Adam Chess

@arsonade.bsky.social

M.A. philosophy, MPH Healthcare Data Scientist. He/Him. Philosophy, public health, stats, data science, scifi, art, TTRPGs, game design, and comics. I mostly just repost when I learn something

OpenAI’s o1 model correctly diagnosed 78.3% of cases in NEJM clinicopathologic conferences, outperforming human physicians. The model also maintained high accuracy on real-world, unstructured data from a major emergency department. #MedSky

Performance of a large language model on the reasoning tasks of a physician

More than 65 years ago, complex clinical diagnostic reasoning cases were introduced as the gold standard for the evaluation of expert medical computing systems, a standard that has held ever since.…

science.org

I came to Minneapolis to report on what's going on, and one of the main questions I showed up with is "just what is the scale of the resistance?" After all, we're all used to the news calling Portland a "war zone" or whatever when it's just some protests in one part of town.

my latest investigation for @consumerreports.org is based on months of reporting and 60+ lab tests of leading protein supplements we found that most protein powders and shakes have more lead in one serving than our experts say is safe to have in a day (🧵) www.consumerreports.org/lead/protein...

Protein Powders and Shakes Contain High Levels of Lead - Consumer Reports

CR tests of 23 popular protein powders and shakes found that most contain high levels of lead.

consumerreports.org

if you're curious about the architecture and mechanics of LLMs, this site has a really excellent explorable interactive visualization. it helps build intuition for how massive these models are, what 'interpretability' means, and the complexity involved here bbycroft.net/llm

Bild

“[D]ooming is itself a liberation from the burden of choice. If everything is ruined forever, if your allies have already forsaken you, if the battle is already lost, you aren't responsible for your choices. They can't affect the outcome. You're free.”

Democrats Must Embrace War Mindset

We have exited a long period of peace and entered into a struggle not unlike war, in which all the old certainties have gone malleable and the future of the republic is at stake.

liberalcurrents.com

In a new paper with @didaoh and Jon Kleinberg, we mapped the family trees of 1.86 million AI models on Hugging Face — the largest open-model ecosystem in the world. AI evolution looks kind of like biology, but with some strange twists. 🧬🤖

The 2500th, 250th, 50th, and 25th largest model families on Hugging Face. They show varying numbers of generations (between 3 and 8) and different edge types, including adapters, finetunes, merges, and quantizations.

LLMs becoming superhuman at all games & competitions but not even normal-expert good at anything that's not a game or competition continues to raise deep questions about whether games & competitions are a secret natural kind

Solar luminosity around 3.5 billion years ago was only about 70% of what it is right now. Which means that when life arose on earth, it was outside the sun's habitability zone: liquid water should not have been able to exist. Faint Young Sun Paradox

It seems clear that the current historical moment will have a major impact on culture. Even recent art feels anachronistic. Movies involving govt/cops more obviously, but also just the undertones of social stability. It feels like it meant something different to make music last year. Any art really.

16 years ago, I found myself in the back garden of a couple I'd just met, as they showed me their pillow fighting arena. The lesson they taught me about games - especially competitive ones - has stayed with me ever since, but I forgot to mention it in interviews when asked if competition is bad. So: