@adnanm.bsky.social

Treasury is the more appropriate lending conduit for dollar liquidity when geopolitical concerns dominate, while Fed dollar provision should primarily be targeted toward global stability objectives & be more insulated from short-term foreign policy motives, Adnan Mazarei & Maurice Obstfeld write.

Taking geopolitically motivated US swap lines too far would harm the dollar and Fed independence

Over the past century, the United States has provided dollar liquidity abroad through both the US Treasury and the Federal Reserve, but the appropriate mode of liquidity injection depends on the econo...

piie.com

Petrochemical firm owners concentrate among corporations, geographically in China, the US, & Saudi Arabia—but ownership ≠ control. Chinese & other Asian investors exert significant control, while US investors have limited control from passive investments. Saudi Arabia fully controls its investments.

Who controls the global petrochemical industry, and how might that change?

Petrochemicals—used in everything from fertilizers, solar panels, clothing, and cosmetics to electric vehicles, electronics, and medicines—are integral to food security, manufacturing, and clean energ...

piie.com

“This was a very well-connected bank, corrupt etc., which underscored the banking system in itself is a channel for enrichment of the well-connected,” Adnan Mazarei says. The bank failure added to “a crescendo of the loss of legitimacy of the regime following the Israeli attack.”

The Wall Street Journal@wsj.com · 7mo ago

A Tehran bank collapsed under the weight of bad loans to regime cronies. For some ordinary Iranians, it was the last straw.

Central bank independence - the latest evidence based thinking. Non-partisan take: Threatening the central bank chair leads to higher inflation with no gain in growth (recent studies and experience bears this out). www.piie.com/publications...

Central bank independence in practice

The Peterson Institute for International Economics held a high-level conference in October 2025 in Washington, DC, to analyze the serious issues concerning central bank independence in practice. The g...

piie.com

"This is bad news for the US and its trading partners. But the biggest impact on quality of life will be in developing countries that account for a small part of the US trade deficit." Brian Webster & @charlesjkenny.bsky.social on US tariffs & developing countries:

The New US Tariff Regime Will Have Its Greatest Impact in Developing Countries

Yesterday, President Trump announced a sweeping change to US trade policy, imposing tariffs larger than those enacted under the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act that helped deepen the Great Depression. US…

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Egypt tends to face a currency crisis once a decade, the latest was 2022-24 I agree with @adnanm.bsky.social's piece that risks to its post-crisis economy remain: 1. Geopolitical risks 2. Political instability threats 3. Higher global yields under Trump www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/e...

Egypt’s Economic Crisis May Not Be Over | by Adnan Mazarei - Project Syndicate

Adnan Mazarei urges the international community to push for long-overdue governance and economic reforms.

project-syndicate.org