Tahir Enes Gedik
@tegedik.bsky.social
sociology, quantitative methods, comparative survey research, trust https://tegedik.github.io
I like this website (setosa.io/ev/). Even I, a sociologist, manage to understand it. Now I can go back to reading Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft.
Explained Visually
setosa.io
Per Engzell@pengzell.bsky.social · 5d agoI would like to report a hate crime, please
a new paper forthcoming in Social Forces! focusing on the killing of George Floyd & the BLM, I study the formation of generations, proposing that formative events can create within-cohort differentiation as much as between-cohort differentiation. read here: tkeskinturk.github.io/imprinting.pdf
Special Issue: Explanation and Causality in Sociology: link.springer.com/journal/1157...
KZfSS Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie
Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie / Cologne Journal of Sociology and Social Psychology Founded in 1948, with a focus on theory ...
link.springer.com
A note in response to Lionel Page, “Why has sociology become so politicised?” lsage1.substack.com/p/a-note-in-...
A note in response to Lionel Page, “Why has sociology become so politicised?”
From a quantitative sociologist
lsage1.substack.com
New blog post! Odds ratios are...a bit weird. Here I explain two problems (interpretation, non-collapsibility) and provide some simple recommendations for improved reporting. www.the100.ci/2026/07/30/r...
Reviewer notes: Odds ratios are really odd
When psychological researchers investigate binary outcomes, they routinely report odds ratios to quantify the strength of an effect or an association. This is quite understandable given that psycholog...
the100.ci
Link to the paper (it's open access!): compass.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... >
Thinking Clearly About Sampling and Representation With the Total Survey Error Framework
Collecting a sample that represents the population of interest well constitutes a challenge across the social and behavioural sciences. Psychology in particular frequently relies on convenience sampl...
compass.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The 2026 Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics has been awarded to the R Project. #RStats www.rousseeuwprize.org/2026
The Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics
The Rousseeuw Prize for Statistics is a biennial prize to celebrate outstanding contributions to statistics research.
rousseeuwprize.org
Don’t forget to sort the variables independently: stats.stackexchange.com/questions/18...
What happens if the explanatory and response variables are sorted independently before regression?
Suppose we have data set $(X_i,Y_i)$ with $n$ points. We want to perform a linear regression, but first we sort the $X_i$ values and the $Y_i$ values independently of each other, forming data set $...
stats.stackexchange.com
A new Claude emerges from the subterranean heats and slimes of the earth and then thousands of GPUs shriek in unison as they are whipped to count the r's in strawberry and give advice about walking to the car wash
I adopted this workflow and created a simplified version using R, quarto, and only Claude (high effort sonnet 4.6). I kept the prompts with minimal changes, but executed them one after another, and checked the artifacts created (codes, reports, etc.).
Per Engzell@pengzell.bsky.social · 6mo agoWhat can we learn from automating an entire quantitative social science paper, from prompt to finished product? Thread about ongoing work with @natewilmers.bsky.social 1/12 Paper: osf.io/preprints/so...
What can we learn from automating an entire quantitative social science paper, from prompt to finished product? Thread about ongoing work with @natewilmers.bsky.social 1/12 Paper: osf.io/preprints/so...
Just wrapped up another year of Quant 2, my PhD-level causal inference course. Lots of updates to the literature this year, did an "estimator tournament" as part of an assignment on DID estimators, and included regular in-class pen and paper exercises. Materials here: cyrussamii.com?page_id=4190
[2026 Spring] POLS GA 1251 Quant II – Cyrus Samii
cyrussamii.com
Are there any studies that systematically explore how van Fraassen’s CE travels to the social sciences? I found some discussions here and there, but nothing comprehensive.
Very excited to announce that the #BayesianWorkflow book by @statmodeling.bsky.social, @avehtari.bsky.social, @rmcelreath.bsky.social et al publishes in June! routledge.com/9780367490140 #RStats #DataScience #Bayesian
Statistical Rethinking 2026 is done: 20 new lectures emphasizing logical and critical statistical workflow, from basics of probability theory to causal inference to reliable computation to sensitivity. It's all free, made just for you. Lecture list and links: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
Fontana thinking his 6000+ experiments may not have been enough to feel confident in his conclusions in the 18th century while we expect our singular experiments and their standalone replications to do wonders some 250 years later... (excerpt from the intro of Jutta Schickore's About Experiment)
New blog post! After years of annoying shenanigans, I discovered that nowadays it's *really* straightforward to get tikz diagrams in #QuartoPub to automatically turn into SVGs in HTML, docx, and Typst! Install Inkscape, install a Quarto extension, and you're done. www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2026/02...
![2. Install the diagram extension in a Quarto project. Create a new Quarto project. From the terminal, run this to install the diagram extension:
quarto install extension pandoc-ext/diagram
3. Tell your document to use the extension. Add this to the YAML header of a Quarto document:
filters:
- diagram
4. Add a .tikz block to your document. Add a tikz code block to your document like this:
```{.tikz}
\begin{tikzpicture}[>={stealth}]
\node (x) at (0,0) {$X_{t}$};
\node (y) at (2,0) {$Y_{t + 1}$};
\node (z) at (1,1) {$Z$};
\path[->] (z) edge (x);
\path[->] (z) edge (y);
\path[->] (x) edge (y);
\end{tikzpicture}
```
5. Render! Render the document to PDF and you should see a diagram. Render it to HTML or .docx or Typst and it should use inkscape to convert it to SVG. Magic.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:2zcfjzyocp6kapg6jc4eacok/bafkreifut33lozgqgp3ualtpkyze47rtkjoysfginsohfykakfibqzetyu)
I'm teaching Statistical Rethinking again starting Jan 2026. This time with live lectures, divided into Beginner and Experienced sections. Will be a lot more work for me, but I hope much better for students. I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
If you have to read anything about the prospect of “automating scientific discovery,” “agents for science,” or integrating LLMs into scientific pipelines, please let it be this essay by Kevin T. Baker: artificialbureaucracy.substack.com/p/context-wi...
A blog post giving a more thorough take on survey experiments and the credibility revolution: cyrussamii.com?p=4168
Survey experiments and the credibility revolution – Cyrus Samii
cyrussamii.com
Cyrus Samii@cdsamii.bsky.social · 11mo agoThis is an impressive project. My reaction to what it shows though is that survey experiments have gotten out of hand in polisci. I will blog more on this, but I do not think survey experiments are emblematic of the credibility revolution. Some are already interpreting as such, which is a problem.
Rearranging variables can make this clearer. In plot below, it's relatively easy to see that total effect needs no adjustment, and that direct effect from A to Y needs to block the indirect path that traverses D and C. D is a collider, and C the child of the collider, hence adjustment on B is needed
Great piece on the absurdity of brute force multiverse analyses. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Robustness is better assessed with a few thoughtful models than with billions of regressions | PNAS
Robustness is better assessed with a few thoughtful models than with billions of regressions
pnas.org
