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El

@elemental13.bsky.social

she/they 🏳️‍⚧️ bjumbas Panta Rhei 🌊

59 Posts117 Follower180 Folgt
The Downballot@the-downballot.com · 4w ago

Folks, a *very* exciting announcement: The Downballot has just published updated 2024 presidential results by congressional district for every state with a new map this year! That's 10 states in all, covering a full one-third of the House. Please dive in!

The Downballot releases presidential results for every new House district, sponsored by Grassroots Analytics

10 state have new maps for the midterms. We have data for all of them.

the-downballot.com

Stephen Wolf@stephenwolf.bsky.social · 2mo ago

One board member said the FBI approached some without warrants. “They had agents all across the state going to civil rights leaders and community leaders’ doors intimidating them, coming and demanding that they talk about literally anything they would ask.” “Just straight-up intimidation tactics.”

Bruno J. Navarro@brunojnavarro.bsky.social · 2mo ago

FBI agents on Thursday raided the Cleveland offices of the Ohio Organizing Collaborative, a pro-democracy organization that helps register voters in that state, according to three people briefed on the search.

Stephen Wolf@stephenwolf.bsky.social · 3mo ago

The NYT's maps would hurt Black voters & are de facto GOP gerrymanders. The whole premise is flawed. It’s nonsensical that Dems would 𝘭𝘰𝘴𝘦 a seat with "colorblind" nonpartisan maps—the GOP gerrymandered every state here except for AL & LA. Here's how nonpartisan maps might actually look. [Thread]

A graphic comparing two congressional district maps for eight Southern states shown side by side. On the left side are supposedly "colorblind" and "party-blind" maps that The New York Times' Nate Cohn drew by computer algorithms based only on two factors, compactness and limiting splits to counties and cities. The Republican majority in each state would be: Alabama: 6-1 Florida: 21-7 Georgia: 8-6 Louisiana: 5-1 Mississippi: 4-0 North Carolina: 9-5 South Carolina: 6-1 Tennessee: 7-2 Total: 66-23 Cohn's maps purport to be nonpartisan, and he claims Black voters would have just as much voting power without gerrymandering or Voting Rights Act districts as they did with the current maps that included Voting Rights Act-protected districts. However, on his maps, Democrats would lose one seat overall for just 23 total, and several majority-Black districts would be eliminated while he claims Black Democrats could win several crossover districts thanks to white Democratic voters. On the right are maps drawn by The Downballot's Stephen Wolf using a broad range of nonpartisan criteria, which include communities of interest—defined by shared culture, history, demographics, economics, etc.—natural geography, limiting splits to counties and cities, and compactness. These maps comply with the Voting Rights Act and state constitutional requirements. The 2024 election likely would have resulted in the following delegations for each state: Alabama: 5 Republicans, 2 Democrats Florida: 17 Republicans, 11 Democrats Georgia: 7 Republicans, 7 Democrats Louisiana: 4 Republicans, 2 Democrats Mississippi: 3 Republicans, 1 Democrat North Carolina: 7 Republicans, 7 Democrats South Carolina: 5 Republicans, 2 Democrats Tennessee: 7 Republicans, 2 Democrats Total: 55 Republicans, 34 Democrats
The Upshot@upshot.nytimes.com · 3mo ago

Our simulations show that the act isn’t needed for minority representation in the South, if partisan gerrymandering were checked. www.nytimes.com/2026/05/17/u...

David Nir@davidnir.com · 8mo ago

It's good—very good, and very important—that district courts keep issuing these 100-page rulings upholding the law. It must be incredibly dispiriting to see them overturned in a two-page, lawless, unsigned order, but please, keep them coming. They expose SCOTUS' corruption like nothing else.

El@elemental13.bsky.social · last yr.

Fun Fact: In the last 100 years. The median loss for the incumbent party in a midterm year has been 22 house seats and 4.5 senate seats (I rounded down) Here's what that would look like in 2026

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Aubrey Gilleran@aubreygilleran.bsky.social · last yr.

My critique is that Jeffries should call out the most vulnerable swing-district Republicans by name: Gabe Evans, Mariannette Miller-Meeks, Don Bacon, Mike Lawler, Ryan Mackenzie, etc. Get voters to flood their phones and show up at their offices.

Senator Patty Murray@murray.senate.gov · last yr.

I just came off the floor after speaking for an hour. I refuse to let Republicans confirm Russ Vought the easy way, so we're holding the floor through the night for 30 straight hours. Vought has shown he'll ignore the law & constitution. I'll be voting NO tomorrow.

Maxwell Frost@maxwellfrost.bsky.social · last yr.

We were just told that they won’t let us in. They are denying entry to 2 dozen members of Congress. Elon Musk has all our private information & we have no idea what he’s doing with it. This is happening completely behind closed doors. HELL NO. It’s illegal. We demand oversight!

Alaina Wood@thegarbagequeen.bsky.social · 2y ago

Climate deniers are in the minority here in the United States, but it doesn’t feel that way because big oil has an army of bots and trolls that flood social media with denial, delay, and doom.

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