Joe Phillips

@polpsychjoe.bsky.social

Assistant Professor in Political Science, Trinity College Dublin. Political Psychology. Polarization. Political Communication.

People of Clacton! Show your support for me by putting a bin outside your house, one day this week, of a colour of Tendring Council's choice. This will be unequivocal proof of the success of my campaign.

📣 New paper (cond. accepted at CPS)! ⚡ What happens politically when household energy becomes more expensive? In our new paper (with bluesky-less Sophia Wang) we show that even before the energy crisis (2016–2021), increases in household energy burden erode SWD, particularly among renters. 🧵 1/4

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Have said it before, will say again: The mix of too-accessible-AI for both academic authors and editors (both categories currently overstretched) and the broken academic system of publishing will make for a huge amount of cherry picking of topics that get to be peer reviewed, let alone be published

Trump II has profound consequences that will last a century: -destruction of administrative state & civil service -extreme wealth concentration, tech oligarchy -climate rollbacks -end of rule of law w/o pushback incentivizes future backsliding -Iran Pundits hate this because it sounds shrill

Peter@notalawyer.bsky.social · 2d ago

also, describing a lack of legislative capacity as a point against authoritarian consolidation misses the point: the defining feature of Trump’s second term is consolidation of power in the *executive* - the lack of legislative authorization makes him more authoritarian, not less

At the moment, Trump 2.0 has no great popularity, no legislative capacity, no policy legacy that a Democratic successor can't easily roll back.

Pelosi gets an enormous amount of love for her political instincts — particularly among political scientists On Here — but one big miss was not firmly throwing her weight behind AOC as a successor figure. Case where ideological preferences overrode political winds; AOC is v good at her job.

Acyn@acyn.bsky.social · yesterday

AOC: Millennials are not punk kids anymore. We're grown adults with mortgages and kids, and that generation is starting to be decisive at the polls. And there is anger at being ignored, having our economic futures mortgaged by the generations that came before us and we're taking the reins

"We highlight two areas where [illiberal parties] have been active and impactful in at least some countries: in regulating reproduction and in reshaping knowledge production. We show how these two fields, and especially reproduction, are particularly relevant for gendered dedemocratization." 📄⬇️

The Gendered Politics of Illiberalism

In this article we review the multi-disciplinary literature on how gender is implicated in illiberal and authoritarian-leaning politics as well as how illiberal political regimes impact gender justice...

annualreviews.org

AOC: Millennials are not punk kids anymore. We're grown adults with mortgages and kids, and that generation is starting to be decisive at the polls. And there is anger at being ignored, having our economic futures mortgaged by the generations that came before us and we're taking the reins

I hate this reasoning "Experts said Trump is trying to consolidate authoritarian power, but he hasn't (yet), so they are wrong" Trump is obsessed with removing states' power over their elections so he can nullify them We have concentration camps Any other congress would have removed him by now

Peter@notalawyer.bsky.social · 2d ago

This line from Ross Douthat’s final NYT column is something you see all the time from the soft-MAGA right. Sure, Trump’s *most* alarmist critics weren’t correct, but that’s basically true of every president. Trump’s *median* critic did in fact predict his presidency pretty accurately.

Trumpism has flailed and failed, it hasn't consolidated the kind of authoritarian power anticipated by its most alarmed opponents.

Agreed. The UK “educated-but-stagnating” crisis isn’t a school failure, it’s a much more profound economic failure. UK schools have problems mostly related to resources; seems unreasonable to task stretched teachers of thinking of which pupils will get employed where if govt has no path for success

Daisy Christodoulou@daisychristo.bsky.social · 3d ago

The UK economy has problems. There's been barely any per capita GDP growth or real income growth in about 20 years. Policymakers would be better off finding solutions for this than getting primary schools to make lists of children at risk of unemployment. substack.nomoremarking.com/p/schools-ar...

When you don't listen for *years* to what loads of us who actually understand universities say, when you listen to a load of know-nothing frauds from think tanks and consultants and media loudmouths instead, this is the university disaster you make. Govts could have listened. They didn't.

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New post out: "The myth of the 'Boriswave'" The online right claim that the immigrants who arrived between 21-24 will bankrupt the country. This isn't remotely true but they've created a mainstream panic that could lead us down a dangerous path. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/the-myth-o...

The myth of the "Boriswave"

Over summer 2024 anonymous right-wing accounts on twitter, who support Reform or more extreme ethnonationalist parties, started using the term “Boriswave” to describe the brief but sharp rise in net m...

samf.substack.com

New study shows that — contra widely accepted narratives — there is NO EVIDENCE that professors change their students’ politics and make them more liberal through their teaching

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