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Sean Yom

@seanyom.bsky.social

Poli-sci prof @ Temple, Senior Fellow @ DAWN, and luckiest dad outside Türkiye. I write on Mideast politics, authoritarianism, & US foreign policy. More: http://seanyom.com. ***Slowly moving here from Twitter/X...

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Drop Site@dropsitenews.com · 2mo ago

🚨 Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi told State TV the emerging US-Iran memorandum of understanding is a roughly 1.5-2 page, 14-point doc that has been negotiated for more than 2 months & reviewed line by line by Iran’s Supreme Nat'l Security Council & military leadership. 🔸According to Araghchi, the 1st...

🔸According to Araghchi, the first stage includes: ➤ A formal end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon ➤ A commitment that neither side will initiate a new war or use threats and force ➤ The lifting of the U.S. naval blockade ➤ A framework for the release of Iran’s frozen assets ➤ The Strait of Hormuz is addressed in the memorandum, with Araghchi saying Iran’s future management of the waterway “will be different from the past” and that services there “will no longer be free.” The arrangement for the 60-day period will be settled by the MoU itself, but other details may be finalized during the follow-on negotiations. ➤ Sanctions relief and reconstruction are raised as part of a reconstruction and economic development plan, but Araghchi says the full mechanisms on the matter will be agreed during later negotiations. 🔸 The Second Stage: ➤ Would consist of 60 days of negotiations toward a final agreement, with the possibility of extension by mutual consent. ➤ Araghchi says those talks will aim to resolve the nuclear file, including uranium enrichment and Iran’s stockpile of 60% enriched uranium. ➤ He says the negotiations will also address the broader issues raised in the memorandum, including sanctions relief, the reconstruction and economic development plan, arrangements related to the Strait of Hormuz, and other technical details🔸 On Hormuz (and Oman and China): ➤ He says Iran and Oman, as the two sovereign states bordering the strait, will continue to oversee its security and administration. ➤ Araghchi suggested that services in the Strait of Hormuz that have historically been provided free of charge, including maritime security and safe passage, the designation and maintenance of shipping lanes, environmental protection, and search-and-rescue services, would under a future framework carry fees. ➤ Araghchi says Iran has held close consultations with Oman, which he described as its principal partner on the issue, and that the two sides have reached “good results.” He said joint plans and a joint statement will be announced in the near future. ➤ He also says Iran has held expert-level consultations with other stakeholder nations, including China, noting that roughly 40% of shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is linked to China because of its economic interests. 🔸Araghchi said the memorandum will be signed remotely in a “digital” format, with each side signing separately before a joint announcement, adding that an agreement could be finalized “within the next day or two, or within the next several days.” 🔗 Araghchi’s full remarks on Friday, translated into English by Drop Site News, are below ⬇️Bild
Drop Site@dropsitenews.com · 2mo ago

🧵THREAD: Full Remarks by Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi on Fri.: 🔹 “Over the course of one year, we went through two very severe wars. That is a reality. After the 12-day war, I think they concluded that perhaps they had not sufficiently prepared their capabilities. Perhaps they realized they first...

🔹 “Over the course of one year, we went through two very severe wars. That is a reality. After the 12-day war, I think they concluded that perhaps they had not sufficiently prepared their capabilities. Perhaps they realized they first needed to target what they saw as our greatest strength, which is our social cohesion. They made preparations and got themselves ready for a bigger war. In the meantime, we experienced the events of the 18th of Dey [January 7-8], and then we faced the 40-day war, in which they imagined that this time they could finally, in their delusion, finish the job. But instead, they encountered extremely courageous and steadfast resistance from Iran, from Iran’s armed forces, and from the Iranian people.” 🔹 “When I use the word ‘steadfast,’ I do so deliberately. Just a couple of days ago, one Western official said, ‘We did not believe that the Iranian people, or Iran itself, could be this steadfast and resist this stubbornly.’” 🔹 “This steadfastness and resistance, throughout the 40 days of war and afterward during the ceasefire up to the present, is first and foremost owed to our armed forces, who made enormous sacrifices. This has been said many times, but truly every one of us owes a debt to our armed forces and to the martyrs of our armed forces, who gave their lives in sacrifice.”
Sean Yom@seanyom.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Jordan--where the most existential threat to national security comes from a peace partner (Israel) and where US military forces invite, not deter, foreign attacks My words in Arab Reform Initiative: arab-reform.net/publication/... via @ArabReform_ARI

Jordan’s New Security Dilemma

Geography is Jordan’s cruel master. Wedged between Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia, the Hashemite Kingdom has long weathered regional conflicts that brought refugee influx…

arab-reform.net

Sean Yom@seanyom.bsky.social · 3mo ago

MERIP's new issue is on campus politics & Palestine which @makrevis.bsky.social @lisahajjar.bsky.social Stephen Gasteyer and I oversaw! Incredible essays on campus surveillance, activism, & crackdowns in US, MENA, & Germany, and sobering roundtables w/ faculty & students on advocacy under duress.

Middle East Research and Information Project@merip.bsky.social · 3mo ago

NEW ISSUE: Campus Politics--Palestine and the New University Order is out today! The issue features a suite of articles reflecting on two years of student encampments and struggles for academic freedom and against authoritarianism in the US, Europe and the Middle East.

Fred Guttenberg@fredguttenberg.bsky.social · 3mo ago

If you were horrified watching elected leaders run & scramble because of gun violence, just imagine how my daughter Jaime felt in school running from an active shooter before she was killed. Now, become a part of the solution & only vote for people determined to address gun violence in America.

Joyce Karam@joycekaram.bsky.social · 4mo ago

UPDATE • Trump: US to Blockade Hormuz • Pakistan talks failed • Trump: All or nothing • US, Iran delegations left Islamabad • UAE: Hormuz’s “not Iran’s to close” • Israel prepares for war to resume • Israel strikes Lebanon, raid in South • Ceasefire expires04/22

Sean Yom@seanyom.bsky.social · 5mo ago

US director of national intelligence whose job is to assess imminent threats tells Congress that it's not her job to assess imminent threats IE we couldn't invent intel that Iran was about to attack the US so... we just let DJT do his thing www.middleeasteye.net/news/top-us-...

Top US intelligence official says it's not her job to determine imminent threats

Tulsi Gabbard, a longtime anti-war voice, avoided undermining the president's claims in a public hearing

middleeasteye.net

Sean Yom@seanyom.bsky.social · 5mo ago

The GCC states shot down 5 warplanes today 3 were American 2 were Iranian Trump just clarified he may order "boots on the ground" Yep, war's going exactly as planned! www.jpost.com/internationa...

Donald Trump won't ro=ule out boots on ground in Iran | The Jerusalem Post

Speaking on Monday, Trump said he “didn’t care about polling,” argued that leaders sometimes must act without clear public backing, and claimed the operation was “way ahead of schedule.”

jpost.com

Kevin Rothrock@kevinrothrock.me · 5mo ago

"Trump administration officials acknowledged in closed-door briefings with congressional staff on Sunday that there was no intelligence suggesting Iran planned to attack U.S. forces first." www.reuters.com/world/us/pen...

Pentagon tells Congress no sign that Iran was going to attack US first, sources say

Trump administration officials acknowledged in closed-door briefings with congressional staff on Sunday that there was no intelligence suggesting Iran planned to attack U.S. forces first, two people f...

reuters.com

Sean Yom@seanyom.bsky.social · 5mo ago

1.5 days after the war for "regime change" in Iran started... Trump says he'll talk to its leaders to end the conflict. He refused to promise help for a popular uprising (that hasn't happened) This is the demonic baby of a neocon-populist shotgun wedding www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

Trump says Iran leadership agrees to talks after US and Israel strike Tehran

‘They should have done it sooner, they waited too long,’ says Trump but he doesn’t say when talks would take place

theguardian.com

Ryan Grim@ryangrim.bsky.social · 5mo ago

The SAVE Act is so petty it tries to block students and Native Americans from voting. Many tribal IDs do NOT have an expiration date (because why would they? Tribal status doesn't expire). And student IDs, even issued by the state, specifically don't count

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