Ian Simpson

@iansimpson27.bsky.social

Post-doc in Antarctic weather extremes, FRMetS, long-standing weather enthusiast, chess player, Doom/Quake mapper, also interested in film and classical music and animation.

I had next week's heatwave down as a more moderate 1990s style one, with temperatures peaking in the low 30s Celsius in the south-east, but very hot air was never going to be far away to the south-east. This morning's runs have really toned it up. The 06Z GFS is the most extreme.

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Human-caused climate change is increasing the risk of hotter temperatures, including these dangerous heat waves. Watch the entire distribution shift to the right. I'm afraid these headlines about record heat are only going to become more common. 🌡️ Visualization by svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5613/

Temperatures have reached 36.7°C at Merryfield, Somerset, provisionally making it the hottest June day on record again for the UK 🥵 Wales has also seen its hottest June day with 35.9°C at Cardiff and Northern Ireland tied with 30.8°C at Castlederg 🌡️

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We recreated the legendary heatwave of summer 1976 in today’s climate… …and it is essentially the same as the weather forecast for this week, on the 50th anniversary. We look set to smash the June 1976 temperature record by 3°C. Written with Hayley Fowler: theconversation.com/we-recreated...

We recreated the legendary heatwave summer of 1976 in today’s climate – here’s what we found

For 15 consecutive days, temperatures were over 32°C. Today, heatwaves are 3°C or 4°C hotter.

theconversation.com

Growing support for 35C to be reached in the south-east of England on Tuesday, maybe even Monday, seriously threatening the June record of 35.6C from 1976. Some runs suggesting that it could get up to 37-38C late in the week as the wind temporarily turns southerly.

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ECMWF forecast Z500 anomalies for 27 June 2026 vs ERA5 Z500 anomalies for 19 July 2022, the UK's hottest day on record. The atmosphere is evolving towards a state conducive for extreme heat across northwest Europe.

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The latest ECMWF det. run, a model not known for overdoing max temperature predictions, has 38°C in the London area on Tuesday. If not for 2022’s event the national record for any time of year would be under threat. As it is, the June record could be well exceeded.

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The June temperature record has lived a charmed life since 2015, when it was just one day away from being broken. It looks like it may come under serious threat next week. Some model runs look "touch and go" for the record being broken while others have it obliterated with highs of up to 40C.

Sryan Bruen@sryanbruen.bsky.social · 3mo ago

These are the highest June temps on record in the UK. 2026 will smash these to oblivion if some of the charts are to be believed. 28 Jun 1976 35.6C 29 Jun 1957 35.6C 27 Jun 1976 35.5C 26 Jun 1976 35.4C 21 Jun 2017 34.5C 03 Jun 1947 34.4C

These are the highest June temps on record in the UK. 2026 will smash these to oblivion if some of the charts are to be believed. 28 Jun 1976 35.6C 29 Jun 1957 35.6C 27 Jun 1976 35.5C 26 Jun 1976 35.4C 21 Jun 2017 34.5C 03 Jun 1947 34.4C

New research led by UEA shows UK rivers are facing a future of more extreme swings between drought and flooding; a phenomenon known as “hydroclimatic whiplash” As the climate warms, these rapid shifts could become much more frequent. Read more: www.uea.ac.uk/about/news/a...

UK rivers face rising risk of climate ‘whiplash’

Climate change could push UK rivers to dangerous extremes and see more frequent rapid swings between wet and dry conditions – a phenomenon known as hydroclimatic whiplash – according to research led ...

uea.ac.uk

It's unlikely to be this extreme, but this morning's UKMO model run has insane heat heading up from France in about a week's time. 850hPa temperatures of 24C in the south would support surface temperatures near 40C. ECM has 850s touching 20C, supporting surface high temps of 35C.

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A warm March triggering an early start to the growing season then a dry April so far and recent windy conditions too are creating the ideal conditions for wildfires to spread, with numerous fires across parts of the UK this week. Is there any rain on the horizon?

Recent dry weather encouraging wildfires, is there any rain on the way?

A warm March triggering an early start to the growing season then a dry April so far and recent windy conditions too are creating the ideal conditions for wildfires to spread, with numerous fires across parts of the UK this week. Is there any rain on the horizon?

netweather.tv

The greatest risk of AI in Higher Education isn’t cheating — it’s the erosion of learning itself If we eliminate the friction that builds expertise, what’s left? Struggle isn’t inefficiency. Ignore this, and we’ll produce credentials while quietly dismantling HE theconversation.com/the-greatest...

The greatest risk of AI in higher education isn’t cheating – it’s the erosion of learning itself

Automating knowledge production and teaching weakens the ecosystem of students and scholars that sustains universities, raising existential questions about their mission.

theconversation.com

A dull, wet winter for much of the UK, with a stationary jet stream driving repeated wet spells from mid-January to mid-February. Despite the regular rain - south-western Britain was sunnier, while northern England and eastern Scotland were particularly gloomy.

Stationary jet stream and Scandinavian blocking behind the UK's dull and wet winter

A dull, wet winter for much of the UK, with a stationary jet stream driving repeated wet spells from mid-January to mid-February. Despite the regular rain - south-western Britain was sunnier, while northern England and eastern Scotland were particularly gloomy.

netweather.tv

I presented at the #CLIC2026 conference in Wellington, New Zealand, this Feb - a huge step, I'd previously never been beyond southern France. It was one of the best experiences of my life. Many great talks, great research, Wellington and NZ in general were amazing, the locals were very welcoming.

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