Our paper on the electoral benefits of Trump's ag payments is out now at the Journal of Public Economics. authors.elsevier.com/c/1nWEVAlwA2... tl;dr - We use the natural experiment from 2019's massive increase in spending to compare 2020 Trump vote in over-compensated vs. under-compensated counties.

🚨NEW WORKING PAPER🚨 w/ @mjstrawbridge.bsky.social and @stephanieternullo.bsky.social. We help explain the puzzle of steadfast Black identification with the Democratic party by providing new theory and evidence on the role of racial residential segregation 1/n

The APSA Pres Task Force on AI, Politics, & Political Science's report comes in the form of an edited volume identifying questions & establishing a foundation for the empirical study of how politics & governance are affected by AI. Check out these early chapter drafts: shorturl.at/cMZzI #polisky

WashU Source on our article in the latest issue of @ajpseditor.bsky.social, "Speaking their language?: Multilingualism in party communication across democracies" source.washu.edu/2026/05/stud... onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Study reveals how, when political parties communicate with citizens in multiple languages

Analyzing 4 million Facebook posts made by 800 political parties from 87 countries around the world, WashU political scientists find candidates’ linguistic choices often mirror the parties’ choices.

source.washu.edu

Chapter on AI and Research Methods!

Nate Persily@persily.bsky.social · 3mo ago

The Draft Volume of the APSA AI Task Force, cochaired by Josh Tucker and me, is now available. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, POLITICS, AND POLITICAL SCIENCE will be published by Cambridge Press later this year, but the draft chapters are available today: apsanet.org/wp-content/u...

Arguably, no law in American history was a product of more public deliberation and more attention from the political branches than the Voting Rights Act. We fought a Civil War to put authorization of it in the Constitution. It then took 100 years of protest/lobbying to get the legislation passed.

It took a while to get the ad up, but we are hiring a pre-doc to start this summer: careers.peopleclick.com/careerscp/cl...

Research Support Associate 2

MIT - Research Support Associate 2 - Cambridge MA 02139

careers.peopleclick.com

My new book, "Unity Through Particularism: How Electoral Reforms Influence Parties and Legislative Behavior," is finally out with Cambridge University Press. A 20% discount is available on the Cambridge site using the code UYTPM25. www.cambridge.org/us/universit...

Trump is now demanding One Billion Dollars from Harvard, threatening criminal punishment, and insinuating Harvard’s president was chosen because of his religion (?)

Another great postdoc opportunity at Notre Dame! We’re seeking a scholar of American racial & ethnic politics to join our fantastic and growing postdoc cohort Major upside: the opportunity to interview with our poli sci dept for conversion to a tenure-track line apply.interfolio.com/179415

We're hiring at UNC Political Science! Tenure Track Assistant Professor in Methods (Deadline Oct 24) unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/307... #polisky #psjobs #poliscijobs

😒Do elections stir emotions? ➡Using Facebook data from 26 democracies, @dahjinkim.bsky.social T Muraoka, @christopher-lucas.bsky.social @jacobmontgomery.bsky.social & M Tavits find that ideological polarization intensifies emotional reactions www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

Watching @lastweektonight.com this morning (episode dedicated to AI slop 🫠) and had a "Wait, I know that guy!" moment! WTG @christopher-lucas.bsky.social poli sci represent!

The mods of r/ChangeMyView shared the sub was the subject of a study to test the persuasiveness of LLMs & that they didn't consent. There’s a lot that went wrong, so here’s a 🧵 unpacking it, along with some ideas for how to do research with online communities ethically. tinyurl.com/59tpt988

From the changemyview community on Reddit

Explore this post and more from the changemyview community

tinyurl.com

Speaking their language?: Multilingualism in party communication across democracies by Taishi Muraoka, Dahjin Kim, Christopher Lucas, Jacob Montgomery, and Margit Tavits is now available in Early View. @jacobmontgomery.bsky.social ajps.org/2025/04/23/s...

✨Sharing our new publication in @polanalysis.bsky.social @cambridgeup.bsky.social "Constructing Vec-tionaries to Extract Message Features from Texts: A Case Study of Moral Content" #OpenAccess www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Wrapped up #MPSA2025! Presented exciting new work with my coauthor Dihan Shi - grateful for insightful feedback and engaging discussions. Already looking forward to next year!

Researchers intentionally sent study participants down algorithmic rabbit holes, serving them ever-more politically polarized videos on a YouTube-like platform, but found limited effects on attitudes from this short exposure. In PNAS: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Important new paper in PNAS by an all-star team. Experimental evidence that "the algorithms" may not be responsible for ideological social media bubbles. www.pnas.org/doi/epub/10...

With soubhikbarari.bsky.social and Kevin Munger, our article "Political Deepfakes Are as Credible as Other Fake Media and (Sometimes) Real Media" is available ahead of print at thejop.bsky.social. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Pentagon abruptly ends all funding for social science research: 91 studies on threats such as climate change, extremism, and disinformation are halted (with thoughts by me)

Pentagon abruptly ends all funding for social science research

More than 90 studies on threats such as climate change, extremism, and disinformation are halted

science.org

New paper, of the "your toys are probably fine, just make sure they don't have any serrated edges" variety

ArXiv Paperboy (Stat.ME+Econ.EM)@paperposterbot.bsky.social · last yr.

link 📈🤖 When can we get away with using the two-way fixed effects regression? (Lal) The use of the two-way fixed effects regression in empirical social science was historically motivated by folk wisdom that it uncovers the Average Treatment effect on the Treated (ATT) as in the canonical two-peri

Right now, DOGE is saying that any new hires have to be approved by their office. In 1980, when IL Governor Thompson said any new hires had to be approved by his office, the Supreme Court said it was unconstitutional politicization of hiring. What about now? www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...

Imagine if -prosecutors who brought cases against Hunter Biden were purged -Soros employees took control of govt. payment and personnel systems -Executive order redefined 2nd Amendment by fiat -Every violent crime during a BLM protest was pardoned -People paid Biden millions for favorable treatment

Political Analysis has joined Bluesky! PA aims to provide original and significant advances in the general area of political methodology, including both quantitative and qualitative methodological approaches. Follow us here to stay updated on our newest issues and FirstView articles.