Once again reminded that being right most of the time doesn't mean tha

Breaking News! Code Bonkers! As of August 3rd, Nino 3.4 has crossed 2.5°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. The Climate Casino predicted August 1st for this crossing and now has a lot of fake-bets to pay out. Was the fix in? Next up, 3.0°C by August 21st.

Abolish the NCA the inner south and specifically Ainslie.

“I'm as mad as hell and I'm not going to take this anymore!” NETWORK (1976) In a decade littered with cinematic masterpieces, Paddy Chayefsky & Sidney Lumet’s movie is right up there at the top of the list. #PeterFinch

Not to dunk on this but it isn't really true that the Hormuz oil crisis is driving a solar boom. Here's this chart updated to June of China solar exports, showing that the March spike in exports has subsided and was therefore mostly just export tax rebate effects.

Sarah Taber@sarahtaber.bsky.social · 2d ago

Absolutely unbelievable how solar power has taken off worldwide during the Hormuz oil crisis. You don't have to hand it to him, but Trump may have done more to finally kick off a global civilization of effete librul solar users than anyone else in the West

In America, democratic socialism means requiring apps to show the tip button.

Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani@mayor.nyc.gov · 2d ago

When Uber Eats and DoorDash hid the tip button, delivery workers paid the price. Tips fell by 79%. In January, we changed that. Since then, more than $104 million has gone back into the pockets of the delivery workers who keep New York City fed.

This is true of homo sapiens specifically and in various ways of many other species. Gender:sex essentialists are useful idiots and can get in the bin.

Daniel Lismore@daniellismore.bsky.social · 3d ago

For the small minded who think only two chromosomal genders exist (XX & XY):

Breaking News! Code Meh! July, 2026, came in at 1.47°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline, finishing in 3rd place behind 2024 (1.48°C) and 2023 (1.52°C). The Climate Casino is taking the Over on the hottest August on record. Stay tuned!

After capital punishment for the construction of new city streets without separated bikes, this is the next highest hill I will die on

Tom Swann@tomswann.bsky.social · 3d ago

Abolish golf.

And Pakistan's gas demand is staying as high as it is mainly because it has Qatari contracts locking it in. They have been screwed on the upside (not needing that much bc solar), on the downside (Qatari LNG suddenly disappearing, again). The ultimate cautionary tale on LNG for the region

Jenny Chase@solarchase.bsky.social · 2d ago

Unlike that of the rest of southeast Asia, Pakistan's gas demand has been falling. Pakistan's solar boom is partly attributable to excellent do-it-yourself videos on Tiktok and youtube, and partly to two other factors, says Zainaab Basil in an interview with BNEF. www.bnef.com/insights/40017

Abolish golf.

old mate says his movie was based on this boffin's translation and she absolutely dumps on him for making a dumb spectacle, absolute chef's kiss

EMILY WILSON@emilyrcwilson.bsky.social · last wk.

I wrote about the Nolan Odyssey for the LRB. I'll summarize some of my main points below, in case you don't feel like reading all that. www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v4...

Before making his film Mr Nolan really should have consulted with those whose culture he has appropriated, the ancient Greek scholars who are now losing their minds. Spare a thought.

I wrote about the Nolan Odyssey for the LRB. I'll summarize some of my main points below, in case you don't feel like reading all that. www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v4...

Emily Wilson · An Uncomplicated Man

As they say at the awards shows, I was humbled to learn that Christopher Nolan has read at least the first line of my...

lrb.co.uk

On some level, fact-checking Musk's "zero died" claim misses the point. He's communicating in a coded race-war trope that his global fascist audience will instantly grasp: Zero people died *who matter.* He sees these USAID cuts as a dry run for much worse to come. newrepublic.com/article/2135...

#BREAKING 🚨 Labor in their draft 2026 platform have replaced their previous statement of belief 'that there should not be poverty in a country like Australia' with a 'recognition' the social security system should support 'better health and wellbeing'.

Tom Studans@maximumwelfare.bsky.social · 2w ago

ALP conference somehow even more sauceless than everyone thought it would be this year. Not you, internet smart guy. You already knew it would be bad. I mean even among attendees who had properly calibrated their expectations to 'zero'.

Here it is. My manifesto for the 2026 Clacton By-Election. It's a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. Join me, clean up Clacton and let's make 13th August Bin Day! #VoteBinface #VoteyMcVoteface #YesWeTinCan

EXTRAORDINARY EVENT 40c IN WINTER WORLD CLIMATIC HISTORY REWRITTEN Insane mind blowing winter heat in SOUTH AFRICA 40C in Namibia,36.1C in South Africa coast at Alexander Baai (MINIMUMS 22/23C !). Records pulverized Temperatures are 10C ABOVE MID SUMMER AVERAGES More summer heat next days.

Three years and a few hours ago my sweetness Sophie stopped breathing.

A massive wildfire broke out yesterday in Gallipoli, Italy, tearing through pine forests along the northern coastline. Driven by strong Tramontana winds, the fire spread rapidly between the coastal areas of Padula Bianca and Rivabella, forcing the evacuation of beaches and nearby residential areas.

The average sea surface temperature globally is surging to new record highs for this time of year, well above the historic warmth in 2023 and 2024. How anomalous will it get over the next year as El Niño tightens its grip? Track the data at zacklabe.com/climate-chan... 🌊

Suffice to say Earth’s oceans are running a fever 🔥 This El Niño episode is only young, impacts on rising global temperatures are greatest in second year after El Niño forms ‘twas only declared in June 2026 by NOAA. It’s expected to become strongest since 1877-1878 super El Niño. (1/2)

It's funny because it's true.

Jason Read@jasonread.bsky.social · 2w ago

I think that we have to admit that post-apocalyptic movies seriously underplayed how much diarrhea and disease are involved in social collapse.

I think that we have to admit that post-apocalyptic movies seriously underplayed how much diarrhea and disease are involved in social collapse.

Forecast for #ElNino November 2026 This is going to be so fun #ClimateCrisis #Metacrisis

When the story of why humanity didn't stop climate change is written, it will feature front pages like this. Even as the skies blacken with climate change-induced wildfires, right wing media continue their relentless crusade against measures to tackle it.

The art of the Iran war deal. @theageaustralia.bsky.social

2026 is on track to be the warmest (~35% chance) or second warmest (~63%) year on record, while 2027 is very likely (92% chance) to be the warmest on record on the back of a growing super El Niño event. For more, check out my new Carbon Brief State of the Climate Q2 update: www.carbonbrief.org/...

“.. 95 vessels right now are broadcasting crew/ownership instead of a port — ‘All Chinese Crew,’ ‘Armed Guards O/B,’ ‘China Crew & Owner’ — the maritime version of hands up, don't shoot. Nearly all of them: bunched in the Red Sea & Gulf of Aden.” @bloomberg.com

Here's today's CFSv2 update on the projected El Niño strength, now peaking at 4.29°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. July's rise is not yet playing out in actual Niño 3.4 SST measurements. The Climate 8-ball is expecting a big jump any day. Stay tuned!