Looking at YouGov's Tracker, the share of Hispanic Voters saying the Economy is getting worse, reached a record high at 62.1% (since 2009)! Link: yougov.com/en-us/tracke...
Gardner Thornhill
@jamesgardnert.bsky.social
Mississippi State Alum 🐶 | Data - Pennsylvania Democratic Party 🔔 | Views/Posts are my own
real personal income is now falling behind in both absolute and relative terms it's not a mystery why consumer sentiment is falling off a cliff. this is literally worse than 2022/23
Carl Quintanilla@carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 3mo agoEPB: “.. Real personal income per capita is falling apart. .. It's now $3,842 below the 2009-2020 trend and accelerating lower.”
Hispanic Plurality Precincts have shifted by 18.2%!!! from 2024 in the ~225 precincts I matched from the 2026 special elections so far, with Hispanic Plurality Precincts at ~D+31 in Specials | Kamala Harris won Hispanics by +5 according to CNN Exit Polls.
Ken Paxton is the most corrupt politician in America. He embodies the broken system we’re running against. It’s time to come together: The People vs. Ken Paxton
IMO, the Texas Senate race is a pure tossup. And if you take a deep and fair look at the data, I think you'll find you have a hard time concluding otherwise www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-texas-...
The Texas Senate election is a tossup
Democratic candidate James Talarico has very good shot against Ken Paxton in the Lone Star State
gelliottmorris.com
It's election day in Texas! → Cornyn vs. Paxton. → Both parties choose AG nominees → Many House runoffs (e.g. Al Green vs. Menefee, Julie Johnson vs Colin Allred, Briscoe Coe vs. Alex Mealer) → Bexar County DA & Harris County judge runoffs (And more!) Details: boltsmag.org/whats-on-the...
Polls are now open in Texas and Sen. John Cornyn is fighting for his political career against A.G. Ken Paxton. After the 1st round of the Texas Primary in March, I decided to look at how each candidate/party fared in the 15 most competitive counties during the 2024 Election 🧵
GA Primary turnout Demos 55.7% White [R+49.8] 31.7% Black [D+95.1] D voters: 58.6% Black, 26.4% white 41.8% under 50 63.3% female R Voters: 89% white, 1.7% Black 22.6% under 50 50% female
~2,400 precincts. 32 special elections. 13 states. After countless hours put into matching 2026 special election precincts to their 2024 presidential counterpart, here's what the data shows in the special elections I analyzed. 🧵(1/7)
People in higher-income countries are usually less likely to say their nation’s political system needs major changes or complete reform. The United States, however, is a notable exception to this pattern. www.pewresearch.org/...
Massive Victory for Democracy this week in Hungary with almost 80% of voter Participation, Orban was soundly defeated. I created a Tableau Dashboard that gives a more in-depth look at the defeat the Fidesz party was handed by the voters this past sunday: public.tableau.com/views/Hungar...
💥🇭🇺🗳️ WOW! 54.14% turnout by 1pm in Hungary’s historic election (vs 40.01% in 2022), where voters could end Viktor Orbán’s 16-year rule. Massive participation, in line with independent pollsters’ predictions – who also predicted a massive opposition win. Polls close at 7pm.
I've lagged on my intention to sporadically share data, when we get it, on recent special elections where we've seen large swings to Dems, looking under the head in an effort to get a sense of what drove these results and what they might mean for November. Back at it - IASD01.
Oil surges 7% Gasoline futures jump 21 cents
This is my favorite climate change chart. Japanese monks, aristocrats, and emperors kept meticulous records of cherry blossom festivals for 1,200 years and accidentally built the world's longest climate dataset.
North Carolina - Senate Polling: 🔵 Cooper: 48% 🔴 Whatley: 34% YouGov / March 18, 2026
A greener city has to be a fairer city. We’re bringing fast, affordable EV charging to working drivers and underserved communities—starting with a new hub in Flushing, Queens. Eight chargers. 80% charge in under 15 minutes. The first of 10 sites coming this year.
Never feel alone, even when thinks look bleak... remember we're on the right side of history and the public is with us. bsky.app/profile/jlra...
JLRay@jlray.bsky.social · 5mo agoThe latest from YouGov (n ~ 2.1k). The war in Iran (Going well - Going badly): -26 The No Kings protests (Support - Oppose): +15 yougov.com/en-us/search...
The latest from YouGov (n ~ 2.1k). The war in Iran (Going well - Going badly): -26 The No Kings protests (Support - Oppose): +15 yougov.com/en-us/search...
New #AKSen poll from Alaska Survey Research and the GOAT Ivan Moore: In a first-round race: Mary Peltola 48.8% Dan Sullivan 43.5% In a second round: Peltola 50.4% Sullivan 43.8%
Ivan Moore@alaskasurvey.bsky.social · 5mo agoHey kids... new Peltola-Sullivan results from ASR being released today! It's an official (rounded) 5 point lead now. Spread the word!
AS CALLED ON UConn Huskies radio by Mike Crispino Duke radio by David Shumate Westwood One by Scott Graham
"American foreign policy is heading in the..." All: Wrong direction: 55% Right direction: 26% GOP: Right direction: 63% Wrong direction: 20% IND: Wrong direction: 61% Right direction: 15% DEM: Wrong direction: 88% Right direction: 3% Ipsos / March 23, 2026
While building nycpolltracker.com I noticed how well Zohran did in NY-13 (Zohran +13.3 in Primary [1st choice] & Zohran +34.2 in the General) the @demsocialists.bsky.social have a fantastic candidate running in the district: @darializaforny.bsky.social
My latest Strength In Numbers/ @verasight.io poll found 72% of Americans, including majorities of both parties, oppose sending ground troops to Iran www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-03-26...
Dan Lamothe@danlamothe.bsky.social · 5mo agoSCOOP: The Pentagon is preparing for weeks of ground operations in Iran, U.S. officials said, as thousands of American soldiers and Marines arrive in the Middle East for what could become a dangerous new phase of the war should President Trump escalate. www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
Surveys show only half of Republicans identify as MAGA. Trump’s numbers among the other half are cratering. That’s the electoral threat posed by the political fallout over Iran. It doesn’t matter what “MAGA” does, it matters what non-MAGA Reps do. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-03-22...
CNN's "100% MAGA Trump approval" segment omits key nuance for virality
Plus, voters overwhelmingly oppose putting boots on the ground in Iran. Your weekly political data roundup for March 22, 2026.
gelliottmorris.com
Dan Cassino@dancassino.bsky.social · 5mo agoI spoke to @theatlantic.com about how the war in Iran has threatened Trump’s coalition. www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...
In this week’s newsletter, I looked at shifts in immigration to the U.S. (among other things). www.howtoreadthisch.art/where-journe...
Yahoo/YouGov Mar 12-16: Iran % who say they are very or somewhat concerned about the U.S. getting too involved in Iran U.S. adults 75% Democrats 92% Independents 83% Republicans 56% yougov.com/en-us/articl...
