Aurélien Goutsmedt

@aurelien-goutsmedt.com

Postdoc @UCLouvain | ICHEC Brussels | https://aurelien-goutsmedt.com History economics, inflation, econ policy & energy Political econ & central banks #Rstats #nlp #data_viz Managing editor journals.openedition.org/oeconomia github.com/agoutsmedt/

OECD power generation from gas has seen a significant drop in the five months since LNG flows through the Strait of Hormuz were first disrupted. This has not resulted in an increase in coal-fired generation as solar and wind have covered demand growth and the fall in gas.

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Another graph to show how crazy were the tempratures this June and July in Bordeaux. Based on the wonderfull graph of @wxnb.bsky.social , #Rstats graph showing the number of days above a given threshold, where 2026 stands out for all T thresholds #heatwave #canicule bsky.app/profile/wxnb...

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Nahel Belgherze@wxnb.bsky.social · 5d ago

Bordeaux, France, has now recorded more days above 40°C in 2026 alone than during the entire 105-year period from 1920 (when observations began) to 2025. This is deeply shocking.

... there is always the import route, but the whole region is in the same bind—Romania's nuclear is down (1400 MW gone), gas is unaffordable due to the stupid Iran war & hydro across the Balkans is collapsed. Every country prioritizing its own consumption.

Hungary's new government is tested very early. Paks nuclear plant is about to go offline for the first time in 44 years because the Danube is drying up. That's nearly half the country's electricity. Collapsed supply & gas prices spiking throughout the region. Just brutal. apnews.com/article/hung...

Hungary braces for a full shutdown of the Paks nuclear plant as the Danube River hits record lows

Hungary's only nuclear power plant is shutting down for the first time due to record-low water levels on the Danube River.

apnews.com

Call for Papers | EJHET special issue Economists under Pressure and the Political Limits to Economics We welcome historical, comparative, and archival work on how economists have worked under political pressure, censorship, war, exile, and institutional constraint. @shoet.bsky.social

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In this paper published in open access in ITAX, M Johnson and I revisit Musgrave et al. (1951) and assess its legacy in public finance over the last 75 years. We find echoes in the methodological debate between Piketty, Saez, Zucman and Auten and Splinter doi.org/10.1007/s107... @iipf.bsky.social

On the 75th anniversary of Musgrave’s distribution of tax payments by income groups - International Tax and Public Finance

Richard Musgrave et al.’s “Distribution of Tax Payments by Income Groups” (1951) provided the first postwar estimates of the distribution of the fiscal burden, concluding the tax system was not as progressive as statutory rates suggested. Drawing from original archival material, we reconstruct the intellectual context of Musgrave’s study, the methodological debates it gave rise to, and assess its legacy in public finance. The study’s legacy is examined through the rise of econometric estimation, applied general equilibrium modeling, and microdata-based approaches, as well as its influence on policy institutions in the USA and abroad. Despite major advances in data and modeling, we argue that key issues raised by Musgrave—particularly the definition of the income basis and the incidence of the corporate income tax—remain unresolved. The enduring lack of consensus on a uniquely best method highlights both the empirical and normative challenges at the heart of distributional analysis and explains the study’s continued relevance in contemporary debates on taxation and income inequality.

doi.org

75 years ago, Musgrave and students estimated the distribution of the US tax burden by income groups, concluding it was not as progressive as generally considered. The paper generated excitement and controversies, notably on the def of the income basis and the incidence of the corp income tax

journals.openedition.org/oeconomia/20... Courte note sur l'ouvrage collectif dirigé par Alain Trannoy et Arundhati Virmani, Économistes et historiens. Un dialogue de sourds ? De manière générale, je trouve que cet ouvrage est une occasion manquée de faire le point sur des désaccords structurants.

Alain Trannoy et Arundhati Virmani (dir.), Économistes et historien...

En 2023 était publié dans l’American Economic Review un article au titre intrigant : « Heroes and Villains: The Effects of Heroism on Autocratic Values and Nazi Collaboration in France » (Cagé et a...

journals.openedition.org

Le vainqueur "business" du Mondial 2026 est Aramco, principal sponsor du tournoi et surtout, plus gros pétrolier au monde. Cette multinationale saoudienne est le premier pollueur climatique du globe. Le plus grand événement sportif de la planète est sponsorisé par celui qui la brûle. #ESPARG

Capture d'écran de la finale du Mondial 2026 Espagne-Argentine avec en bordure de terrain des panneaux publicitaires Aramco.Capture d'écran de la finale du Mondial 2026 Espagne-Argentine avec en bordure de terrain des panneaux publicitaires Aramco.

🪦❗ Les premières données incluant les certificats de décès électroniques ET papiers montrent une 𝘀𝘂𝗿𝗺𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗱'"𝗮𝘂 𝗺𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝟯𝟱 %" la dernière semaine de juin, par rapport au nombre attendu. Un tel "excès" sur une seule semaine est gigantesque. #canicule 1/4

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HELP NEEDED: I got 2 interesting student criticisms on my Master/PhD class on the history of applied economics, and I'm looking for suggestions to deal with them First one I get from time to time: chaotic slides. I plead guilty, I just don't know how to improve them, I don't have a visual mind

Avec 13,26°C de moyenne d'ITN, ce premier semestre 2026 "pulvérise" littéralement tous les précédents depuis 1930, avec 87% de jours excessivement chauds (sortant de l'écart type sur une moyenne 91/20 déjà très réchauffée). A noter que 6 des 7 premiers semestres de cette décennie sont déjà le Top10!

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[3ème canicule] Il apparaît désormais très probable qu’une troisième canicule s’installe en France dès la fin de semaine. Les incertitudes portent encore sur son intensité et son extension géographique. 1/7

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A financial transaction tax, a digital tax, taxes on cryptocurrency and online gambling, aviation-related levies, taxes on the ultra-wealthy etc. could significant generate revenues while addressing common European issues.

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