Ali Duffey

@aliduffey.bsky.social

Climate science | Stratospheric aerosol injection | Arctic climate change Senior Scientist at Reflective and visiting researcher at UCL

“Nobody has ever studied this carefully” said the people who spent 10 years threatening to tank the carrier of anybody daring to studying that thing carefully and systematically. I’m going to have a brain aneurysm before 40.

Paper out today on high-latitude low-altitude stratospheric aerosol injection (HiLLA-SAI). It's long, with literally 100s of sub-plots, so TL:DR: HiLLA-SAI is a polar-focused but still global intervention, with ~40-70% the global cooling efficiency of "normal" SAI esd.copernicus.org/articles/17/...

The global climate response to High-Latitude Low-Altitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (HiLLA-SAI)

Abstract. High-latitude low-altitude (HiLLA) Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI) would face fewer logistical barriers than high-altitude low-latitude SAI, because it could use repurposed existing la...

esd.copernicus.org

On Friday, I'm talking with the head of Reflective, a nonprofit trying to accelerate the responsible research of solar radiation modification (SRM), ie, blocking some sunlight from reaching earth in order to cool the atmosphere. Geoengineering! Got questions?

Reflective | Radically Accelerating the Pace of Sunlight Reflection Research

We equip the world with the data and tools needed to make informed decisions about sunlight reflection, fast enough to matter.

reflective.org

Reading back through @eaterofsun.bsky.social 's The Planet Remade and thought this snippet about German involvement in geoengineering research was interesting. 10 years later the opposite seems true. On the other hand, the description of GeoMIP conferences fits the recent ones pretty well..

Excerpt from the book The Planet Remade stating that Germany is the country that has been spending the most money in solar geoengineering research

In 2022, archaeologists at @uni-kiel.de's @neolithicbodies.bsky.social found 34 decapitated skeletons piled in a space the size of a parking spot. In the 3 years since, they’ve found 50 more. The mass grave is evidence for the collapse of the 1st pan-European culture 7,000 years ago. @science.org 🏺💀

Headless bodies hint at why Europe’s first farmers vanished

Wave of mass brutality accompanied the collapse of the first pan-European culture

science.org

"when we deploy it we will see how effective is" I hear this quite a bit but it isn't true. 10 years into a hypothetical SAI deployment, observed rainfall patterns would be pretty much useless for reducing our uncertainty in e.g. indian summer monsoon impacts

umsonst.bsky.social@umsonst.bsky.social · 12mo ago

Absolutely! The effect just depends on the model taken. So it's easy to meddle around... When we will deploy it we will see how effective it is and understand the side effects Sadly, we will need it... If we start we have with all we've got to reduce our emissions as otherwise its a death trap

wrote about this last year and sure I wasn't in any way the only one but imo people voting for populist politics in the 21st century *is* a sign that they do just have too much faith in institutions, as opposed to not enough - they want to have their little tantrum but assume things will just hold

Post nicht verfügbar.

Is this a crisis or not? Are tipping point risks serious or not? Net zero is non-negotiable, but climate impacts are here, and all plausible emissions scenarios see us pass 1.5C. If now is not a reasonable time to explore radical ideas, when would be?

Damian Carrington@dpcarrington.bsky.social · last yr.

Polar #geoengineering dismissed as “unimaginably expensive” and “dangerous” Giant underwater curtains and artificial ice thickening diverts attention from cutting fossil fuel burning, climate scientists argue - but proponents disagree #climatecrisis Story by me www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Given this context, I'm delighted to share a new review on the solar geoengineering and earth system tipping points. Its a long read including ice sheets, AMOC, coral reefs, Amazon dieback and various others.. TLDR: solar geo probably helps avoid tipping, but a lot more research is needed

Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf@rahmstorf.bsky.social · last yr.

New Scientist has a report on a controversial issue discussed last week at the #GlobalTippingPoints conference in Exeter: will we need solar radiation interference as a desperate measure, as politicians are failing to phase out fossil fuels? www.newscientist.com/article/2487...

And remember that the peak temperatures you experience in SE England in the next couple of days will be 4-5°C warmer than they would have been with similar weather patterns in the climate of a century ago.

It was great fun collaborating with Robbie and others on this paper. The stability of the winter Arctic atmosphere is a big part of why it is warming so fast in that season, so its important to understand whether the models are doing a reasonable job, and if not, why.

Robbie Mallett@robbiemallett.bsky.social · last yr.

Paper out today led by @aliduffey.bsky.social where we compare the atmospheric boundary layer in climate models to 7000 vertical profiles from Soviet ice stations + ~500 from the MOSAiC & SHEBA campaigns. More forays into the world of polar meteorology to come! dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024...