Matthew Henry
@mattjohenry.bsky.social
Climate science PhD | Aerosols, SRM | Senior Research Fellow | University of Exeter | Based in Leeds | 🇬🇧/🇫🇷 https://matthewjhenry.github.io/
Dug that out for a talk I'm preparing, a forecast for 2027 at 1.76C [1.53, 1.98] is quite amazing.
Zeke Hausfather@zekehausfather.com · 2mo agoHere are my latest numbers incorporating the August 10th C3S model updates (and the rest of the August dynamic model runs) as well as July data from (most) datasets:
'We've had 2 hot summers, so I'm just hoping that next year will be ok again' Oh buddy you have no idea ....
Spelling Mistakes Cost Lives@darrencullen.bsky.social · 6d agoThe moral arc of the universe is long but it bends towards Jeremy Clarkson spending decades denying global warming only to sink his fortune into a farm just as global warming really starts to kick in
The world has made real progress in steering away from some of the darkest climate futures where global emissions doubled (or more) this century. But as David Wallace-Wells and I note in today's NYT, we are not out of the woods yet, and climate uncertainty is not our friend: www.nytimes.com/2026...
1.5 degrees is coming – does that mean we’ll soon cross a *physical* limit? New post from me, on a perspective piece @smconstantino.bsky.social & I had out recently in Environmental Research Letters, arguing what it says on the tin: that 'Tipping points do not make 1.5 °C a physical climate limit'
Welcome to the limit
1.5 degrees is coming – does that mean we’ll soon cross a physical climate limit?
gaiaexmachina.wordpress.com
There are still big unknowns about solar geoengineering: Reflective has just released a road map of the studies & experiments needed to reduce that uncertainty — and make an "informed decision" about its use:
This road map could help us decide whether to deploy solar geoengineering
A new report from the nonprofit Reflective lays out the experiments needed to better understand our ability to dim the sun.
technologyreview.com
To be fair, figuring out that something will not work is itself a pretty important finding!
I have an opening for a two-year postdoc at UC Irvine on modeling of Antarctic ice-ocean interactions in new configurations of CESM3 with dynamic ice sheets! Please share here and with anyone in your networks who may be interested! recruit.ap.uci.edu/JPF10422
Postdoctoral Scholar - Synchronous Ice Sheet-Earth System Modeling
University of California, Irvine is hiring. Apply now!
recruit.ap.uci.edu
Had a lot of fun chatting with the folks at Novara Media about El Nino, global warming, mitigation scenarios, carbon dioxide removal, geoengineering, technology, policy, and a whole range of other topics. Check out the whole interview here:
Everything You Need To Know About The MONSTER El Niño.
Featuring Michael Walker & Zeke Hausfather. Support our work: http://novara.media/support Buy Novara Media merch: https://shop.novaramedia.com/
youtube.com
Happy to have played a small part in helping this piece into print. www.economist.com/by-invitatio...
The world may have less time than it thinks on climate change
If it is affecting circulation patterns that determine how and where anticyclones form, it could accelerate alarmingly, warns Tim Palmer
economist.com
My package in @economist.com on contrails and the climate advantages of there being fewer of them 🧵 1st up: reporting on Operation Blue Skies, the big new Atlantic trial looking at reducing contrails by air-traffic-control tweaks. www.economist.com/science-and-...
Contrail-free flying could help the climate
A trial over the Atlantic aims to show how
economist.com
Here are some bugger-me facts from the lede
Here are my latest numbers incorporating the August 10th C3S model updates (and the rest of the August dynamic model runs) as well as July data from (most) datasets:
I may not be a bro, but I *have* started a podcast series 😂... ... and episode 1 is live now with the most excellent @climateadam.bsky.social We chat about our fave way to fight the climate crisis: talking about it. ▶️ youtu.be/W04DA7y8By0
Are you scared about climate chaos too?
YouTube video by Dr Gilbz
youtu.be
Think if it's still 0–0 at full time the only fair thing to do is to give it to whoever came third, no?
The entirety of England* right now *okay, the small percentage watching the match
"Ben owns a farm. He employs 100 workers. His payroll is $10 million/year. One day, he buys a mule, which provides the worker who uses it a modest 10% productivity gain. Benjamin fires 99 of his workers and purchases 99 mules, expecting a 1000% productivity gain." www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/ai-...
AI Economics for Dummies
“Xavier owns an apartment that he rents out at a loss of $1 billion/month. Seeing this success, he decides to make financial commitments to construct $850 bi...
mcsweeneys.net
Admirable job by what must be @eaterofsun.bsky.social bringing together the ongoing mystery of the surge in absorbed sunlight on Earth. CERES, pattern effects, ECS -- oh my.
The rate at which Earth is absorbing energy is alarming climate scientists
Reflections on a warming planet
economist.com
With all the July model runs now in, it is very likely that 2026 will see the largest El Niño event since records began in the late 1800s – and potentially by a truly mind-blowing margin. The median estimate is now 3.6C, roughly 0.8C hotter than the prior record (2.75C). www.theclimatebrink....
We are nearly done with the first order draft of the IPCC AR7 report (working group 1). Register to review our work and provide feedback!
IPCC@ipcc.bsky.social · 3mo ago📣 IPCC opens registration for experts to review the First Order Draft of Working Group I contribution to Seventh Assessment Report. The review runs from 10 August until 2 October. Interested experts can register until 25 Sept 2026: https://bit.ly/4vi25cq Read more 🔗 https://bit.ly/WGI7Fod
🌐 Apply Now: The latest Request for Proposals from @exeter.ac.uk and @aria-research.bsky.social, Understanding the potential impacts of Solar Radiation Modification on Sub-Saharan Africa, is live. Research institutions may apply for up to £70,000 in grants. Learn more: bit.ly/3SECHju
Understanding the potential impacts of SRM on Sub-Saharan Africa
Understanding the potential impacts of SRM on Sub-Saharan Africa. A request for funding proposals.
bit.ly
Germany and the Netherlands right now
Homer and Bart Simpson Sitting
ALT: Homer and Bart Simpson Sitting
static.klipy.com
Currently in a very well-attended @ucu.org.uk meeting about this. A fight is brewing!
James Dyke@jamesgdyke.info · 3mo agoWhat are our universities for? This needs to be answered given the risks we all face in this more turbulent & dangerous world. It is a real disappointment that university managers behave as if the answer can only be found in a spreadsheet. www.technosphere.earth/the-bonfire-...
Globally, 84% of the heatwave days people were exposed to in 2020-24 would not have occurred without climate change. The rate of deaths associated with heat exposure increased by 23% from the 1990s, reaching 546,000 deaths annually. Look where people are dying. www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
Just one possible outcome... but the GFS weather forecast model is suggesting 40-41°C is possible in the UK around 7th July. This is a long-range forecast with significant uncertainty, but the fact that we are even seeing such values fairly regularly in the forecasts is extraordinary.
Paris, the capital of France, has recorded more days above 40°C this week than during the 147-year period spanning from 1872 to 2019. Historic is an understatement.
Provisionally, today is now the warmest June day on record in the UK, with 35.8 °C recorded at Wiggonholt, West Sussex
