E.J. Fagan
@ejfagan.com
Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Illinois Chicago. Author of The Thinkers: The Rise of Partisan Think Tanks and the Polarization of American Politics. Also, baseball.
feels worth noting that the blowout Dem gov primary in Michigan got about 60% more voter participation - 1.49 million votes - than the more competitive GOP gov primary - 930k votes. obviously contested D vs uncontested R Senate primaries affect this, but still. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Michigan Governor Primary 2026: Live Election Results, Benson vs. Swanson (Free Access)
Get live results and maps from the 2026 Michigan primary election.
nytimes.com
For what it’s worth, Fetterman doesn’t sound in this interview like someone looking to leave the Democratic Party. He also doesn’t exactly sound like a reasonable person. www.reddit.com/r/Progressiv...
From the ProgressiveHQ community on Reddit: Senator Fetterman, “Israel is where I draw the line.” Stewart, “but Israel isn’t our Country.”
Explore this post and more from the ProgressiveHQ community
reddit.com
Takes like this are very tempting but IMO go too far. The polling miss last night was historically exactly average for a primary — no evidence polls have gotten worse recently. And remember 2022 had the most accurate House and Senate polls in history! bsky.app/profile/gell...
Adam Serwer@adamserwer.bsky.social · 5h agoThere’s no actual alternative to polling but I just don’t believe they capture public sentiment in any reliable way anymore
In addition to having no experience in immigration, their website shows Ilya Shapiro (!) and disgraced former law prof Joshua Wright (!) as Senior Counsel. I don't think this massive contract was awarded to give immigrant children effective, zealous advocacy. burkegroup.law/our-team/
Our Team - BURKE LAW GROUP, PLLC
Our Team
burkegroup.law
Politico@politico.com · 18h ago26-employee Texas law firm gets $150M to represent 24,000 children in immigration court
Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe
Missouri Republicans' Amendment 4 is getting trounced not just in every congressional district but in every *county* so far. Trump won all but four counties in Missouri.
Stephen Wolf@stephenwolf.bsky.social · 15h agoNEW: Missouri voters have rejected Amendment 4, which Republicans had passed to make citizen-initiated constitutional amendments effectively impossible. It would have required initiatives to pass in every congressional district—not just statewide—giving the overwhelmingly red districts a veto
🤡 Trump personally awarded Dr. Fauci a Presidential Commendation for his work on Operation Warp Speed and the COVID vaccine. But he could not even remember. #UnfitTrump @allenanalysis.bsky.social
Miller is a member of Congress because he was Trump's "Music Man" at rallies, responsible for playing all his favorite songs.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 19h agoMAX MILLER: She's 2.5 years old. She doesn't have the ability to articulate what you just said. TAPPER: But you just told me that she said she was scared to go to mommy's house. Now you're saying she's not capable of saying "Daddy kill you"? MILLER: What about due process?
Elon is talking about using robots to build a mass accelerator on the moon in support of an economy 1000x to 1 million times the current earth economy. It's a bad sci fi novel not an earnings call.
Absolutely unbelievable how solar power has taken off worldwide during the Hormuz oil crisis. You don't have to hand it to him, but Trump may have done more to finally kick off a global civilization of effete librul solar users than anyone else in the West
As it looks like Brenton Doyle is about to be traded, let me regale you with my favorite Savant page ever...Mr. Doyle in 2023. It's epic. It's glorious. It's beautiful. It's so weird. It's a HoF Savant page. Find me something better, I dare you.
Dems strongly favored to take the House in our new election forecast. Senate just better than a tossup: Iowa: 41% Dem Texas: 48 Alaska: 51 Ohio: 53 Maine: 68 Michigan: 69 North Carolina: 84 Georgia: 94 www.gelliottmorris.com/p/democrats-...
Democrats strongly favored to take the House, Senate tilts Democratic in our new election forecast (crosspost)
Our brand-new election forecast for the 2026 congressional midterms puts Democrats at above even odds to take control of both chambers
gelliottmorris.com
Updated our 'Do Moderates Do Better?' paper When you analyze the question rigorously (and don't assume correlation is causation), you find that moderates & non-moderates perform ~equally well in the Trump era Love working with @adambonica.bsky.social
stripping OMB of the ability to dole out grants is an enormous win, this nukes the SAVE act, it prohibits further ICE bailouts, adding a "no, really, trump can't break already on-the-books laws regarding elections the federal government doesn't run" clause would be both unnecessary and unproductive
Murshed Zaheed@murshedz.bsky.social · 3d agoPatty Murray and Chuck Schumer decide to strike a “bipartisan” deal with … checks notes … Susan Collins to fund the Trump regime through December which appears to not to any include any safeguards against Trump’s meddling with midterm elections.
Luis Garcia Jr. is still flying with the Nats to Philly this evening, but he spoke as if he expects to be officially told he's been traded at some point. "It's a mix of both sad and happy. This is a new chapter in my career. 50-50 right now."
To the extent that the media is treating this as a horse story: Max Miller is not a some random candidate from Ohio. This is a picture of President Trump speaking at the wedding of Max Miller and Emily Moreno.
Low key super important Congressional pushback on Russ Vought. www.politico.com/news/2026/08...
Senate finalizes funding patch that would block Trump’s grant overhaul
Language is included to delay the president’s move to put political appointees in charge of grant approval.
politico.com
Thread (1 of 5). Time to set the record straight, MAGAs will say “fake news” but it’s not, and the truth is the truth. A thread on US assistance to Ukraine. Total U.S. defense spending from full scale invasion to today: (Feb. 2022–mid 2026) ~$4.2–4.5 trillion Cont...
Max Miller now insinuating that Bernie Moreno only is going after him now to deflect from the gay rumors. Everything is just peachy.
President Ulysses Grant's hand-written proclamation announcing Colorado's statehood, August 1, 1876
I don’t care much about early presidential primary polling, but it’s pretty glaring to see AOC polling at just 11% when the leftist candidate is winning overwhelmingly in the same sample. She’s not some unknown upstart. Should be doing better even this early.
“A bunch of freaks speaking nonsense” - @jamellebouie.net on Congressional Republicans trying to look like they are governing. youtu.be/cGEybK3VmtI?...
The Fauci hearings were brain rot for conservatives who need to touch grass
YouTube video by Takes™ by Jamelle Bouie
youtu.be
Very important piece by @davidoatkins.bsky.social at Washington Monthly: the DNC is actually doing just fine and raising record money, and the hit pieces are a product of a tier of useless DC consultants who don't want their media buy gravy train to end. washingtonmonthly.com/2026/07/31/t...
The Case for the DNC’s Ken Martin. Really.
Martin is being excoriated, but he’s taking on the consultant class, building a strong grassroots operation, and raising tons of money.
washingtonmonthly.com
My takeaway from the Haberman book publicity tour (still need to read it) is that Democrats should bribe Trump for good behavior by letting him build some buildings in DC for his final two years. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/31/o...
Opinion | How Trump Has Changed, With Maggie Haberman
The New York Times correspondent says 70 percent of the president’s mind is dedicated to White House renovations.
nytimes.com
10-day average Hormuz-exiting oil flow has fallen below 3 MMbpd. That's down ~80% from late June's peak of more than 15 MMbpd. Feels silly to say five months into this, but that's not enough oil.
Senior Republican congressional staffer on trying to recruit new policy experts: “We have a generation of rabid, incompetent idiots.”
Are Young Republicans Too Based to Work for Congress?
Party veterans are concerned that the pipeline of young Republican talent is veering off course — and into terminally online extremism.
politico.com
A very serious Rural Politico once told me "Dems have to go to farmer meetings! We gotta be where the people are!" I was in fact in a farmer meeting at that very moment! So I live-texted him the meeting. They were complaining that they want indentured workers that they don't have to pay or feed.
Lucas Tieman@lucastieman.bsky.social · 6d agoThere would be more pushback if folks left of center were more serious about outreach. But folks aren't despite the fact that our system does give disproportionate power to rural areas. But instead of taking that as the rules of the game as it exists, and actually organizing, we complain about it.
