-endorsements instead of falling into a circular firing squad.
after removing undecideds we have: Cuomo - 40% Zohran - 33% within the margin of error of the Expedition poll. we're showing the same race, only thing that differs is RCV
Peter Sterne@petersterne.com · last yr.And here's another recent poll from Expedition Strategies, conducted June 3-7 on behalf of Cuomo's campaign: www.politico.com/f/?id=000001... Andrew Cuomo - 42% Zohran Mamdani - 30% Scott Stringer - 7% Brad Lander - 7% Adrienne Adams - 3% Final RCV round: Cuomo - 56% Mamdani - 44%
New piece! Media coverage of Kilmar Abrego Garcia hurt Trump, not Democrats. An actually data-driven analysis of some stale conventional wisdom. Alt title: Matt Yglesias is wrong about Democrats and Abrego Garcia🧵
Media coverage of Kilmar Abrego Garcia hurt Trump, not Democrats
Public opinion on immigration has shifted — and pundits need to catch up
gelliottmorris.com
Bold move for brad lander to shoutout the manhattan institute in this debate. let's see if that pays off
NEW Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll out this AM. We find cuts to Medicaid deeply unpopular (58% oppose to 14%), Trump underwater on most issues (-16 net approval), Democrats ahead on the generic ballot by 6 points, and Harris leading a 2024 rematch Full results in this thread
New poll: Americans oppose cuts to Medicaid, want Democrats to control the U.S. House
...and Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 rematch. Results from the inaugural Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll
gelliottmorris.com
Im sensing a lot of demand in the friend market. Looking to optimize this space for efficiency and productivity
Drew Harwell@drewharwell.com · last yr.Mark Zuckerberg says Meta's chatbots will supplement your real friends: "The average American has fewer than 3 friends ... but has demand for ... 15 friends" (h/t x.com/romanhelmetg...)
What’s different about this question from many Qs in politics, is the *lack* of polarization—by party or by race. This dimension, which we can call “news engagement,” cuts across other dimensions, and tells us something your party & demographics alone cannot. Makes a potentially powerful tool.
everyone at the Brooklyn Half Marathon is talking about The Pit
having a "why it matters" section that just reiterates patel's tweet is something else
not often do we see such similar results across partisanship
Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · last yr.NEW: A majority of voters support banning members of Congress from trading stocks, including 61% of Democrats, 62% of Independents, and 58% of Republicans. www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
NEW: Voters across party lines believe that immigrants with green cards or visas should have due process rights. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
party leaders should stake out positions and lead! i write about that here:
Data for Progress@dataforprogress.org · last yr.NEW Insight from @khanley.bsky.social : Party leaders can have an important role in shaping public opinion — particularly on issues for which voters don't have strongly held convictions. www.dataforprogress.org/insights/202...
NEW: In a hypothetical matchup for the 2028 U.S. Senate primary in New York, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads Chuck Schumer by a 19-point margin. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/4/...
NEW: Only 15% of New York City voters think Eric Adams should run for office again. A majority think he should either resign immediately (37%) or serve out the remainder of his term but not run again (40%). www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...
When Democratic voters are asked how they would grade the Democratic Party on its response to Trump, 70% give the party a C or below. About 1 in 5 give the party an F, and only 10% give an A.
1. A new poll shows a massive opposition to government censorship of transgender people happening now. It also shows heavy opposition to the impacts of Trump's anti-trans executive orders... the military ban, teacher investigations, and trans youth care ban. Subscribe to support our journalism.
New Poll Shows Massive Opposition To The Active US Government Censorship Of Trans People
The poll also shows heavy support for transgender youth care, opposition to the military ban, and opposition to the prosecution of teachers affirming trans youth.
erininthemorning.com
NEW NYC MAYORAL POLL: Cuomo leads the pack with 39% in the first-round vote, followed by Mamdani (15%), Lander (8%), Eric Adams (7%), and Adrienne Adams (5%). The other five candidates tested receive less than 5% of the vote each. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/3/...
NEW: A majority of voters, including 57% of Independents, oppose the Trump administration’s efforts to shutter the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
