If Democrats control the White House in 2031 the commerce Secretary should put a question on the census to ask your pronouns and if you don’t fill it out it doesn’t count
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@njstopwonk.bsky.social
Politics nerd trying to make his way through the world. From Jersey, and you’re not.
Dr. Abdul El-Sayed has earned the Michigan Democratic primary nomination for US Senate.
This has been the dynamic with democratic primary voters since Reagan, and it’s never worked. The times we’ve won since 1980 have always been the times we got out of our own way and put other factors ahead of fear
Michael Caley@michaelcaley.bsky.social · 15h agoI have no idea if this is what's going on or not but the results tonight are all consistent with my broad belief that Democratic primary voters are scared to death of losing again and as much as they like left/progressive ideas they are fucking terrified of losing again
We’ve found the absolute limit of the Trump endorsement in a Republican primary and to shock of absolutely no one, it’s racism
The Downballot@the-downballot.com · 14h agoSeems like an upset might be brewing in the GOP primary in #MI08 to take on Dem Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet. Trump endorsed Amir Hassan, but he currently trails an absolute nobody who suspended his campaign a month ago by a wide margin.
Unironically this is a good thing. Because outside of party sources going “we have a good feeling here” you don’t get to legitimate a particular result until you have every single data point. Like imagining a count in Makerfield for Burnham last month counted like this primary is maddening
Josh Fruhlinger@jfruh.bsky.social · 15h agoit's only possible bc their constituency populations are so strong but i genuinely think the UK does it right by not announcing any results until they've counted everything
Polling in the United States is fundamentally broken insofar as I’m not sure how you’d can trust it by an reasonable measure at this point, and I’m also not sure how you fix the deficiencies causing this since its been a decade and polling still isn’t reliable
G Elliott Morris@gelliottmorris.com · 15h agoLooks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe
Livingston is also giving Will Lawrence 44% of the vote as Eaton stays strong for Lawrence, and with that I think I have my first call of the night: Will Lawrence will be the Democratic nominee for MI-07
Slotkin fundamentally does not give a fuck about this primary and that’s admirable
Eric Michael Garcia@ericmgarcia.bsky.social · yesterdaySlotkin tells me on Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens, “the most important thing is putting a check and balance on Donald Trump, so I will support whoever wins.”
Primary School is out with its Michigan primary preview, including its preview of the monster senate primary. If you can, please support this excellent excellent resource for democratic primaries!
Kevin@reginageorgebush.bsky.social · 2d agoMICHIGAN!!!!!!!!
Amusing myself by sneaking up on centrist Yankee pundits and going "parliamentarianism!", watching whilst they shriek and run away screaming about commies.
the PAC tracker took so much longer this week because everybody and their mother piled into MI-Sen at the end
PAC Tracker 8/3/2026
These tallies will cover all independent expenditures filed with the FEC to date in races I’m watching by the end of the day yesterday, August 2, and report new expenses filed with the FEC since the l...
primaryschool.ghost.io
Kevin@reginageorgebush.bsky.social · 2d agonext, in the regular issue, some weird shit is going on in St. Paul, Connecticut's governor visibly panics in the face of a primary challenger closing the polling gap, the center spins out in the final days of Michigan, and two primaries in Black-majority South Florida districts show some movement
next, in the regular issue, some weird shit is going on in St. Paul, Connecticut's governor visibly panics in the face of a primary challenger closing the polling gap, the center spins out in the final days of Michigan, and two primaries in Black-majority South Florida districts show some movement
08/03/2026 Regular Issue
As mentioned in the preceding FEC roundup, you've got a whole lot of content headed your way this week. Next up is the PAC Tracker, followed by previews of Kansas, Missouri, Michigan, Virginia, and Wa...
primaryschool.ghost.io
Kevin@reginageorgebush.bsky.social · 2d agoin this week's (brief) FEC roundup: John Larson isn't spending all he has for some reason, DCCC pick Rebecca Cooke is spending heavily to get past an underfunded challenger in WI-03, and I'm sort of worried about Matt Klein winning MN-02 with a plurality
The midterms are gonna break this man psychologically, he genuinely believes he’s popular, he genuinely believes he’s gonna win. Which therefore makes the @sharonk.bsky.social theory of him going full Yoon all the more likely.
Shipwreck@shipwreck75.bsky.social · 2d agoTrump on Polls:
My boyfriend has come out in favor of a new policy: Term Limits for Madonna
“he grows anxious when he has an unexpressed thought” is a wild thing to admit but also almost certainly correct
Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 3d agoSen. John Kennedy on Trump's blatant reflecting pool lies: "The president says it was caused by vandals. I don't know if he really believes that or it's part of his political messaging or he's just thinking out loud ... he grows anxious when he has an unexpressed thought."
the country's media ecosystem intrinsically values the lives of those in red/purple states more than those in blue states.
Stephen Judkins@stephenjudkins.bsky.social · 4d agoIt's pretty infuriating that Trump is denying disaster aid to Oregon for political reasons and I have barely heard anything about it, while Biden was falsely accused of doing the exact same thing to North Carolina and millions of people believed that
They started things off with a Christian land acknowledgement…
In my personal newsletter: Zooming out a little bit on the state of the Democratic Party & why winning in November is necessary & important -- but won't solve our core problem around trust. amandalitman.substack.com/p/zooming-ou...
Zooming out: How's the Democratic Party doing?
Not great!
amandalitman.substack.com
The only reason Mr. Beast isn’t in the Epstein Files, is because he didn’t have the opportunity.
Quebecois version of Goodfellas called “Bonhommes”
Ms. Rachel just endorsed a full left slate including some deep cuts and long shots for the August primaries???
taylr@taylordahlin.com · 5d agoms rachel has endorsed peggy flanagan for minnesota's US senate seat!
Paired with the polls, this is an exceptional boost for Burnham and Labour. Still not at a point where we can comfortably say reform won’t win the next election, but the likelihood is lessening
Politics UK@politicsuk.com · 5d ago🚨 BREAKING: Labour's Bev Craig has won the Greater Manchester Mayoral election 🔴 LAB: 309,525 - 66.3% ➡️ RFM: 157,178 - 33.7%
