Don't posit a theory that is only interesting because it implies X causes variation in Y, test for a statistical relationship between X and Y, but then say you are not interpreting causally. Of course you are interpreting it causally. That was the whole point of what you just did.
Something I learnt recently: Amazon stores all the highlights you make in Kindle here read.amazon.com/notebook which you can copy into an LLM to turn into structured notes. That way I can spend more time doing something I like (reading) and less time on something I don’t (making notes)
Still not used to American faculty CVs: I am the Chrysler Professor of Economics in the Coca Cola Department of Graduate Studies at the Colgate University of Arts and Science.
Mike Myers as Wayne Campbell Drinks Pepsi
ALT: Mike Myers as Wayne Campbell Drinks Pepsi
static.klipy.com
Today I heard Professor David Card speak about obstacles he's observed to incorporating evidence into policy. events.iadb.org/calendar/eve... I think #2 is very important when we (economists) talk about high rates of return.
I don't think people are ready for this kind of joke yet.
I'm interested in finding and potentially supporting people who are interested in doing long-form writing on the big efforts in global health: Gavi, Global Fund, PEPFAR, etc. If this is you or someone you know, please make yourself known!
My secret, Cap, is that I'm *always* angry about old books. For instance, here's a tiny slice of the millions of books 1931-1986 that have no commercial value, that are digitized, but that we're unable to use in large-scale research because they are illegal to share or display.
This is a really beautiful website by @jdworkin.bsky.social on the everyday household items that were once only dreamt about – a music player, nightlight, family photos, clean water, ice, spices, and more. 10/10 would recommend exploring it! ordinaryabundance.com
Ordinary Abundance
A walk through a modern apartment, through the eyes of the people for whom everything in it was new.
ordinaryabundance.com
Emily Wilson: It lacks psychological, emotional, political and ethical depth.
In my view far more scarce goods in society not allocated through price - grants, elite university spots for instance - should be lotteried. Far more transparent and fair then pretending there is some unique quality ordering over disparate, non-commensurable attributes.
Random Priority—a popular no-transfer allocation mechanism—is efficient, fair, & simple to participate in. Is it the only mechanism with these properties? Marek Pycia @econ.uzh.ch and Peter Troyan, UVA Economics, answer this long-standing question in the positive. buff.ly/zlSjmC0
Peter's Law of Chatbot Accuracy*: "everything you read that's produced by an LLM is absolutely true, except for the rare output about which you happen have expert knowledge". *Remixed from Knoll's Law of Media Accuracy, where the exact same rules apply!
AI is a normal tech. That means there are times when it is useful and times when it is pointless or actively harmful. One rule of thumb for chatbots is that they can only provide useful information to experts who have the discernment to ignore the defective output that LLMs *always* emit. 60/
On a related note, having now left academia, I find it crazy that researchers don't have a layman "blog post" for each of their research papers. Easier than ever with LLMs, and very useful for practitioners and journalists. If you actually care about your research's impact, it's a no-brainer.
IDC about this debate, but to be clear, yes, the vast majority of the public have never been to an academic conference. That doesn’t mean we need to make conferences kinder (idk, maybe we do, separate q), but at a very basic level we absolutely do need to adjust to speak to general audiences.
My mom is horrified after accidentally nabbing a porcelain ramequin from an airplane meal. (She had been unknowingly upgraded to business.)
I'll never forget the first time I attended a #datascience seminar: the speaker had a huge dataset and ran a t-test on every combination of variables, pointed to each p<0.05, and said that was your starting point for a ML model or research paper
New rule: Statistical analysis without a clearly stated research question gets you a paddlin'
Writing a paper introduction is more art than science, but a good formula gets you most of the way there. Today's blog post: a paragraph-by-paragraph template that is used pretty commonly, plus the mistakes I see most often. 🧵 #EconSky deryugina.com/a-two-for-on...
A two-for-one blog post on writing introductions – Tatyana Deryugina
deryugina.com
We're looking for a temporary lecturer in economics of education, labour economics, applied econometrics, for 1 year to cover for parental leave. Apply by August 4: www.ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/...
UCL – University College London
UCL is consistently ranked as one of the top ten universities in the world (QS World University Rankings 2010-2022) and is No.2 in the UK for research power (Research Excellence Framework 2021).
ucl.ac.uk
I say this with nothing but love in my heart for the fatherland but can you imagine any other country looking at wildfires and thinking "quick, get a philosopher on the line"
Obligatory www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/my-...
My Fully Optimized Life Allows Me Ample Time to Optimize Yours
JUly 29 2021 1/2/25
mcsweeneys.net
People are self-optimizing everything — protein, skincare, fitness — to such a degree that "maxxing" is one of social media's most popular suffixes.
Musk was humiliated in his interview with The Economist editor Zanny Minton Beddoes. She called him out on his bullshit, pointed out his lies and ignorance and extreme prejudice. We need more interviews like that. This is the response of the world’s thinnest-skinned man.
Fish. 🐟 France, Portugal and Germany managed to bloc EU sanctions on Russian fresh fish imports. Apparently Surimi is an indispensable French classic. Germans can only eat fish fingers made from Russian fish. And Portugal's national dish, dried cod, is now Made in Russia.
Warning: going forward, when I give a 90 minute seminar, there will be hydration breaks, a halftime show, and a possibly-lengthy extra time with important points.
Two people tried to enter a screening of The Odyssey without buying tickets after hiding inside a miniature model of the Trojan Horse. 😂😂😂
Could Excel be conscious? We surveyed more than Jan 1 1900 people to find out.
Oppenheimer and The Odyssey are movies about men feeling guilt and shame over their life's crowning achievement bringing untold suffering into the world clearly this is an expression of Christopher Nolan's guilt for popularizing superhero movies with The Dark Knight
Am I the only one old enough to remember when Swtach tried to launch a decimal, universal time (One day = 1000 Beats), to facilitate online meetings when internet/chatrooms were in their infancy?
no one wants to consider my insane pitch which is to eliminate timezones across the planet so we’re all on the exact same time and force everyone to change their conception of what a day is
Scientists--if your funding was cut over the last year (for research on climate, global health, DEI, LGBTQ or womens health, etc) but you managed to keep the research going, I want to talk to you for an upcoming article! Plz contact me: gewin at me dot com. Re-posts appreciated!