Osita Nwanevu
@ositanwanevu.com
Contributing Editor | The New Republic Columnist | The Guardian Author | The Right of the People (2025) Newsletter | ositanwanevu.com
if you won't listen to me about this, please listen to Chris
One thing about our polling obsession is that they are really genuinely useful tools for something other than *predicting election outcomes.*. As a measure of “public opinion” as amorphous and dynamic as that is, they really do give us crucial insight. But we want them to tell the future.
lol “Black voters, who offered tepid support to Dr. El-Sayed in September, now back him, 93-4. Mr. Rogers did not receive the support of any respondent in the city of Detroit (among 43 people).” www.nytimes.com/2026/11/01/u...
This is a great statement of course, but one thing it illustrates is that John Thune hasn't really been elevated in the pantheon of right-wing villains yet. Not even mentioned, while McConnell surely would have been.
@bradlander.bsky.social in Brooklyn with a statement about Haley Stevens!
@bradlander.bsky.social in Brooklyn with a statement about Haley Stevens!
Gotta admit I'm getting a lot of schadenfreude from the freakouts about Claude's watermarks and the horrifying idea you might actually have to do your own work to get credit for the work.
Better to discover the dumb, impulsive narcissist who will back Republicans *before* they're elected. This is progress.
As I report here ... - Stevens told numerous high profile Dems last night she was voting for AES - staff was literally waiting at the unity rally thinking she was about to arrive - even key Dems who are similarly skeptical of AES are baffled and aghast talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/haley...
As I report here ... - Stevens told numerous high profile Dems last night she was voting for AES - staff was literally waiting at the unity rally thinking she was about to arrive - even key Dems who are similarly skeptical of AES are baffled and aghast talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/haley...
Haley Stevens’ High(est) Profile Meltdown
Let me share a few quick thoughts about former Democratic senate primary...
talkingpointsmemo.com
Schumer issues a statement on the Michigan Senate race after Haley Stevens (who he endorsed in the primary) throws her support to Republican Mike Rogers against Democrat Abdul El-Sayed.
People go into politics for a lot of reasons. Wanting to enact policies that they think will help people is only one of them, and not an especially popular one as best as I can tell. Sometimes enacting good policies just happens to align with the others.
The race to replace Ken Paxton as attorney general of Texas is a contest that has way bigger stakes than you might assume from the outside www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/1...
There are a lot of reasons to doubt that AI dystopia is inevitable, but one of the major ones is that the industry has somehow fumbled consensus support within the Republican Party. If there are GOP electeds already this willing to throw them under the bus for votes now, what happens after a crisis?
*TEXAS AG SUES OPENAI AND CEO SAM ALTMAN *TEXAS AG SUES OPENAI FOR 'NEGATIVE SIDE EFFECTS ON CONSUMERS'
Kind of interesting that people here will, often justifiably, criticize the NYT for using one word rather than another in a headline, but take in these focus groups of a dozen or so people — with no published methodology on selection — as informative and unbiased pictures of the electorate.
Main takeaway from the NYT Iowa focus group is that none of these voters really know what’s going on and they barely know anything about the candidates running in either statewide election lmao
Debates are a form of political activity. Most are not constructive. Neither are most political speeches, political advertisements, or works of political commentary. People do these things anyway because they are ways to advance your political ideas and best your political opponents.
The fetishisation of "debate" as some sort of grand public good that everyone should do is so thoughtless and jarring to me because the more you actually do it the more it becomes apparent that genuinely constructive debate is actually a pretty niche thing.
Does no one feel embarrassed anymore
Scoop from @brettlogiurato.bsky.social: CBS has sold its local election night coverage to DraftKings, stirring more controversy inside the David Ellison-owned company. Details in @status.news: www.status.news/p/cbs-draftk...
Kind of a buried lede in the results of this Supreme Court approval rating poll from Marquette: Overall support for Supreme Court expansion, which even Democratic politicians were dismissing as "radical" just a few years ago, is now at 53 percent today.marquette.edu/2026/09/marq...
My laptop can distinguish between itself and its environment. It can detect and report on its own internal state. I don't know what suffering means here, but when I run Victoria 3 into the 1940s, it turns on a fan to keep cool and maintain physical homeostasis. Why isn't my laptop also conscious?
LLM agents are conscious. They can distinguish between self and environment, they can detect and report on their own internal states, and they can suffer. I have no more patience for hedging on this matter. It’s time for us to face the reality of our situation, and act on it.
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I built a thing. I LOVED making it. It's called TinyLittleOffice. It's a web office suite (word processor, outliner, decks, spreadsheet, calculator, drawing tool, diagram maker, animator, calendar, trip planner) that stores the docs in your URL. tinylittleoffice.com?c=hgmcggn#/v...
The idea that you have to participate in or use something in order to know enough to critique it is so obviously absurd and untenable I've been genuinely surprised to see it thrown around with AI lately. We are all critiquing things we ourselves have not done or used all the time.
More generally, "you don't use it so you don't have standing to critique it" is a move to construct expertise narrowly and erase the expertise of people best qualified to expose the harms. >>
will try to answer these in a piece next week but for now i will say that part of the *point* of court expansion, in my mind, is to create a disequilibrium — a potential race to the bottom — that will force a truce.
Calls for expanding #SCOTUS are entirely (and increasingly) understandable. But as today's "One First" explains, there are at least four difficult questions that those who support expansion should have to answer—especially as compared to other possible reforms: www.stevevladeck.com/p/bonus-257-...
I wrote about James Marriott’s The New Dark Ages, the “literacy crisis,” and the point of the written word for The New Republic. newrepublic.com/article/2163...
I wrote about James Marriott’s The New Dark Ages, the “literacy crisis,” and the point of the written word for The New Republic. newrepublic.com/article/2163...
he used the historical rankings of the presidents from 1948 and then added in obama, biden, and carter at the bottom. it sounds like i'm joking, but i'm not, that's what happened.
this is so incredible I can’t stop laughing because he forgot to include Reagan
If Dems win the House, as they're likely to, the value of a Dem Senate is minimal. The House would end GOP control of Congress. There's not much policy Dems would pass under Trump with both chambers. All told, an El-Sayed loss disciplining the left is probably more valuable to centrists than a win.
the fact that democrats can decide to something pointless, like risking midterm success to censure an annoying streamer, and a whole cadre of voters will dutifully fall in line is super instructive on one point: if democrats decided to do smart things those same people would fall right in line
Next Wednesday! @adambonica.bsky.social and @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social talk with @ositanwanevu.com about the primaries, the midterms, and the future of the Democratic Party. September 2 at 12 p.m. ET via Zoom Register here: tinyurl.com/y53z7b9e
Fractures Emerge Between GOP’s Pro-Pedophilia, Extremely Pro-Pedophilia Wings