Daniel Tavana

@danieltavana.bsky.social

Assistant Professor of Political Science, Penn State. I work on elections, identity, and political behavior in the Middle East and North Africa. danieltavana.com

How many Iranians support the Islamic Republic? In a new working paper, we answer this using a nationally representative survey of 2,000 adults in Iran—and the list experiment, a method for measuring sensitive attitudes.

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My department, @iepolisci.bsky.social has three TT lines in CP, IR, and PE to start in Fall 2027. I'm on the search committee and happy to answer any questions about the lines, the department, the university, or Madrid (spoiler alert: they're awesome).

IE Political Science Department@iepolisci.bsky.social · 3mo ago

We are hiring! We have 3 tenure track positions open: - Comparative Politics: apply.interfolio.com/188149 - International Relations: apply.interfolio.com/188150 - Political Economy: apply.interfolio.com/188151 All jobs have deadlines Oct 5th. Please help spread the word to potential candidates.

How many Iranians support the Islamic Republic? In a new working paper, we answer this using a nationally representative survey of 2,000 adults in Iran—and the list experiment, a method for measuring sensitive attitudes.

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Jordan--where the most existential threat to national security comes from a peace partner (Israel) and where US military forces invite, not deter, foreign attacks My words in Arab Reform Initiative: arab-reform.net/publication/... via @ArabReform_ARI

Jordan’s New Security Dilemma

Geography is Jordan’s cruel master. Wedged between Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia, the Hashemite Kingdom has long weathered regional conflicts that brought refugee influx…

arab-reform.net

New paper in @ajpseditor.bsky.social. Is descriptive representation good for substantive representation? Why do voters stay loyal to corrupt and poorly governing ethnic parties? I argue that we ought to focus less on patronage and more on dignity concerns. Defiant pride can come at a price. 1/🧵

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OK Sunday 8 am is not the best panel time. I get it. BUT tomorrow I'm presenting idealstan alongside 3 other banger papers on ideal points & measurement modeling. You want to know the latest & greatest in quantitative measurement, this is it. West 120 @ 8 am 🫡 #apsa2025

papers for panel

For those in Vancouver, the Democracy and Autocracy Section will be holding our business meeting tomorrow (9/11) from 6:30-7:30pm at the Convention Center (West) Room 115. Our reception will be right after from 7:30-9:30pm at Steamworks Brewpub (375 Water Street). Come join us!

Vicente Valentim, Elias Dinas, & I came together to do this paper because we have all long shared an intution: mainstream center-right rhetoric shapes democratic norms. The hard part? Showing it empirically. We make some headway in this new paper. Grateful to @bjpols.bsky.social for publishing.

British Journal of Political Science@bjpols.bsky.social · last yr.

NEW - How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD "we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians" - @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social #OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing the dynamics of mainstream and radical political rhetoric regarding anti-immigrant policies, highlighting differences in societal responses and enforcement norms based on the source of the rhetoric.

I really want to believe that American public opinion still matters. It makes me feel better that most Americans don’t support these policies. But other non-democracies demonstrate that once institutions have been politically weaponized, public opinion matters significantly less.

Post nicht verfügbar.

Apply to EuroWEPS 12/13! We're organizing the next EuroWEPS workshops at Bocconi (Nov 14) and EUI (Dec 15) to discuss designs/papers focusing on causal inference. No presentations, just constructive discussions. Early career scholars are especially welcome to apply! Submission deadline is Sep 30

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If you’re curious the assassination of the IRGC commanders creates a rally around the flag. I suggest reading my recent coauthored article. #IRGC is not a liked in #Iran due to its participation in repression of oppositions. Some of Iranians actually celebrating it. academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...

Who Rallies Round the Flag? The Impact of the US Sanctions on Iranians’ Attitude toward the Government

Abstract. While politicians often argue that economic sanctions can induce policy changes in targeted states by undermining elite and public support for th

academic.oup.com

Last month, Lebanon held its first local elections since 2016. Over the past nine years, the country has experienced a series of upheavals and crises - yet the most remarkable feature of these elections was (mostly) how much they resembled previous ones. Some key takeaways /1