The U.S. has used “virtually all” of its precision strike missiles during the war in Iran. Stockpiles on ATACMs and Precision Strike Missiles are almost depleted. And we have used about half of our Tomahawks, per new data circulating inside the administration.

More analysis on what happened in Ceuta and how many leaders in EU are caught by blowing up migration No good comes from it [not solution orientated] Something that can not be won against farright as for them facts matter little thriving on emotions and racism they have fed for years

The right’s exploitation of the Ceuta migrant ‘crisis’ almost guarantees that it will happen again | Ruben Andersson

The EU’s panic and the lack of solidarity emboldens smugglers and the far right – and makes Spain even more vulnerable, says Ruben Andersson, professor of social anthropology

theguardian.com

Anthony Zacharzewski@anthonyzach.be · yesterday

Many EU leaders are collapsing under a moment’s pressure on Ceuta but the hypocrisy of Meloni is particularly sickening. All those demands that Europe help Italy out on Lampedusa, and no-one asked for Italy to be excluded from Schengen. But as soon as a Social Democrat faces problems….

Stories about Kushner, Witkoff and inside trading relating to the Iran War have been abounding for months now.

Vance, Farage and Weidel posted fear-mongering messages about a Spanish migrant crisis that weren't true. They haven't retracted them. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

The Far Right Is Distorting Ceuta

We’ve seen this before.

theatlantic.com

Treating this as a pan-European crisis and closing borders disproportionately *encourages* other countries to use these tactics as political weapons. Sow division, isolate EU countries who are particular enemies.

Nonsensical responses by other EU leaders. Giorgia Meloni suspended Schengen with Spain, called for other countries to do the same, despite Ceuta being on a different continent and Spain controlling who travels to the European mainland.

Good piece. A thread on some comments I made yesterday on Times Radio. Two things can be true at the same time: 1. It’s very bad to have 60,000 people storm a border, and 70+ deaths. 2. European leaders' responses were opportunistic and disproportionate, and made incidents like this more likely.

Anne Applebaum@anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 3d ago

Vance, Farage and Weidel posted fear-mongering messages about a Spanish migrant crisis that weren't true. They haven't retracted them. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

Putin is a monster

Now they’ve done it… Mark Carney and Alex Stubb actually wrote ”middle powers of the world, unite!” 😅 Also, it should give Americans some pause that they basically suggest that Canada’s geographical predicament with its border with the US compares to Finland’s with Russia…

1. Memento 2-3. not awarded

☀️ Starshine@starshine.bsky.social · last wk.

lets keep this discourse going. rank your top 3 nolan films

🧵 This piece is really important, because it gets to something that is a prerequisite for and recurring feature of atrocities worldwide: selective empathy. Most people assume that when atrocities happen, it’s bc everyone involved is a sociopath. Some are. But not all. 1/

Greg Sargent@gregsargent.bsky.social · last wk.

When Elon Musk says "zero" children died in Africa from his DOGE cuts, he really means zero children died who are *worthy of any concern.* It's vile coded signaling to his global fascist audience. From me and @polphilpod.bsky.social, a deep dive into Musk's fascism: newrepublic.com/article/2135...

Apologies if I sound angry, but it is a real problem that the 'smart' commentary on this war is trying hard to avoid the core lesson ("the president is a fucking moron") because it doesn't sound very clever when it is absolutely the most important takeaway from this debacle.

The second strategic failure is that the American people (re)elected a worthless fucking moron like Donald Trump, who is boundlessly confident despite knowing nothing about anything and so asked the US military to do the impossible for no reason at all because he got lucky in Venezuela.

In short, there are valuable lessons we can learn about drones & interceptors & magazine depth & mine-sweepers, etc. But the key lesson is: no amount of tactical excellence can salvage strategic incompetence. Who lost the Iran War? The American voter did, that damn fool. And he ought to feel it.

Leaving aside that Rubio is confessing to war crimes: it’s remarkable that before this war, we were taking the position that the regime was evil but we were supportive of the people of Iran. Now killing civilians is the cornerstone of US strategy.

Aaron Rupar@atrupar.com · 2w ago

Q: Do you rule out striking civilian infrastructure? MARCO RUBIO: Iran's policy is an eye for an eye. The president's policy is a head for an eye. Honestly. That's what it's going to be. They're going to pay a very heavy price. They are going to suffer more. (Definitely not a yes!)

EU agrees 21st sanctions package but at great cost: allowing Greek shipping firms (essentially one firm) to keep exporting Russian LNG. My read: While this exemption may help Mitsotakis at home, it will severely dent the PM's hopes of landing a top EU job one day. Memories are long in Brussels.

🇫🇷🇮🇹 The EU wanted to add a ban on entry for Russian combatants to its 21st sanctions package, but the measure was left out after objections from France and Italy because it would hurt their tourism industry.

As EU ambassadors begin a crunch debate on the next round of Russia sanctions, with billions of euros worth of LNG exports and oil revenues hanging in the balance, the @financialtimes.com editorial board lays out the crude truth Background here: as.ft.com/r/3ac50792-e...

I think Putin will probably escalate regardless of what happens with the EU sanctions package. But he may be tempted to go further if he thinks the EU is unwilling to endure further economic pain and is therefore more coercible.

Henry Foy@henryjfoy.ft.com · 2w ago

As EU ambassadors begin a crunch debate on the next round of Russia sanctions, with billions of euros worth of LNG exports and oil revenues hanging in the balance, the @financialtimes.com editorial board lays out the crude truth Background here: as.ft.com/r/3ac50792-e...

...and now looksmaxxing is de rigueur at the Pentagon. You could not make it up. Good piece by @anjahuja.bsky.social.

Should testosterone be in Hegseth’s build-your-own-warrior playbook?

The US administration sees scientific evidence as an optional, flexible handmaid to the more vital business of masculinity

ft.com

Elections have consequences. The question is: will a sufficient number of US voters successfully make the connection between cause and effect?

Elizabeth N. Saunders@profsaunders.bsky.social · 2w ago

Can't get numb to this: The United States is stuck in a war it started, cannot end, and may further escalate to no avail, having dismantled its diplomatic apparatus, depleted its military stockpile, and destroyed its credibility. A historic strategic mistake harming millions in many different ways.

Can't get numb to this: The United States is stuck in a war it started, cannot end, and may further escalate to no avail, having dismantled its diplomatic apparatus, depleted its military stockpile, and destroyed its credibility. A historic strategic mistake harming millions in many different ways.

@gideonrachman.bsky.social on Trump's dangerous lack of strategy: "US got through 30% of its stock of Tomahawk cruise missiles and 50% of its Patriot interceptors in the first few weeks of its conflict with Iran (...) a possible window of opportunity is opening up for China to take military action."

Trump is slipping into an Iran quagmire

America cannot achieve its aims by negotiation. So regime change is back on the agenda

ft.com

Shameful: some EU member state governments -- inc. in Greece, France, Germany, Italy, Portugal and Austria -- scupper tougher sanctions against Russia, to benefit their local corporate interests. By @henryjfoy.ft.com @alicemhancock.bsky.social @chriscook.news

EU faces crumbling support for new Russia sanctions

National capitals refuse to support measures that could hurt big companies

ft.com

Btw, anyone proposing a “European security order with Russia” is glossing over the fact that the threat is one-way— Ru threatens/attacks Europe, no one in Eu threatens Ru. Opening the door to russian demands under the guise of a negotiation over a “security order” is partial capitulation for Europe.

Europe has drawn a clear line: EU money must not help Moscow polish its image while Russian missiles keep striking Ukraine. The Commission is right to recommend ending the €2 million grant to the Venice Biennale after it reopened Russia’s national pavilion.

Excellent & well worth reading by Ángel Ubide, on Europe's failure to adjust to the new world of great power competition. A few snippets below. 1/5

The European ‘catenaccio’

If we do not invest, if we cannot offer a true single market, we will have little negotiating power

english.elpais.com

Immediately after the 7th of October attacks my reaction was that the conditions Israel had kept Palestinian people in pretty clearly did meet the conditions for jus ad bellum but that jus ad bellum doesn't mean anything goes in jus in bello so that doesn't make many of the actual events that day ok

A bipartisan group of Senators announced a sanctions deal with the White House. More sanctions and tariffs are coming for those who buy Russian oil and gas. 🍿

An appeal for Poles and Ukrainians to sit down and put to bed their spat over the past, so as to ensure a better future. In a region with a dire history of violence, agreeing to disagree is crucial to maintaining unity against a common enemy.

Clash between Ukraine and Poland is dangerous and only benefits the Kremlin – opinion

I am very worried about the sharp clash between Ukraine and Poland due to their painful common history. Therefore I woul...

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