Luke Sanford
@lcsanford.bsky.social
Assistant Prof. at Yale School of the Environment. Political economy of climate and environment, land use change, remote sensing, causal ML. https://sanford-lab.github.io/
The correlation coefficient is not a proper scoring rule. An agent who ranks models by correlation can be beaten by an infinite class of alternative rules. Here's a 2007 article on proper scoring rules: sites.stat.washington.edu/raftery/Rese...
This skeet will self destruct@pardoguerra.bsky.social · 2mo agoThis is quite the finding for a device thats just a plagiarism machine, or whatever we are calling it this week. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
The NSF 2027 budget has noted that they will close out the Social, Behavioral, and Economic Science Program (SBE). This is not a good thing. nsf-gov-resources.nsf.gov/files/FY-202...
Thank you for all the support and reposts! We've gotten a steady stream of inquiries and submissions for this competition, but also some ANXIETY that the window will close before people have a chance to submit. We're nowhere near that! We'll update on here when we've allocated 50% of the capacity.
Alex Coppock@aecoppock.bsky.social · 8mo ago🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on repdata.com 3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_... applications open Feb 1 please repost!
Announcing the 2026 Political Economy of Climate and Environment (PECE) Conference! When: 9/2/2026 Where: Harvard CFP: www.pece-conference.org/cambridge-20... Submit your papers or apply to attend: forms.gle/6y7YUoxJ6HTsz4cy8 Sponsored by @weatherheadcenter.bsky.social and the Sala Institute
forms.gle
👇 Great review of climate papers published in 2025 !!
Jacob Edenhofer@jacobedenhofer.bsky.social · 9mo agoHere are my favourite 2025 papers on climate policy/politics (listed in no particular order). 1. Ascari, Guido, Andrea Colciago, Timo Haber, and Stefan Wöhrmüller. 2025. ‘Inequality along the European Green Transition’. Economic Journal. doi.org/10.1093/ej/u...
You can read find more about details at www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... Thanks to all that helped along the way!
Met @annaleen.bsky.social and got to spend some good time talking science and spec-fic and they were even more amazing and brilliant than I expected. They had just thought deeply about such interesting and important things and knew how to say things in exactly the right way.
Eric Michael Garcia@ericmgarcia.bsky.social · last yr.Screw "never meeting your heroes." What were some times you met your heroes and they were super cool?
If your research involves RD designs, check out this important new working paper from Ghosh, Imbens, and Wager: "PLRD: Partially Linear Regression Discontinuity Inference" arxiv.org/pdf/2503.09907
Watching Jurassic Park, where a computer nerd with a debt problem and delusions of grandeur tears down all the safety systems, with no understanding of the consequences, so he can better facilitate his planned espionage and theft.
If Vladimir Putin had a plan to foul our air and water, wreck public health and drive America over the cliff of irreversible lethal climate change, it would look exactly like Lee Zeldin’s plan. This is a plan for self-inflicted environmental disaster. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
Trump’s environmental rule-shredding will put lives at risk, ex-EPA heads say
Former agency leaders, including two Republicans, say rollbacks by Lee Zeldin could cause ‘severe harms’
theguardian.com
@jonproctor.bsky.social @vivianodavide.bsky.social @bstewart.bsky.social and others I can't find tags for
Luke Sanford@lcsanford.bsky.social · 2y ago9/9 Other great work in this area: www.nber.org/papers/w30861, arxiv.org/abs/2501.18577, arxiv.org/abs/2411.10959, arxiv.org/abs/2306.04746 focus on “predict-then-debias”—the right move if using off the shelf data. But if you’re training the ML model yourself, give our adversarial approach a try!
#css #econometrics #EconSky #poli-sci #eo #remotesensing
Luke Sanford@lcsanford.bsky.social · 2y ago1/9 We are excited to share our new working paper: arxiv.org/abs/2502.12323 If you use ML predictions (like remote-sensed data) as outcomes, the resulting regression coefficients can be biased by measurement error. With @megan-ayers.bsky.social @mdgordo.bsky.social @eliana-stone.bsky.social
1/9 We are excited to share our new working paper: arxiv.org/abs/2502.12323 If you use ML predictions (like remote-sensed data) as outcomes, the resulting regression coefficients can be biased by measurement error. With @megan-ayers.bsky.social @mdgordo.bsky.social @eliana-stone.bsky.social
Adversarial Debiasing for Unbiased Parameter Recovery
Advances in machine learning and the increasing availability of high-dimensional data have led to the proliferation of social science research that uses the predictions of machine learning models as p...
arxiv.org
Trump's enthusiasm for evil vastly exceed his competence at it.
Every person on Bluesky should know: * Every post on Bluesky is PUBLIC forever * Every post on Bluesky is archived by ICE, NSA, and many other agencies * Even if you delete a post, it’s already been captured * Judges don’t care if you were “kidding” or being ironic www.404media.co/the-200-site...
The 200+ Sites an ICE Surveillance Contractor is Monitoring
404 Media has obtained the list of sites and services that ICE contractor ShadowDragon pulls data from. ShadowDragon sources data from all over the web and lets government analysts easily search it an...
404media.co
Jeff Sharlet@jeffsharlet.bsky.social · 2y agoAnecdotal, but I'm definitely noticing an uptick in advocacy for violence here. About which I'll say only this: Promoting violence on social media is the work of trolls and fools, those eager to bait others into implicating themselves in the age of surveillance or fools rushing to the gulag.
a man in a black shirt is making a funny face while sitting at a table in a dark room .
ALT: a man in a black shirt is making a funny face while sitting at a table in a dark room .
media.tenor.com
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 2y ago"Tariffs are a tax cut for the American people" -- Karoline Leavitt turns reality upside down, then gets mad at an AP reporter after he pushes back
My undergrad institution, grad institution, and current employer are all on this list
Adam Harris@adamhsays.com · 2y agoThe Ed. Department's Office for Civil Rights sent letters to 60 additional institutions "warning them of potential enforcement actions" for "violations relating to antisemitic harassment and discrimination" including Harvard, Brown, Stanford, Princeton, UNC, and several UC's
I already had lots of respect for Mad River Glen skiers from when a few of them showed up and stomped the competition at the Crested Butte extreme freeskiing comp. Now it’s at the top of my list of ski areas to visit
Prof Dynarski@dynarski.bsky.social · 2y ago
It wasn't a "crisis" when women were earning less than men.
The Times and Sunday Times@thetimes.com · 2y agoYoung women are now consistently earning more than their male counterparts for the first time, according to a report that warns of a social “crisis” gripping young men
My students on Fulbright fellowships are dealing with this right now. Another on a USAID fellowship just told me their fellowship was terminated yesterday. A “guarantee” from the USFG means nothing
Rob Glover@robglover.bsky.social · 2y agoThe Fulbright Foreign Student Program invites graduate students from abroad to come study in the US and guarantees funding for them to do so paid in a monthly stipend. Yesterday, some FFSP scholars received notification that they're only getting a week of their stipend.
What’s the Grok prompt that will be used to “analyze” these replies?
Dave Levitan@davelevitan.bsky.social · 2y agoHere’s the email everyone is getting from OPM. Embarrassing stuff.
Want to go visit the national parks this year? Sorry. The reservation system is shut down, EMT personnel are gone, so don't get hurt or lost. No one can clean the bathrooms or cabins, so they'll be closed. Rangers are fired. www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/arti...
Yosemite halts camping reservations, with no timetable for their return
Yosemite halts camping reservations, with no timetable for their return at a time when federal employees are being laid off
sfchronicle.com
Exactly, we're always "wanting one weird trick" for causality but I think that's usually (RCTs actually are one weird trick) going to be at odds with the reality that you need to understand the system you're studying in a lot of detail to do good inference
Just finished the book Migrations by Charlotte McConaghy, narrated by Barrie Kreinik. Easily top 3 among the ~50 cli-fi books I’ve now read.
