Russell Vought has a plan for science, but so do we. Join the fight by joining our Emergency Science Meeting AND taking action against the latest OMB grant funding proposal here 👉 zurl.co/Afprl Donate to our fight here 👉 zurl.co/8BLY8 #StandUpForScience #Science #SaveScience #OMB #FundScience

AS PROMISED: Stop Vought. Save Science. The @standupforscience.net action center is live: fight2win.standupforscience.net REGISTER for our Emergency Science Meeting (6/2, 4pm et), Call and email Congress, and leave your public comment all in one place! #standupforscience #TakeActionNow

Stand up for Science

Stand up for Science

fight2win.standupforscience.net

Stand Up for Science!@standupforscience.net · 2mo ago

🚨UPDATE: We will launch our action center on this issue tomorrow. 📣JOIN US: Emergency Science Meeting (Virtual) June 2nd at 4pm et. Details to come. Our Policy Team has read through the entire 400 page hot mess express from Russ Vought...here are the high level details. A Thread🧵 1/x

I know there is a lot going on, and not all of this is new, but numerous aspects of this OMB proposal are highly alarming and would, if enacted, effectively force American scientists receiving federal funding (which is...most of them in some capacity or another) to stop engaging with the public.

elizabethginexi.bsky.social@elizabethginexi.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Summary of Key Changes in OMB’s Proposed Federal Financial Assistance Rule. Russell Vought is going destroy American Science. elizabethginexi.substack.com/p/summary-of...

"The BOG's performance bonus to Hans comes as universities across the System have been cutting costs amid federal and state funding uncertainty. "Chancellor Lee Roberts is in the midst of cutting more than $85 million from UNC-Chapel Hill... www.wunc.org/education/20...

UNC Board Of Governors awards System President bonus worth more than 80% of his salary

The BOG's performance bonus to System President Peter Hans comes as universities across the System have been cutting costs amid federal and state funding uncertainty.

wunc.org

The future of drought isn’t just less rain. Climate change can make land drier even if rainfall doesn’t decrease. Why? Rain is falling in fewer, heavier bursts - causing more runoff + evaporation, and less water stored in soil. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

More concentrated precipitation decreases terrestrial water storage - Nature

Concentration of precipitation in large events decreases land water availability, and this effect will further increase with a future warming climate.

nature.com

submitted my first dissertation paper 🥳

Crowdfunding for "The Sky is the Limit," a documentary about a crown jewel of American science, the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the peril it faces.

The Sky is the Limit (NCAR)

A documentary about a crown jewel of American science, the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the peril it faces.

kickstarter.com

A total of 13 states have tied or set all-time March heat records over the period Mar. 18-21, and one or more stations in Arizona and California have tied or broken the previous all-time U.S. heat record of 108°F each of those four days. This heatwave is in a class of its own historically!

Extreme Temperatures Around the World@extremetemps.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Mental heat moved today in the Central States with 101F in Kansas,99 in Nebraska,97 in South Dakota,Missouri and Iowa (State record trashed by 5F !) and 90 in Wyoming. Colorado also 95F ,1F from its record. 102F in Oklahoma Updated list of new March State records in 2026

"Gloria" shared this pic of herself picking strawberries in CAs Central Coast. "The water was up to my knees making it very hard to push my cart. My feet were so wet and cold, I couldn’t feel them. Growers have us harvest despite the flooding to avoid losing product." #WeFeedYou

UNC Chancellor Scraps Secret Recording Policy https://bit.ly/4aMlew6

EPA claims repeal will be "de minimis." Based on our forthcoming work on wildfire smoke (below) and a back-of-the-envelope calculation from Table 1 in the final rule, I estimate this action will kill over *200,000 Americans* over the 21st century. De minimis indeed! www.nber.org/papers/w33829

Valuing Wildfire Smoke Related Mortality Benefits from Climate Mitigation

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

nber.org

Jeff Sharlet@jeffsharlet.bsky.social · 6mo ago

It's not an exaggeration to say this will result in genocidal-scale death. And I don't mean in the distant, speculative future. Just the tens of thousands of pollution deaths in the relative near-term (Free link.) www.nytimes.com/2026/02/12/c...

While others are stepping back on climate, Project Drawdown is stepping up! We’re proud to announce the Climate Science Serving America Fellowship to support U.S.-based Ph.D.-level scientists & engineers focused on climate solutions for the public good. drawdown.org/news/project...

Project Drawdown launches Climate Science Serving America Fellowship to support scientists working in the public good

Fellowship seeks early- to mid-career researchers based in America who are committed to science and public expertise

drawdown.org

Want to know how many disaster declarations are being made under the 2nd Trump Administration, and how long they are taking? I made a simple dashboard to help: andrewrumbach.substack.com/p/a-dashboar...

A dashboard for tracking FEMA major disaster declarations

My last post described how presidential disaster declarations are an important indicator of how the 2nd Trump Administration intends to govern disasters.

andrewrumbach.substack.com

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

SUPER excited to see this live in the world. In particular hugely admire this team's dedication to openness and transparency about methodology, code, assumptions. Every tool has strengths and weaknesses, but sharing openly is how the whole community can improve. Big kudos @carbonplan.org

CarbonPlan@carbonplan.org · 6mo ago

Today we’re launching Open Climate Risk, a fully open option for U.S. building-level climate risk data. It’s unique because it allows you to see not only risk scores, starting with wildfire, but also the complete underlying dataset, methods, and codebase. carbonplan.org/research/cli...

"Our main conclusion ... is that several well-cited messaging strategies reliably influence pro-environmental attitudes and behavioural intentions in the United States ... We found little evidence of heterogeneous treatment effects between Democrats and Republicans..."

A registered report megastudy on the persuasiveness of the most-cited climate messages - Nature Climate Change

How to effectively communicate climate change to the public has long been studied and debated. Through a registered report megastudy, researchers tested the ten most-cited climate change messaging str...

nature.com

"The study’s findings are also in line with previous research: A 2021 study suggested that PM2.5 from wildfires is up to 10 times more harmful than PM2.5 from other sources, such as ambient pollution."

Emily Gardner@emfurd.bsky.social · 6mo ago

Stroke risk doesn't seem to change much whether people are exposed to 1, 2 or 3 years of non-smoke PM2.5 pollution. “But for smoke, this picture is very different,” said Yang Liu. "The longer you’re exposed to smoke, the greater your stroke risk.” New from me in @eos.org. eos.org/articles/wil...

New data show that business concentration has increased persistently in many countries over the past century by sales, net income, and capital, but not by employment, from Yueran Ma, Mengdi Zhang, and Kaspar Zimmermann www.nber.org/papers/w34711

NSF just posted their Dear Colleague Letter regarding the restructuring of NCAR. www.nsf.gov/funding/info...

NSF Intent to Restructure Critical Weather Infrastructure

nsf.gov

@nws.noaa.gov's experimental probabilistic precip forecast shows the chance of snow, ice, and total accumulations through Monday

New work from our team: we mapped water table depth at 30-meter resolution across the entire continental US. That's ~8 billion grid cells, trained on over 1 million well observations. Highest-resolution estimate to date.

rabbit hole OTD "I consider the role of animals in gentrification processes ... how the materialities of horse bodies are embodied in specific landscape changes: qualities of pasture, styles of fencing and stables ... and lead to the territorialisation and contestation of broader rural landscapes."

Horsification: Embodied gentrification in rural landscapes

In this paper, I consider the role of animals in gentrification processes, developing a conceptualisation of ‘horsification’: the proliferation of hor…

sciencedirect.com

Neptune Flood (subsidiary of NYSE:NP) is actively working to privatize the NFIP. Company leadership has communicated their work and this goal, in line with Project 2025, to the White House. Privatization would have big implications for flood-prone communities. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/15/c...

How One Company Is Pushing a Private Takeover of Flood Insurance

nytimes.com

Caveat here being that 5cm hail is listed as being where damage to buildings starts... but based on an EU study where much more of the building stock is tile roof. Asphalt shingles, obviously much more common in US, take damage and need replacement at much smaller hail sizes.

European Severe Storms Laboratory@essl-ecss.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Is damaging hail getting worse? An ESSL-led study published in Nature Geoscience finds that very large hail is modelled to occur most frequently in South America, the United States, and South Africa, but Europe shows the strongest increase in very large hail frequency. doi.org/10.1038/s415...

Have you ever heard of the black-white mortality crossover? Before about 82, black men have higher age-specific probabilities of dying than white men. Between roughly 82–86, the gap closes. After 86, the pattern actually reverses: white men become more likely to die at each age than black men.

After the US admin cancelled the $B Climate + Weather Disaster dataset, @climatecentral.org hired the scientists who ran it and set it back up. Now the 2025 numbers are in: it's 3rd highest year on record and highest year w/o land-falling hurricanes. More: www.climatecentral.org/climate-serv...

County officials told KQED on Monday the exact damage estimates aren’t yet known, but that hundreds of structures were impacted by the flooding brought on by stronger-than-expected rainfall and king tides, the highest tides of the year. (via @kqednews.kqed.org)

Marin County Looked Like ‘a Lagoon’ After King Tides, Heavy Rain | KQED

Flooding in Marin County this weekend foreshadows a far wetter future due to human-caused climate change.

n.pr

"Nutrition is a central determinant of human health, yet the direct impacts of climate on dietary intake remain poorly understood ... [we] show that both extreme heat and cold trigger a shift toward energy-dense diets, adding a previously overlooked behavioral channel to the climate–health nexus."

Extreme Temperatures Promote High-Fat Diets

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

nber.org