A Demographic Theory of Similarity-Biased Social Learning. Now out in PNAS, led by the incomparable @apvelilla.bsky.social . We use modeling to explore conditions for the (cultural) evolution of parochial (and anti-parochial) learning biases. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Brad LeVeck
@bradleveck.bsky.social
political scientist at UC Merced Likes: 🌄📸, 🧠🔄🧠, 📊🧪 faculty.ucmerced.edu/bleveck
yes, exactly this. if I lived in Michigan I'd probably vote for the guy myself, but the AAUP endorsement of Abdul El-Sayed is fucking dumb. no one was waiting on this to decide their vote, literally all it does is make enemies for no gain! bsky.app/profile/adis...
i will simply never get over the science op-end that said "our endorsement of democrats did nothing to help democrats but did decrease trust in scientists - and we'll do it again"
the ygelsias et al. position that every academic needs to exercise ironclad message discipline is obviously untenable and unrealistic, but I do think academics are poorly served by professional organizations, the people who should know better, being pretty tone deaf and inept.
When scientific journals started endorsing candidates, this led to a drop in trust in science and had no meaningful electoral consequences. All downside for science. No upside for the endorsed candidates.
I am not an AAUP member, but I think it is a really bad idea for the American Association of University Professors to be endorsing candidates, especially in a factional Democratic primary.
Cool new WP shows that real wage decline, rather than just inflation, is predictive of GOP vote gains in 2024. www.nber.org/papers/w35301
Wowza. Look at this chart on wildfires in France from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social EFFIS. Red line is cumulative area burned this year; blue line is average since 2006...
You can’t message a war into being popular without changing the underlying reality. Good paper on this from Baum and Groeling. www.jstor.org/stable/40930...
Sen. John Kennedy: "I support the president in Iran. We all have to do a better job messaging."
We don't need to do this guys, Matthew Rabin already took care of it: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Check out our new article on rebel regimes at @apsrjournal.bsky.social!
🚨 New in @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🚨How do the origins of authoritarian regimes shape their subsequent trajectories? @kbclarke.bsky.social @jackpaine.bsky.social and I are excited to share "Rebel Victory and Authoritarian (Dis)Order" /1
🚨 New in @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🚨How do the origins of authoritarian regimes shape their subsequent trajectories? @kbclarke.bsky.social @jackpaine.bsky.social and I are excited to share "Rebel Victory and Authoritarian (Dis)Order" /1
Markets are waking up to the fact that we're back in a "hot" war. Oil prices are rising, but are still at the low end of where they should be. In the near term, we're going back to $100 to price growing supply disruptions. Iran is overplaying its hand... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/how-much-w...
After a long wait, circuit court rejects Florida’s defense of barring profs at public universities from espousing disfavored ideas in the classroom 1/
BREAKING: Eleventh Circuit, on a 2-1 vote, upholds injunction blocking Florida from enforcing its 2022 Stop WOKE Act in the university context. The majority opinion is from Judge Britt Grant, a Trump appointee: storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
New (well, finally published) paper out at AJPS on "Bureaucrat Assignments as Instruments of Political Control": doi.org/10.1111/ajps... . We estimate Indian land officials' preferences over geographical posts and test a "matching market" model of how politicians use assignments to extract rents 1/3
I mostly roll my eyes at "AI is a bubble," but my 2008 Great Recession traumatized brain also gets very nervous whenever large-scale speculative investments are paired with large amounts of leverage. 🎁🔗 www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-...
If you have (or will soon) complete your PhD & would like to join a thriving cultural evolution research group in NEW ZEALAND, drop me a line. UoA offers a handful of funded research fellowships. Applications must be made by a faculty member. Deadline August. Pls share with your students
more news: Mark Zuckerberg is telling lieutenants to pursue partnerships with Polymarket and Kalshi with Meta's new prediction market app called Arena, per sources Meta is targeting 18-34 year old users with a goal of 100 million regular "predictors" www.nytimes.com/2026/06/26/t...
"I don’t want to be in a discipline where people are worried about saying things because they think the truth will have bad effects on their politics. I’m not a politician. I’m a scholar."
Precisely the problem facing science, health, and academia. These vitally important institutions will fail in their mission if every criticism must be withheld for fear of aiding [-----]. chronicleofhighereducation.substack.com/p/is-a-new-r...
Precisely the problem facing science, health, and academia. These vitally important institutions will fail in their mission if every criticism must be withheld for fear of aiding [-----]. chronicleofhighereducation.substack.com/p/is-a-new-r...
A well-deserved honor, though no mention of his contributions to R-help in the article
BBC article about Brian Ripley of the #RStats Core team given this week's excellent news concerning 2026 Rousseeuw Price for Statistics recognition for him and the core team. www.bbc.com/news/article...
One of the better examples I’ve seen of visualization conveying what numbers alone cannot
For years I've tracked billionaire excess. Each year I show students a chart that blows their minds. This year I had to redraw it for a trillionaire: Elon Musk, $1.32T. Depressing that we're here. Silver lining: couldn't have happened to a less deserving person, proof that wealth ≠ merit.
For years I've tracked billionaire excess. Each year I show students a chart that blows their minds. This year I had to redraw it for a trillionaire: Elon Musk, $1.32T. Depressing that we're here. Silver lining: couldn't have happened to a less deserving person, proof that wealth ≠ merit.
Elon Musk's $1.32 Trillion, to Scale
The first trillionaire's fortune, one pixel per $1,000 — scroll past every dollar, and see what a fraction of it could do instead.
stanford.edu
When Trump withdrew from JCPOA in 2018, Mike Pompeo gave a speech outlining a set of demands that any new agreement would have to meet. If we want to judge, not just the outcome of this war, but the broader project of renegotiating the Iran deal, this is a useful yardstick.
Our department has three calls for tenure track positions. IE is a fast growing group of scholars doing top-notch work, which offers very attractive conditions in a great European city. If you are looking for an academic job in Europe, definitely do consider applying.
We are hiring! We have 3 tenure track positions open: - Comparative Politics: apply.interfolio.com/188149 - International Relations: apply.interfolio.com/188150 - Political Economy: apply.interfolio.com/188151 All jobs have deadlines Oct 5th. Please help spread the word to potential candidates.
Today I fulfilled one of my San Diego bucket list items and went with my family to eat at Jimmy Carter's Mexican Cafe. It was very very good and I highly recommend
I swear to god this is a real place in San Diego
@i4replication.bsky.social NEW incredible progress from I4R on a reproducibility Engine The Engine is deliberately diagnostic... it executes code, flags mismatches, raises possible implementation issues, proposes robustness checks, but leaves substantive judgments to people.