David Lockhart

@avicenna2000.bsky.social

Statistician. Gamer. Multi-purpose geek.

Tracing the usage of the term "latent" in science is frickin WILD, dude. It looks like it all goes back to (arguably) the start of the scientific method, Bacon's 1620 Novum Organum, in which he discussed the processus latens.

So, I really hope I get to tell this story in longer form in the near future, but it it’s burning a hole inside me. Most of it comes from an interview with Bob Hirst this weekend. Bob has been Exec Editor of the Mark Twain Project for 47 years, before which he was part of its staff for ~15. 1/16

The ability to properly define a research question is more important today than ever before. Describe a vague research question and your data and 10 times out of 10 Claude WONT ask for any clarification before it suggests 19 different things you can *try*.

Sean Mackinnon@seanpmackinnon.bsky.social · 3y ago

Stats consulting is constantly like: Them: I want you to run (complex stats) Me: OK, what's your research question though? Them: ...A (complex stat)? Me: Research question? Them: You know, like the stats in this journal article. Something reviewers will like.

Goose chasing meme.

"What's your research question?"

Then angry goose chasing yelling the same phrase.

Rayner Unwin’s referee report on The Hobbit, written when his father Stanley Unwin gave it to him and asked whether it should be published. He was paid a shilling for it. My favorite part is the way that Unwin, aged 10 at the time, makes it clear that this is a book for children younger than him.

"Bilbo Baggins was a Hobbit who lived in his Hobbit hole and never went for adventures, at
last Gandalf the wizard and his Dwarves
persuaded him to go. He had a very ex[c]iting time fighting goblins and wargs. At last they got to the lonely mountain; Smaug, the dragon who guards it is killed and after a terrific battle with the goblins he returned home - rich!
This book, with the help of maps, does not need any illustrations it is good and should appeal to all children between the ages of 5 and 9."
—Unwin's review of The Hobbit. 4]
Lincoln Michel@thelincoln.bsky.social · 3w ago

The big literary discourse on twitter right now is whether The Hobbit—a children’s book that won children’s lit awards and was literally written for the author’s children—is appropriate reading for children or in fact such a difficult book most adults can’t “get their head around” it.

Has someone created and LLM-powered survey checker to review draft questionnaires for readability, double-barreled questions, order effects, and other best practices for survey research. Because from looking at some public surveys ... it would be useful.

Short story about statistical modeling without causal inference gone badly wrong. Just head on the news that preschoolers play 15 minutes less on rainy days. The reporting stressed that the research was "associational" and therefore couldn't tell us why. Huh? 1/

Do you know a good framework to document data analysis choices? Ex: dropping obs, recoding a var, tuning pars, model + test statistics, etc. Ideally human-readable so people don't have to read my entire codebase. Low-maintenance+ machine-readable for bonus points! #RStats #PyData

I resigned from the National Science Board in May when meaningful oversight became untenable. I respect colleagues who stayed to serve the NSB's mission. Today's news clarifies that was an erosion of oversight and function has become open elimination of the Board itself. 🧵 time.com/7285045/resi...

Why I’m Resigning from the NSF and Library of Congress

I cannot participate in systems that require dishonesty as the price of belonging.

time.com

Dan Garisto@dangaristo.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Breaking: Trump has fired the membership of the National Science Board, which is oversees NSF. I have confirmed separately with multiple now-former members of NSB.

I think the issue is that two claims get conflated: "Statistical learning over massively distributed representations is more similar to neural processing than symbol manipulation is" "Connectionist / Neural Networks / Deep Learning / Transformer models are just like humans"