Elena Leuschner

@elenaleuschner.bsky.social

Working on political participation, protest, responsiveness, and public opinion PostDoc @ University of Münster w Daniel Bischof Previously PhD @ University of Gothenburg https://elenaleuschner.github.io

We are doing it again: thanks to @aufdroeseler.bsky.social and #CDSC, there will be a 2nd round of reproduction games in Münster. These will also see the reproduction of PolSci papers, hence: don't hesitate to register, #PolSci / #SocSci scholars from Münster and beyond!

Lukas Röseler@aufdroeseler.bsky.social · 3w ago

Register now for the 2nd Münster Reproduction Games at indico.uni-muenster.de/e/rg2 > join a one day event to reproduce results from published articles > get support from experts from multiple disciplines > turn your report into an independent, publishable manuscript

Genuinely interested in your views: What is the future of teaching statistical programming language for data science in the age of AI? Will we even still teach programming R or Python?

🌇 Interested in exploring Belfast's city center? Sign up for the private guided walking tour for conference delegates – uncovering the stories behind Belfast’s people, culture and street art. Approximately 60 minutes, starting and finishing at the ICC. Book your ticket in advance!

Packing my bags (and raincoat) for #EPSS2026! I'm always super happy to meet new people, so please reach out 🌟 Also, I am hoping to connect with people who work on government consultation processes, lobbying, influence of interest groups. Sounds like you or someone you know? Drop a comment 😃👇

Was Umfragen nur schlecht aufzeigen können und auch Wählerstromanalysen nur selten schätzen, ist die Anzahl Wählender, die seit der letzten Wahl verstorben sind. 2021 wurde das in BaWü und 2018 in Bayern erhoben. In BaWü sehen wir, dass 11x mehr SPD-Wählende verstorben sind als zur AfD wechselten.

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Tarik Abou-Chadi@tabouchadi.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Die Idee, die SPD hätte massiv Wähler:innen an die AfD verloren dominiert weiter den politischen Diskurs. Sie ist schlicht falsch. Mit dem Panel der GLES sieht man bspw. dass nur 11% der 2013 SPD-Wähler:innen 2025 AfD gewählt haben. Diese Tatsache muss doch mal in Politik und Medien ankommen.

Packing my bags (and raincoat) for #EPSS2026! I'm always super happy to meet new people, so please reach out 🌟 Also, I am hoping to connect with people who work on government consultation processes, lobbying, influence of interest groups. Sounds like you or someone you know? Drop a comment 😃👇

Heading to the #EPSSBelfast conference next week? The EPSS Diversity Committee has organized several events to make this a welcoming space for everyone. Quick thread on what's happening and when 👇

Excited to share our new paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @krausewe.bsky.social! Parties polling just below an electoral threshold are far less likely to clear it: a self-fulfilling prophecy that diminishes when polls communicate uncertainty. 🗳️📊 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Werner Krause@krausewe.bsky.social · 2mo ago

New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Image showing the abstract of the paper "Self-Fulfilling Prophecies at the Voting Booth" by Werner Krause and Christina Gahn, published in the Journal of Politics. The abstract describes a quasi-experimental study across 25 countries finding that parties polling just below electoral thresholds are approximately 45 percentage points less likely to clear them, and that this effect diminishes when voters are informed about polling uncertainty.

Really glad to have been invited to this speaker series! Looking forward to my first visit to Münster (also my fourth country in six days)

Elena Leuschner@elenaleuschner.bsky.social · 4mo ago

It's a new semester in Münster and that means a new start to our speaker series! We have teamed up with @thiloalbers.bsky.social + Andreas Stegmann to organize next year's talks. We are so excited to kick off w @alexjabbour.bsky.social next week 🎉 @danbischof.bsky.social @mwegemann.bsky.social

@au.dk is hiring 3 postdocs (2 yrs) on personality cults & strategic communication in autocracies, led by Jakob Tolstrup & Alexander Baturo. They're looking for profiles with text-as-data, survey experiments and/or Chinese politics experience. Start fall 2026. Looks like a great opportunity!

Three 2-year Postdoctoral positions at Aarhus University: Projects on personality cults and strategic communication in autocracies - Vacancy at Aarhus University

Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

international.au.dk

We are hiring a tenure track (!) senior researcher in political economy! This is obviously a great job (permanent without teaching obligation) and I hope you all apply. However, I would like to take a moment to share just how significant this is in the German academic context ⬇️

Max-Planck-Institut für Gesellschaftsforschung (MPIfG)@mpifg.bsky.social · 4mo ago

📢 Call: Tenure Track Position The MPIfG Political Economy Research Area led by Lucio Baccaro is seeking a Senior Researcher. Open to candidates with at least two years’ postdoc experience. Please share widely! 🗓️ Apply by April 20, 2026 s.gwdg.de/WPMPp1

Tenure Track Position: Senior Researcher, Political Economy. Application Deadline. April 20, 2026