Tessera
Folgen

Eric Scheuch

@ericscheuch.bsky.social

Deputy Experiments Director at Yale Program on Climate Change Communication. PhD from Yale, BA from Columbia. Public opinion, quantitative methods, urban/rural divide. He/him. ericscheuch.org/about

53 Posts95 Follower72 Folgt
Drew Engelhardt@amengel.bsky.social · last mo.

Working on a dissertation in American political behavior and need money for survey research? Apply for a grant worth up to $15,000 from the Rapoport Family Foundation. They’re planning on awarding up to 15 grants this cycle. Deadline Oct. 21. www.rapoportfamilyfoundation.com/phdgrant

Rapoport Doctoral Dissertation Grants

Supporting projects for PhD students doing political science research, democracy and social justice.

rapoportfamilyfoundation.com

Consortium on the American Political Economy (CAPE)@cape-team.bsky.social · 4mo ago

The 6th Annual CAPE Research Conference program is live! Join us virtually July 27-29 at 12:00 PM ET for the latest (and greatest) in American Political Economy (APE) research. Free registration and full schedule: americanpoliticaleconomy.org/events/annual-conference 👇

Annual Conference | Consortium on the American Political Economy

The annual CAPE research conference is a forum for APE-oriented scholars to present work in progress and receive feedback from the broader APE community.

americanpoliticaleconomy.org

Yale Program on Climate Change Communication@yaleclimatecomm.bsky.social · 5mo ago

New study: How to communicate the impact of climate change on extreme weather in India, the UK, and the US. Simple messages can help build public understanding that climate change is making extreme weather more likely:

Communicating the Impact of Climate Change on Extreme Weather in India, the United Kingdom, and the United States| Global Environmental Psychology

As climate change increasingly affects the likelihood and severity of extreme weather events such as flooding and heat waves around the world, it is more important than ever to encourage both mitigation and adaptation. As an important step, people need to understand the links between climate change and extreme weather. We conducted a preregistered online randomized experiment with over 10,000 participants across India, the UK, and the USA, three countries that are large annual emitters but have different patterns of extreme weather. We tested the impact of different numerical frames (percentage versus times) and types of extreme weather (heat waves versus flooding) on beliefs that climate change made extreme weather in 2023 more likely. All four message treatments had a significant effect, increasing the percentage of participants who believed climate change made extreme weather more likely by 4.5 to 6.1 percentage points. However, there was no main effect of specific event type or numerical framing. We found message treatments also increased worry about climate change in general, although impact on policy support or information-seeking behavior was limited. The findings of this study contribute to the scarce literature on which messages are effective at communicating extreme weather event attribution.

doi.org

Miranda Yaver@mirandayaver.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Coverage Denied: How Health Insurers Drive Inequality is finally out in the world! Combining nationwide survey evidence, state administrative data, and 111 interviews with patients, physicians & others, it tells the long-overdue story of coverage barriers and their deepening of burden an inequity.

Bild
Yale Program on Climate Change Communication@yaleclimatecomm.bsky.social · 5mo ago

We're hiring a new Managing Director! If you have senior experience in operations, administration, development, communications, and program management, this New Haven-based role may be a good fit - check out the details, and please spread the word:

Employment - Yale Program on Climate Change Communication

Browse currently available full-time, post-doctorate, and contract-based jobs at the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication.

climatecommunication.yale.edu

Zeke Hausfather@zekehausfather.com · 5mo ago

We now have 13 different models with 637 different ensemble members with El Niño forecasts out through at least September 2026. They suggest a best estimate of 2.2C for September; interestingly ECMWF (which was seen as particularly hot when it came out) is right around the middle of the pack:

Bild
Tom Broderick@trumbullbrod.bsky.social · 6mo ago

Plug-in solar is one of a suite of solar recs that I’d urge CT legislators to adopt. I’d call it the “ @volts.wtf Listener Suite” of policy proposals, as anyone who’s been a long-time listener probably has a set of dream proposals for their state! www.volts.wtf/p/whats-the-...

What's the deal with balcony solar?

Cora Stryker joins me to explain how "plug-in" solar took Europe by storm and is finally, via Utah (?), making its way to America.

volts.wtf

Eric Scheuch@ericscheuch.bsky.social · 7mo ago

On Wednesday, I'm giving a virtual talk on why hurricanes (don't) change public opinion on climate change, with applications to causal attribution in political economy. Come by, or DM me for the paper if you're interested and can't make it!

Junior Americanist Workshop Series@jawspolisci.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Join us next Wednesday at 1 pm ET for our next workshop, featuring great work by Daniella Alva and @ericscheuch.bsky.social on public opinion 📈🤔Register and read the papers here: jawspolisci.network

Ryan Briggs@ryancbriggs.net · 7mo ago

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
John Holbein@johnholbein1.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Are female economists treated differently than males in academic seminars? These authors wanted to know whether gender shapes how scholars are treated when presenting research. So they built a massive dataset of 2,000+ economics seminars, job talks, and conference presentations from 2019–2023...

BildBild
Eric Scheuch@ericscheuch.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Possibly the best thing we can do (now) to cut emissions and energy bills is build more rooftop solar. My new paper in Climatic Change pins low deployment and racial inequality on high up-front costs: link.springer.com/article/10.1... And this @volts.wtf episode walks through how to fix that!

Bild
David Roberts@volts.wtf · 8mo ago

Today on Volts: you've probably heard that rooftop solar is 3X the price in the US that it is in Australia, because of "soft costs." How can we fix that? Today I get into the details of permitting & interconnection with two experts who have devoted their careers to bringing those soft costs down.

Quinn Bornstein@quinn-bornstein.bsky.social · 8mo ago

New article with Jim Gimpel in @politicalgeography.bsky.social on convergence in voting behavior in Vermont & New Hampshire border towns 1970-2020. This one goes out to all the tiny towns in the Northeast Kingdom. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Good bridges make good neighbors: The convergence of political support astride the Connecticut river

Does social and political influence cross geophysical borders that present barriers to human interaction? The natural environment is abundant with fea…

sciencedirect.com