Lumina

@lumina54.bsky.social

Political sociologist by training (AoS: ethnic conflict, soc mvmts, democratization), pol sci (IR) data analyst for a living, digital organizer working to elect Democrats. Here to read news & gain insights, w/ just occasional random posts. Repost ≠ endorse

2 things, in ascending order of importance: 1) Polls are Possibility but they don't vote; don't stop working. 2) El-Sayed has Massive support in a mid-west rust-belt state while vocally supporting transgender kids & adults/directly Dismissing claims that trans people are "dangerous." Learn from that

Dean Obeidallah@deanobeidallah.bsky.social · last wk.

NEW poll. Abdul El-Sayed up by SEVEN points! Keep working Michigan to make this reality! www.usatoday.com/story/news/p...

NOW: Just arrived at the intersection of Research Blvd and Anderson Lane—near where ICE shot & wounded 29-yr-old Wilber Rafael Garces Perez earlier today. Between 300-500 people still holding intersection here. ICE is reportedly not letting Garces Perez’s family access him at the hospital.

If you're a Dem who thinks you'll gain something by going anti-trans, look at Gallup's "most important problem" and Fox News' "most important issue" polling and see where trans issues rank. Whoever told you going anti-trans is a savvy or necessary move spends too much time on X and should be fired.

Gallup polling. "LGBTQ rights" moves between 0 and 1%.Fox news polling. Wokeness/transgender issues at 0%.

The CNN investigation concludes that the devastation that was visited on 16 US military installations in the Gulf region was clearly possible because of Russian missile technology and guidance data supplied to Iran. That's the same folks who paid for Trump Jr's wedding party, by the way.

Bild

As expected, the Senate failed to force the start of debate on the CLARITY Act, a bill designed to set up a regulatory framework on cryptocurrency. Democrats said the bill did not do enough about ethics issues / crypto / government officials (read: Trump). 60 votes were needed to advance.

Bild

You cannot make this stuff up. The GOP’s Dallas midterm convention put Ross Ulbricht—the Silk Road founder convicted on 7 federal counts, including narcotics trafficking and money laundering—on stage. Trump pardoned him in 2025. TWO LIFE SENTENCES. And THIS is who they’re putting on a pedestal?

Bild

Seriously if any president ever did this besides him he would be gone in 5 seconds. Yet it won't be above the fold every day for the next month and it won't be the leading story on cable news every day until the midterms even though it should be.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 3w ago

"Please right your right hand. I pledge to the greatest president in history that loves us so much he can't even breathe" -- in extremely culty scene, Trump has his supporters pledge to him that they will vote, then tells them they will "go to hell" if they don't Here's the full sequence:

Dean: He spent billions of your tax dollars wrecking the White House and building monuments to himself. He will be remembered for rot and rubble

Silicon Valley's effort to destroy democracy is the biggest story of our political moment. Beware of those who have nothing to say about it.

For Trump, colleges and universities are the enemy for a fairly obvious reason: no one with a college education votes for him. The denial of international visas aims to suck up an essential revenue stream for universities and to put their continuation in doubt. That's the object of this exercise.

Bild

The Nigel Farage and Reform foreign donations scandal excluded from all but one national newspaper front page this morning. No sign of it at all on the front pages of the two papers which splashed the polls secretly funded by a Reform donor earlier this year

BildBild

Scoop: The U.S. State Department has drafted guidance requiring parents applying for passports for their children ​to provide proof of their own citizenship or immigration status as part of President Trump's latest effort to limit birthright ‌citizenship, @kristinacooke.bsky.social and I report.

EXCLUSIVE: Trump birthright curbs may prompt US passport checks on parents

The U.S. State Department has proposed requiring parents applying for passports for their children ​to provide proof of their own citizenship or immigration status as part of President Donald Trump's ...

reuters.com

Can't get numb to this: it's frightening how Trump et al have normalized lawless behavior by govt officials. US govt cruelty to immigrants is not remotely new, but people like Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, moved the Overton window on accepting scandalous outrages. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/30/w...

Deportees Sent to Liberia Recount Harrowing Details of U.S. Expulsion and Treatment by ICE

Ten deportees said they experienced or witnessed what they called abusive or violent treatment by ICE. They spent months in detention, they said, before being sent to nations where they had no ties.

nytimes.com