Brian McGarry

@mcgarrybe.bsky.social

Health economist at University of Rochester and NBER studying issues related to aging, post-acute care, and long-term care

“We measure the impact of increased immigration on mortality among elderly Americans, who rely on the immigrant-intensive [health care] sectors… [we find] striking effects on mortality: a 25% increase in the steady state flow of immigrants to the US would result in 5,000 fewer deaths nationwide.”

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More on dementia & finances: similar to credit outcomes, we see declines on asset side start about 6 years before dementia onset, patterns are consistent with mistakes driving declines, not healthcare spending or spenddown

NBER@nber.org · 9mo ago

Household wealth begins to decline six years before the onset of dementia, largely because of poor financial decisions, from Jing Li, Kathleen M. McGarry, @lhnicholas.bsky.social, and Jonathan S. Skinner www.nber.org/papers/w34659

Nursing home effort fluctuates with the inspection cycle, affecting patient survival. Unpredictable inspection schedules may boost effort and save lives, from Ashvin Gandhi, Andrew Olenski, and Maggie Shi www.nber.org/papers/w34491

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Medicaid “spend down” — how we force individuals to impoverish themselves to qualify for Medicaid coverage of long-term care — is one of the most messed up things I’ve learned about the US health care system In a new paper, we look at how often spend-down happens in nursing homes specifically

Asset Spend-Down and Medicaid Enrollment in Nursing Homes

This cohort study examines the rate of Medicaid spend-down among nursing home residents enrolled in traditional Medicare and assesses what factors are associated with Medicaid spend-down among these r...

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Next up at @SHESG2025, Katherine Wen presents work on employment and vaccine mandates. Katherine and her colleagues study the impact of vaccinations mandates surrounding COVID. You may remember that there was significant push-back from workers about the mandates at the time.

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Excited this paper is out. Medicare Advantage is driving longer hospital lengths of stay, especially for patients discharged to SNFs. This has important implications for patients' access to post-acute care and hospital patient flows as MA becomes dominant type of Medicare coverage

Michael L. Barnett@mlbarnett.bsky.social · last yr.

New paper w/ Brian McGarry, Ashvin Gandhi, and Drew Wilcock in @jamainternalmed.com! Hospitals are complaining across the US that patients are "stuck" waiting for rehab beds at nursing homes when they are medically stable and ready for discharge. What is going on?? jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

Question Has hospital length of stay increased more for Medicare
Advantage beneficiaries than for traditional Medicare beneficiaries
since the COVID-19 pandemic?Findings In this cohort study involving more than 89 million
hospitalizations from 2017 to the third quarter of 2023, Medicare
Advantage beneficiaries experienced disproportionately greater
increases in extended hospital stays, especially among those
discharged to skilled nursing facilities.Meaning These findings suggest that the Medicare Advantage
plan design and practices may contribute to hospital discharge
delays, with implications for patient outcomes and hospital
capacity as enrollment continues to rise.

Eric Roberts and @joefigs.bsky.social led a groundbreaking new study on Medicaid and Medicare, out today in NEJM. I’m lucky to have been a part of it. Medicare saves lives. But is it enough to save lives of the most vulnerable Americans? The study suggests no; Medicaid still matters. (1/11)

Loss of Subsidized Drug Coverage and Mortality among Medicare Beneficiaries | NEJM

A total of 14 million Medicare beneficiaries receive the Low-Income Subsidy (LIS), which reduces cost sharing in Medicare Part D. Losing the LIS may impede medication access and affect mortality. U...

nejm.org

A key problem is there's a Hotel California aspect to MA: once you're in, it's hard to leave. In nearly every state, after your initial eligibility period @65, you can't revert to traditional Medicare without facing medical underwriting for Medigap plan that cover your out-of-pocket obligations.

As the baby boom generation enters its prime years for long-term care needs, its difficult to come up with a more challenging backdrop than an immigration system about to be cut off at its knees (think: nursing home aides) and states having to fill in funding gaps from Medicaid spending shortfalls.

Joan Alker@joanalker1.bsky.social · 2y ago

As press reports continue to highlight the debate within GOP Congressional leaders as to whether they should block grant Medicaid to pay for their tax cuts, it is worth highlighting that there are 11.7 million seniors/PWD on Medicare + Medicare. The so-called "Dual-eligibles".