The Upshot
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Data, charts, analysis and games from The New York Times: nytimes.com/upshot
After Rev. Adam Hamilton's win in the Kansas Democratic Senate primary to take on GOP Sen. Roger Marshall, we shift the race into a more competitive category, from Solid to Likely Republican. Read this from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
With Hamilton’s Primary Victory, Kansas Senate Shifts from Solid to Likely Republican
After Rev. Adam Hamilton's win in tonight's Kansas primary to take on GOP Sen. Roger Marshall, the state with a nearly century-long Senate losing streak for the Democratic Party is moving into a poten...
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The U.S. is undergoing one of the biggest changes to its social safety net in recent history, with huge numbers of people getting dropped from the government’s food assistance program. Nowhere has this been more dramatic than in Arizona. Listen as we explain why and its implications on "The Daily."
Arizona’s Food Stamp Crisis Is Coming for the Rest of the U.S.
The number of people who receive nutrition assistance in Arizona has dropped significantly in a matter of months.
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Dr. Abdul El-Sayed narrowly defeated Representative Haley Stevens in the Democratic primary for Senate in Michigan, setting up a nervy race to November for the party. Here are some takeaways from a big primary night in Michigan and four other states.
Takeaways From the Primary Elections in Michigan
Dr. Abdul El-Sayed narrowly prevailed over Representative Haley Stevens in the Democratic primary for Senate in Michigan, setting up a nervy race to November for the party.
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NEW: Cyberattacks on U.S. water supply now being reported in 12+ states and 100+ municipalities, though some may be unrelated to wave of suspected Iranian attempts. The nationwide threat follows years of ignored warnings and neglect to water systems. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/05/u...
Hacks on U.S. Water Supply Follow Years of Warnings and Neglect (Gift Article)
Federal and state officials are racing to address an assault on the nation’s water supply that they believe is the work of Iranian hackers.
nytimes.com
Breaking News: The progressive Abdul El-Sayed narrowly won Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary, a victory for the left in a crucial state.
Michigan Election Results Live Updates: Abdul El-Sayed Wins Democratic Senate Primary
Dr. El-Sayed, a progressive former public health official, narrowly defeated Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate, in a bitter campaign dominated by the politics of Israel.
nyti.ms
“It’s no longer considered cool, even in an edgelord kind of way, to be tacitly embracing the Trumpian vision,” Jessica Grose writes about tradwives and the manosphere.
Opinion | Tradwives and the Manosphere Have Lost Their Viral Appeal
Nara Smith’s illusion meets the anti-Trump reality.
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Breaking: Democratic primary voters narrowly voted to oust Representative Shri Thanedar of Michigan on Tuesday, nominating democratic socialist Donavan McKinney for a deep-blue, Detroit-area district in the latest sign of the party’s hunger for new blood. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/05/u...
Shri Thanedar Is Ousted by a Democratic Socialist in a Michigan House Primary
Representative Shri Thanedar is among a wave of Democratic incumbents in Congress whom primary voters have sent packing in a surge of anti-incumbent fervor this cycle.
nytimes.com
Russia and Ukraine are producing ever larger numbers of innovative aerial weapons, hoping for a breakthrough as ground combat is largely frozen.
How the Ukraine War Became a Fight for the Skies
Russia and Ukraine are producing ever larger numbers of innovative aerial weapons, hoping for a breakthrough as ground combat is largely frozen.
nyti.ms
The recent wildfires across Europe have forced hundreds of thousands of people to evacuate.
Maps: Tracking the Wildfires in Europe
See maps of fire locations and smoke forecasts..
nyti.ms
It’s official: “Even when out of service, the lines, sometimes referred to as ‘zombie’ lines, can act as a conductor, picking up energy from active high-voltage lines nearby.” www.nytimes.com/2026/08/04/u...
Officials Say They’ve Found the Cause of a Fire That Devastated L.A. (Gift Article)
The 2025 Eaton fire, which killed 19 people and destroyed the Altadena community, began at an inactive tower belonging to Southern California Edison, officials said.
nytimes.com
NYT model has El-Sayed winning with +1.4 but you can see how the race has tightened over time. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Kansas voters on Tuesday rejected a ballot measure that would have required state Supreme Court justices to be popularly elected rather than appointed by the governor, dealing another setback to Republican lawmakers trying to overturn a decision that established a constitutional right to abortion.
Kansas Voters Crush a Measure to Elect Supreme Court Judges
The rejection of a measure to begin electing justices was a victory for abortion rights groups who defended the Kansas high court’s ruling that abortion was protected in the state constitution.
nyti.ms
Kansas Democrats have defied political gravity for eight years by holding the governor’s office in one of the country’s most reliably Republican states. Primary voters on Tuesday selected Cindy Holscher as the candidate to try to keep that seat in Democratic hands, according to The Associated Press.
Cindy Holscher Wins Kansas Democratic Primary for Governor
In a race to be governor of Kansas, State Senator Cindy Holscher defeated a fellow Democratic lawmaker who was endorsed by the current governor, Laura Kelly.
nyti.ms
Quite an upset in the #KSGov Dem primary. State Sen. Cindy Holscher, who came out against data centers and the Kansas City Chiefs stadium deal, has defeated state Sen. Ethan Corson, who had a big financial edge and an endorsement from term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly.
Climate activist William Lawrence, an outspoken progressive, has won the Dem nod for swingy #MI07, held by GOP Rep. Tom Barrett. Lawrence was aided by the fact that two more moderate candidates appeared to split the vote.
Oh, and this isn't some random Republican primary in a D+99 district. This is a super-swingy seat where the top GOP super PAC previously booked $2.5 million in TV time to try to flip it.
The Downballot@the-downballot.com · 16h agoSeems like an upset might be brewing in the GOP primary in #MI08 to take on Dem Rep. Kristen McDonald Rivet. Trump endorsed Amir Hassan, but he currently trails an absolute nobody who suspended his campaign a month ago by a wide margin.
NYT estimate down to AES +1.6 but only 20% of the vote left outstanding Seems like he’ll squeak it out but I gotta sleep now
Dj@djsoke.bsky.social · 17h agoFirst NYT estimate is AES+2, but well within the MOE right now 😵💫
Missouri voters on Tuesday rejected an attempt by the Republican-controlled Legislature to make it harder to pass citizen-sponsored amendments to the state’s constitution, preserving a tool that voters across the country have relied on to pass laws their legislatures would not. nyti.ms/3TCTELv
Missouri Republicans' Amendment 4 is getting trounced not just in every congressional district but in every *county* so far. Trump won all but four counties in Missouri.
Stephen Wolf@stephenwolf.bsky.social · 19h agoNEW: Missouri voters have rejected Amendment 4, which Republicans had passed to make citizen-initiated constitutional amendments effectively impossible. It would have required initiatives to pass in every congressional district—not just statewide—giving the overwhelmingly red districts a veto
A Kansas ballot measure to change state Supreme Court justices from governor-appointed to popularly elected has failed (69–31% with 32% reporting). Republicans pushed the measure as a way to make the court more conservative.
Methodist megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton wins #KSSen Dem primary to take on Republican Sen. Roger Marshall in November.
Republican power grabs in Kansas and Missouri are going down in flames with 18-25% of votes reported so far. Missouri's Amendment 4 aimed to make citizen-initiated constitutional amendments practically impossible. Kansas' Amendment 1 was designed to flip the state Supreme Court to ban abortion
Polls are closed in most of Michigan, where Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive, is facing Rep. Haley Stevens, a moderate, in the Democratic primary for Senate. Kansas, Missouri, Virginia and Washington are also voting today. Follow live updates.
Primary Elections Live Updates: In Michigan Senate Race, El-Sayed and Stevens Face Off
Polls are closed in most of the state, where Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, a progressive, is facing Representative Haley Stevens, a moderate, in the Democratic primary for Senate. Kansas, Missouri, Virginia and Washington are also voting today.
nyti.ms
