FiftyPlusOne.news is delighted to announce that for the remainder of the 2026 election cycle, the remarkable and talented Cooper Burton will be working with us! Cooper is an incredible researcher and writer, and we're so happy to have him.

Love the new @fiftyplusone.news midterms forecasts! fiftyplusone.news/forecast/house

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Good morning poll lovers! Big drop at FiftyPlusOne.news today: our 2026 midterm election forecast is now live! fiftyplusone.news/forecast/house

FiftyPlusOne - Latest Political Polls and Averages

A comprehensive list of polls and polling averages for elections and politician approval.

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Latest at @fiftyplusone.news: We built a dataset tracking every primary endorsement from Trump, progressive groups, party committees, women’s groups, and pro-Israel groups. Halfway through the season, here's who's winning. 🧵 blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/primary-pr...

New primary data @fiftyplusone.news confirms a pattern political scientists have flagged for years: Women with endorsements are winning primaries at high rates in both parties, but the opportunity structure around them is wildly unequal🧵 (full story here open.substack.com/pub/fiftyplu...)

We tracked every candidate in the 2026 primaries. Here's who voters are nominating.

Our original dataset tracks endorsements across every congressional and gubernatorial race to reveal how party leaders and ideological groups are faring.

open.substack.com

50+1 is very happy to publish this analysis of 2026 primary candidates from @meredithconroy.bsky.social @tsyang27.bsky.social & Cooper Burton, following the tradition of similar projects from FiveThirtyEight. What types of candidates are winning 2026 primaries? blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/primary-pr...

We tracked every candidate in the 2026 primaries. Here's who voters are nominating.

Our original dataset tracks endorsements across every congressional and gubernatorial race to reveal how party leaders and ideological groups are faring.

blog.fiftyplusone.news

Donald Trump's net approval has reached a new low today in our tracker. His net approval sits at -24.1. The previous low was -23.7, achieved on May 27. fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...

New: DSA candidates are winning primaries all around the country. But how popular is their platform with the American people? We dig in on key issues, including healthcare, Israel/Palestine, and criminal justice reform, to see how broad their appeal might be. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/how-popula...

How popular are marquee DSA policies?

Views of progressive policies are mixed, with varying opinions on different elements of each proposal

blog.fiftyplusone.news

New: Trump's speech about election integrity was full of refuted claims. But Americans and political experts are worried about how our elections are conducted, and have concerns about our democracy. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/americans-...

Americans are not confident in election integrity

Plus, polls about the World Cup, patriotism, and more.

blog.fiftyplusone.news

Another Supreme Court term has come to a close, so for this week’s Trendline Cooper Burton takes a look at public opinion on 14 major decisions including consequential rulings on birthright citizenship, transgender athletes, and campaign finance law. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/major-supr...

Major Supreme Court decisions this term are underwater with Americans

Plus, polls on Graham Platner, the World Cup, and more.

blog.fiftyplusone.news

Just published: An early look at House and Senate general election polling averages, + a polling "nowcast" model that predicts results of the midterms if they were held today.* ** Polls suggest a D+7-8 national environment + easy House majority, toss-up Senate blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/new-fiftyp...

New FiftyPlusOne polling nowcast: House and Senate polls reflect D+7-8 national environment

If the election were held today, polls of individual contests suggest Democrats would win the House majority and have even odds to take the Senate

blog.fiftyplusone.news

A recent poll found almost 70% of registered voters support birthright citizenship. Is that... true? This week on The Trendline, we look at how pollsters ask about this issue, and how it impacts the poll results. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/birthright...

Birthright citizenship may be less popular than you think

Plus, polls about polls, and whether Americans think they could beat a chessmaster

blog.fiftyplusone.news

Democrats lead the U.S. House generic ballot among likely voters by 6 points, according to our average. Here we explain a little bit about how our average works (and why, if you're a poll sicko, you may have noticed the historical trend change this morning) blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/an-updated...

An updated generic ballot polling average for the election cycle

Democrats lead the generic ballot among likely voters by 6 points, but by 5 among registered voters. How do we combine polls of both populations?

blog.fiftyplusone.news

New: All the polls we've seen so far about the new Iran deal. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/what-we-kn...

What we know so far about American’s opinions on the Iran Deal

All the polls we’ve seen about Iran since the Memorandum of Understanding was announced.

blog.fiftyplusone.news

Astonishing stat here from 50+1: Two-thirds of House members seeking a promotion to higher office have lost their primaries—a far higher rate than at any point since 1990. The roster includes seven Republicans and three Dems (plus one member of each party who bailed pre-primary).

FiftyPlusOne.news@fiftyplusone.news · 2mo ago

New: House members are losing their bids for higher office at a historically high rate. What's going on? We dive in, with data going back over 30 years. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/house-memb...

New: House members are losing their bids for higher office at a historically high rate. What's going on? We dive in, with data going back over 30 years. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/house-memb...

House members keep losing their bids for higher office

This year’s primary features an unusually high percentage of competitive House members running for other offices, and their track record is not very good

blog.fiftyplusone.news

New: Are AI campaign ads actually helping campaigns? A look at how consultants are using these ads, and how they might actually backfire. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/ai-campaig...

AI campaign ads are becoming more common

Campaign consultants are using AI, but some evidence suggests it might be counterproductive

blog.fiftyplusone.news

Our final polling average for today's GOP primary in #SCGov. If no candidate gets 50%+1, the race heads to a runoff on June 23.

New polling roundup: How Americans think about America 250 depends a lot on their party identity. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/americans-...

Americans are divided along party lines about America 250

Plus, polling on inflation, data centers, and Daylight Savings Time

blog.fiftyplusone.news

Our final polling average in the CA Governor race. Looks like a three-way jump ball for the top two spots. fiftyplusone.news/polls/govern...

Dems now up to +6.5 on the @fiftyplusone.news average. Finally starting to pull away into the landslide territory that you would expect given Trump’s approval rating.

New: Despite consternation with party elites, Democratic voters are falling in line like never before. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/the-democr...

The Democratic lead on the House generic ballot is now as large as it was in 2018

The Democratic Party may be in disarray, but Democratic voters are not

blog.fiftyplusone.news

After taking last week off for AAPOR, we're back with a fresh edition of The Trendline, taking a look at how Americans view Cuba, military intervention, and sanctions. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/americans-...

Americans want diplomacy with Cuba, not regime change

Plus, new polling about economic confidence, Democrats’ frustrations with their party, and aliens

blog.fiftyplusone.news

Meanwhile I haven't seen anyone mention that Change Research has *Dems leading* in FL Senate (+2) and Gov (+4). One poll, massive caveats, but we're talking Senate seat ~55 for Dems here. (via @fiftyplusone.news)

Odd to do this now, when the #TXsen runoff has been, if anything, tightening, per the @fiftyplusone.news polling average. But this should sew things up for Paxton.

Steven T. Dennis@steventdennis.bsky.social · 3mo ago

TRUMP ENDORSES PAXTON

The Democratic lead in the U.S. House generic ballot for this November's midterms is now rounding to D+6 for the first time in our aggregate at 50+1 fiftyplusone.news/polls/generi...

Hey poll lovers! FiftyPlusOne is quickly growing our list of subscribers to our polling data API as the midterms heat up.  Want to learn more about what we can offer you? Reach out to schedule a chat with us at AAPOR this week! data -at- fiftyplusone -dot- news

Polls show Americans broadly favor age limits on members of Congress, Supreme Court justices, and the president: blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/janet-mill...

Janet Mills's defeat in Maine isn't an outlier. Americans across the board want age limits in politics

Plus, new polling about Great Britain and gerrymandering after the Supreme Court’s Callais decision

blog.fiftyplusone.news

You’ve probably heard a lot about Democrats getting “locked out” of the California general election for governor this year. But my colleague at 50+1 Mary Radcliffe shows why this is equally or more likely to happen to Republicans: open.substack.com/pub/fiftyplu...

Republicans could get “locked out” of the California gubernatorial primary

With several candidates within five points of a lead, neither party is safe

open.substack.com

New polling roundup: What do Americans think about federal spending? We take a look at voters' priorities, how they feel about the national debt, and more. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/americans-...

Americans want the government to spend more on social programs and less on the military

Plus, more young adults are saying they’re moving back in with Mom and Dad

blog.fiftyplusone.news