OECD power generation from gas has seen a significant drop in the five months since LNG flows through the Strait of Hormuz were first disrupted. This has not resulted in an increase in coal-fired generation as solar and wind have covered demand growth and the fall in gas.
Aurélien Goutsmedt
@aurelien-goutsmedt.com
Postdoc @UCLouvain | ICHEC Brussels | https://aurelien-goutsmedt.com History economics, inflation, econ policy & energy Political econ & central banks #Rstats #nlp #data_viz Managing editor journals.openedition.org/oeconomia github.com/agoutsmedt/
The main reason for developing our El Niño prediction capabilities is to mitigate its severe negative consequences.
El Niño could push 50m people into acute hunger before end of next year
UN forecasters warn of worsening conditions in 45 countries currently experiencing severe food insecurity
theguardian.com
NEW: US tariffs have failed to significantly reduce US dependence on Chinese goods & services. 💡China's share of bilateral US imports fell by 7 percentage points from 2017-24 while China's share of value-added in US imports fell just 2 percentage points. Read more here: www.piie.com/publications...
A quantitative picture of the discourse on China in the US over time and across official documents and media, from Mert Geyiktepe and Dani Rodrik www.nber.org/papers/w35539
Here @econovisuals shows us in a dramatic way just how much the Iran war impacts maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
Another graph to show how crazy were the tempratures this June and July in Bordeaux. Based on the wonderfull graph of @wxnb.bsky.social , #Rstats graph showing the number of days above a given threshold, where 2026 stands out for all T thresholds #heatwave #canicule bsky.app/profile/wxnb...
Bordeaux, France, has now recorded more days above 40°C in 2026 alone than during the entire 105-year period from 1920 (when observations began) to 2025. This is deeply shocking.
Mise à jour avec les données du 31 juillet. Le "sur-été" continue, depuis le 15 juin. Aujourd'hui est le 48ème jour consécutif. Le cumul de chaleur "surestivale" dépasse la valeur de toute l'année 2003 depuis le 18 juillet.
Mise à jour avec les données jusqu'au 16 juillet, soit la moitié de l'été météo. La courbe 2026 du cumul de degrés jours de sur-été est largement au dessus de toutes les autres. Aucun été antérieur ne peut tenir la comparaison avec cette première moitié d'été infernale.
I couldn't find the exact annotated plot of total US oil stocks I wanted, so I had to make my own. At the rate of decline since its recent peak, there are 19 weeks left to having 30 days cover of refinery needs. Blog with #rstats code at freerangestats.info/blog/2026/08...
... there is always the import route, but the whole region is in the same bind—Romania's nuclear is down (1400 MW gone), gas is unaffordable due to the stupid Iran war & hydro across the Balkans is collapsed. Every country prioritizing its own consumption.
Hungary's new government is tested very early. Paks nuclear plant is about to go offline for the first time in 44 years because the Danube is drying up. That's nearly half the country's electricity. Collapsed supply & gas prices spiking throughout the region. Just brutal. apnews.com/article/hung...
Hungary braces for a full shutdown of the Paks nuclear plant as the Danube River hits record lows
Hungary's only nuclear power plant is shutting down for the first time due to record-low water levels on the Danube River.
apnews.com
Call for Papers | EJHET special issue Economists under Pressure and the Political Limits to Economics We welcome historical, comparative, and archival work on how economists have worked under political pressure, censorship, war, exile, and institutional constraint. @shoet.bsky.social
In this paper published in open access in ITAX, M Johnson and I revisit Musgrave et al. (1951) and assess its legacy in public finance over the last 75 years. We find echoes in the methodological debate between Piketty, Saez, Zucman and Auten and Splinter doi.org/10.1007/s107... @iipf.bsky.social
On the 75th anniversary of Musgrave’s distribution of tax payments by income groups - International Tax and Public Finance
Richard Musgrave et al.’s “Distribution of Tax Payments by Income Groups” (1951) provided the first postwar estimates of the distribution of the fiscal burden, concluding the tax system was not as progressive as statutory rates suggested. Drawing from original archival material, we reconstruct the intellectual context of Musgrave’s study, the methodological debates it gave rise to, and assess its legacy in public finance. The study’s legacy is examined through the rise of econometric estimation, applied general equilibrium modeling, and microdata-based approaches, as well as its influence on policy institutions in the USA and abroad. Despite major advances in data and modeling, we argue that key issues raised by Musgrave—particularly the definition of the income basis and the incidence of the corporate income tax—remain unresolved. The enduring lack of consensus on a uniquely best method highlights both the empirical and normative challenges at the heart of distributional analysis and explains the study’s continued relevance in contemporary debates on taxation and income inequality.
doi.org
75 years ago, Musgrave and students estimated the distribution of the US tax burden by income groups, concluding it was not as progressive as generally considered. The paper generated excitement and controversies, notably on the def of the income basis and the incidence of the corp income tax
OEconomia's 2nd issue of 2026 is online: journals.openedition.org/oeconomia/ You'll find papers on the intellectual basis for French disinflation in the 1980s, on Joseph Charlier's economic thought, and on the 19th psychological foundations of consumption theory.
Œconomia - History, Methodology, Philosophy
journals.openedition.org
journals.openedition.org/oeconomia/20... Courte note sur l'ouvrage collectif dirigé par Alain Trannoy et Arundhati Virmani, Économistes et historiens. Un dialogue de sourds ? De manière générale, je trouve que cet ouvrage est une occasion manquée de faire le point sur des désaccords structurants.
Alain Trannoy et Arundhati Virmani (dir.), Économistes et historien...
En 2023 était publié dans l’American Economic Review un article au titre intrigant : « Heroes and Villains: The Effects of Heroism on Autocratic Values and Nazi Collaboration in France » (Cagé et a...
journals.openedition.org
Le vainqueur "business" du Mondial 2026 est Aramco, principal sponsor du tournoi et surtout, plus gros pétrolier au monde. Cette multinationale saoudienne est le premier pollueur climatique du globe. Le plus grand événement sportif de la planète est sponsorisé par celui qui la brûle. #ESPARG
📢 Job opening The Cevipof is recruiting an Assistant Professor in Political Science in the field of political institutions and contemporary transformations of democracy @cevipof.bsky.social @sciencespo.bsky.social
Recruitement : Assistant Professor (tenure track) in Political Science
CEVIPOF / Sciences Po is recruiting an Assistant Professor (Tenure Track) in Political Science, Topic Immigration and Democracy / Political Theory. The application deadline is 18 September 2026.
sciencespo.fr
🪦❗ Les premières données incluant les certificats de décès électroniques ET papiers montrent une 𝘀𝘂𝗿𝗺𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗱'"𝗮𝘂 𝗺𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝟯𝟱 %" la dernière semaine de juin, par rapport au nombre attendu. Un tel "excès" sur une seule semaine est gigantesque. #canicule 1/4
Are you working on French Economic History ? We would be happy to discover your paper in our Virtual Workshop in 2026-2027 ! #econhist
Very happy to share again the CfP for the next edition of the Virtual Workshop on French Economic History. Please submit your paper before August 30, 2026. Submission form: forms.gle/3jYBXmBzF4WL... More information at: sites.google.com/view/vwfhe
🙋♂️ want a zero-config backup of your github repos and think @tangled.org is pretty cool? then synchub.to is for you! 👉 it's a github app that automatically syncs your public github repos to tangled ✨ let me know what you think! 🙏
synchub.to
Mirror your public GitHub repos to tangled.org, automatically.
synchub.to
D'une atonie à une baisse de l'emploi salarié, de moins en moins camouflée par la hausse des autoentrepreneurs.
#Emploi | En 2025, l’emploi continue de ralentir : +19 000 emplois entre fin 2024 et fin 2025, après +118 000 en 2024. 👉 www.insee.fr/fr/statistiq...
📂 News from the Deposits! Now available for consultation at the HAEU: the archives of Jacques Delors’ Cabinet from the Delors II Commission (1989–1993). These newly accessible files shed light on pivotal events in European integration history. More here: https://loom.ly/_LMJhXA #EUHistory
HELP NEEDED: I got 2 interesting student criticisms on my Master/PhD class on the history of applied economics, and I'm looking for suggestions to deal with them First one I get from time to time: chaotic slides. I plead guilty, I just don't know how to improve them, I don't have a visual mind
Avec 13,26°C de moyenne d'ITN, ce premier semestre 2026 "pulvérise" littéralement tous les précédents depuis 1930, avec 87% de jours excessivement chauds (sortant de l'écart type sur une moyenne 91/20 déjà très réchauffée). A noter que 6 des 7 premiers semestres de cette décennie sont déjà le Top10!
🇫🇷 Public Lecture in Bordeaux Pierre François (CNRS / Sciences Po) will present Les trois âges du capitalisme, a free public lecture exploring the history and evolution of capitalism. 🗓 Thurs, 2 July, 20–22:00 📍 Cap Sciences 🗣 In French 🔗 www.cap-sciences.net/au-programme... #SASE2026 #Bordeaux
[3ème canicule] Il apparaît désormais très probable qu’une troisième canicule s’installe en France dès la fin de semaine. Les incertitudes portent encore sur son intensité et son extension géographique. 1/7
C'est parti pour 3 jours de Congrès #AFSP2026 à Lyon ! Retrouvez les interventions de nos chercheurs et chercheuses. 🧵 @bpalier.bsky.social intervient à la plénière d’ouverture "Quand la recherche veut réformer. Quelle intervention des sciences sociales dans l’action publique aujourd’hui ?"
A financial transaction tax, a digital tax, taxes on cryptocurrency and online gambling, aviation-related levies, taxes on the ultra-wealthy etc. could significant generate revenues while addressing common European issues.