Bob Brandt

@bobbrandt.bsky.social

Infosec, software, climate, economics, design, usability. This is all just, like, my opinion, man. Current cat herder at PowerDNS.

My small British company was bought by Americans. I have just been formally reprimanded for sarcasm and sardonic commentary. I told the disciplinary panel I was grateful for the opportunity to reflect on my attitude going forward and would be certain to bear it in mind in future.

The #1 thing keeping the war going is the belief in Moscow that the West will eventually get bored, and then they'll be able to conquer the rest of Ukraine. And every single person making clear that they've got bored and want to stop supporting Ukraine is *by doing that* encouraging that view in R

Today is 18 years since Russia invaded Georgia. The West deterred us from invading anyone else by continuing work on Norstream 1 as if nothing happened and then arranging a "reset". We understood it to mean you didnt care. We understood you correctly.

A historic moment in Paris! For the first time ever, Ukrainian troops marched down the Champs-Élysées for Bastille Day celebrations. Even the skies joined in, featuring Ukrainian pilots flying in French Mirage fighter jets. A truly powerful symbol of European solidarity. 🇺🇦🇫🇷

There's one flavor of GOOD accelerating change that few foresaw: All-in price declines in solar, wind and batteries relative to coal and gas. The energy transition is ON, and fossil-fuel wars are only accelerating it.

Bild

Remember the global climate goal of no hotter than 1.5°C? Climate change plus a very powerful El Niño could lead to the first month with a global average temperature above 2°C early next year.

Global Surface Temperature — North American Multi-Model Ensemble initialized 2026-06-01
University of Miami Cooperative Institute for Marine & Atmospheric Studies/NOAA
Y-axis "difference from 1850-1900 average (°C)
X-axis: June 2025-April 2026: Dotted line ranging from 1.1C to 1.4C
X-axis: June 2026-Feb. 2027: Average model runs show 1/8C in early 2027. Several individual model runs pass 2C beginning in October 2026.

Cold records are vanishing. There are half as many as there would be without climate change. Heat records are occurring 4x more than you'd expect without greenhouse gas pollution.

Chart: 
Temperatures Reach New Highs While New Lows Become Rare 
Ratio of record heat and cold compared to a stationary climate
X-axis 1950-present
Y-axis 0°C-4°C
A horizontal line at y=1. Below the line are cold records — about half as many as you'd expect if the climate were not changing. Above the line, rapidly rising bars, in red, showing how many more heat records there are than cold records. 
Source: Fischer, Erich M. (2025). Record-breaking extremes in a warming climate, Nature

Scientists have correctly projected the global average temperature rise for decades. The last 15 years have brought an acceleration (still within the projection range). Here's how temperatures have stacked up against model runs published in 2007.

A line graph titled "Global Warming Has Sped Up in Recent Years," comparing Earth’s temperature from 1970 to 2026 against the 1850–1900 baseline. An orange jagged line tracks observed temperatures, which generally rise over time, sitting within a shaded light-orange band representing projected temperature ranges from 2007 CMIP3 climate models.

Two distinct black trend lines are overlaid on the data: a "1970–2010 trend" line showing a steady upward slope, and a separate "2010–2026" line showing a noticeably steeper trajectory. Text on the chart notes: "The recent warming trend is on a steeper trajectory, but still within the range of decades-old projections." The y-axis measures temperature anomalies up to 1.5°C, and the source is credited to Berkeley Earth, with observed data through May 2026. [alt-text from Gemini AI]

“French ICC judge Nicolas Guillou is no longer allowed to travel to the US. All his accounts with American companies, like Amazon and Microsoft, have been shut He has no email accounts. He is on a list of 15,000 others including Al-Qaeda, Putin, and other terrorists.” - @shonamurray.bsky.social

We should be doing a lot more to both conserve fuel in the short term and to accelerate clean energy and electrification in response to the crisis. Solar, EVs and batteries can make a big dent in fossil fuels in a year, and that helps manage the crisis now.

I'm still shocked Rubio announced Operation Epic Fury is over, without achieving their war objectives: 1) no removal of enriched uranium/elim of Iran's nuclear program 2) no constraints on missile production 3) no end of funding for terrorists 4) no democratic regime change Epic Fury? Epic Failure.