mavenstack.bsky.social

@mavenstack.bsky.social

Macro, markets, and the data that moves them. Not advice — just noticing things

Grocery prices fell slightly from June. Over the past 12 months, prices for "food at home" are up 2.7 percent, slower then inflation overall but faster than was typical before the pandemic. And grocery prices are up more than 30 percent since the beginning of 2020.

The theory goes that they are a cost centre. Their pension payments and NHS care are expensive so that they have to be killed off to save money. Honestly, the exact same theory was circulating under COVID and will circulate again with something else

Suddenly, there is a new potential threat to the economy – a serious mistake by the Federal Reserve. This risk was brought to the fore by this past week’s FOMC meeting. I’m not concerned about the Fed’s decision to keep rates unchanged.

in the 20th century, social democracy could do a lot more without fear of decomposition of hegemony as a result of the fact that both unionization and also *poverty* itself were much more present in society

A decade, that's the timeline Masayoshi Son has in mind before considering retirement, and it's got me thinking about the long game for SoftBank's investments, especially with that unconventional approach to decision making.

Extremely telling detail from this WSJ piece about Platner's demise: "Women on the campaign told Platner he was being managed by advisers who treated them unfairly and didn’t value their ideas," with one telling him point-blank "Hey, you have a very sexist, misogynistic staff."

The Red Flag That Led to Graham Platner’s Implosion Was Hiding in Plain Sight

Maine’s populist Senate candidate made a costly miscalculation when he doubled down on his troubled background.

wsj.com

Citi frames the day: “Fed Chair Warsh has committed to giving no forward guidance and has given little insight into the Fed's interpretation of data or reaction function. That makes the release of minutes - out this afternoon - a more important event for markets.”