Scott

@isothermalwx.bsky.social

NWS Meteorologist Weather Prediction Center. In search of a snowstorm ❄️ Avid foodie 🍽️ Baltimore Sports Fan ⚾️🏈 Proud Marylander 🦀 **Thoughts are 100% my own and do not represent the thoughts of my employer!!**

Another year is about to head into the books and I’m looking for this year to be over. Wasn’t a great year for me in the grand scheme. Some good, but a lot of meh or terrible. Been a while since things have been truly great for me. Hopefully someday that will change. Goodbye 2024

Tomorrow, models indicate that a narrow, east-west oriented frontogenetically forced band of snow will develop across central Illinois in a broad deformation pattern. 1/4

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This is a truly classic snow squall event unfolding for the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, into the Mid Atlantic. Those low to mid level lapse rates are pretty wicked. Michigan pretty much exhibiting one of the better environments for significant snow squall potential at any point in the season.

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The event going on across the southern Lake Erie shores and just inland will be remembered by many living in the area. Totals over 4’ are looking increasingly likely from NE Ohio all the way to the Buffalo Southtowns near Hamburg and surrounds.

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We JUST fell short of the 18” mark out in Western MD and Northern WV. Lots of 12-17” totals out in Garrett Co. down through Tucker Co. in WV. Quite a good start to the winter season out in those parts.

Scott@isothermalwx.bsky.social · 2y ago

Quite the event in the terrain of PA/MD/WV with this system. Wouldn’t be surprised to see some 18-22” totals in the primed upslope areas of the mountains of Western PA down through Western MD and Northern WV.

It’s snowing out there this morning….just several thousand feet above us and melting into rain!! This is leading to radar bright banding. Freezing levels are at ~3000 feet and lowering in the Capital District. Time-height plot from the NYS Mesonet profiler network. #nywx

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I don’t think you guys know how ready I am to nerd out over this upcoming Winter Season in the Northeast on this platform. It’s like my college days all over again!! 😍

Guess it is as good of a time as any to say this is my first week as a Senior Hurricane Specialist at NHC. Last month marked 4 years since I started at NHC & it has been an incredibly humbling yet fulfilling experience. It is an honor to keep on doing what I love, to help save lives & property. 🌀

A headshot of me from 2023

This place could use a chunky dose of delicious satellite imagery. So here are some of my favorites I've shared over the years. Impossible to not start with the unbeatable, the epic... von Karman vortices

I will be defending my doctoral dissertation this Friday, November 22 at 8 am CST over the environmental factors that can lead to and modulate the streamwise vorticity current (SVC) in a supercell, and how that may impact tornadogenesis. If interested in attending, DM me and I will send a zoom link!

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Classic setup for a pivoting band of heavy snow, first of the season, for parts of upstate #NYwx and western New England on the northern edge of a strong upper-level low. Currently Adirondacks - southern Greens - Berkshires favored for some natural boost to early season skiing

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A baroclinic wave in the North Pacific embedded in a strong jet streak interacting with a potent short-wavelength trough will result in explosive cyclogenesis in the NE Pacific on Tuesday. With models showing MSLP in the 940s hPa, this may challenge for the deepest cyclone on record in the region.