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Peter Bergman

@peterbergman.bsky.social

Associate Prof. of Economics @utaustin. Director http://learningcollider.org. @NBERpubs affiliate. Co-Chair @mit @jpal edtech. Schmidt Futures Innovation Fellow. www.peter-bergman.com.

324 Posts4862 Follower867 Folgt
Sarah Cohodes@cohodes.bsky.social · last wk.

Guys I’m having a week. Tomorrow come see me present “The effects of charter schools on economic mobility” at the Labor/Ed NBER SI session at 3:50pm ET. (In-person only)

Jennifer Doleac@jenniferdoleac.bsky.social · 2w ago

If you'll be on the econ job market this fall with a paper related to crime, the criminal justice system, or people with criminal records, and would like to present it in the ViCE seminar, email me! (My address is on my website.)

@davidaldridgedc.bsky.social · 2mo ago

In a league of killers, Jalen Brunson is one of the best winners of his generation. He won two chips at Villanova in three years, and he's made the New York Knicks into NBA champions. At 6-foot-1-ish. He's a great, GREAT basketball player.

Peter Bergman@peterbergman.bsky.social · 2mo ago

New NBER working paper. We meta-analyze 82 RCTs of low-cost parent programs in 20+ countries. We use data on unwritten RCTs from funder records, RCT registries, author queries, etc. to estimate a model that adjusts for publication bias and characterizes the effect distribution for unwritten studies.

NBER working paper. Paper title: Characterizing the File Drawer: Evidence from a Meta-Analysis of Parent-Interventions Around the World Abstract: We conduct a meta-analysis of 82 randomized controlled trials across more than 20 countries to estimate the effects of low-cost, remote parental engagement interventions delivered through text messages, phone calls, and apps. We estimate a joint likelihood function that incorporates both written studies and unwritten studies identified through trial registries, funder records, research labs, evidence clearinghouses, and other sources. By also recording sample sizes for unwritten studies, the model estimates the distribution of standard errors, identifies write-up probabilities conditional on significance, and characterizes the file drawer by estimating effect distributions for written \textit{and} unwritten studies. Bias-corrected effects are 0.05 SD for test scores, 0.07 SD for grades, 0.05 SD for attendance, and 0.03 SD for enrollment. In the best-identified domain, test scores, statistically insignificant results are still written up at high rates. We also find that larger studies tend to estimate smaller latent effects, which could indicate that true effects are correlated with study precision, violating a common meta-analysis assumption. In smaller-sample domains, our approach helps identify selection probabilities by anchoring the absolute write-up rates. Finally, we estimate the value of additional RCTs to inform adoption decisions. Any single study estimate is unlikely to dissuade adoption because parent interventions have high marginal value of public funds. Instead, future research is most valuable when it can explain heterogeneity across settings.
Caitlin Myers@caitlinmyers.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Wow, I didn't expect our paper on iPhones and fertility to generate this much buzz—thanks for all the feedback! Rather than scattershot replies, here's a compilation of thoughts and new robustness checks. 🧵1/15

@deankarlan.bsky.social · 2mo ago

New working paper with Amol Singh Raswan and Chris Udry: "The Sisyphean Pursuit of Evidence for Poverty Traps." A central idea in development economics is that poverty can trap people. We went looking for the cleanest evidence. Here's what we found – and didn't.

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Don Moynihan@donmoyn.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Altogether, if bonuses are paid out, Landry will earn $4.5 million from for a job that lasted less than 12 months. Florida law caps the amount of presidential salaries funded by the state at $200,000. His previous most senior administrative role was as Department Chair.

Joshua Foust 🪖🎮@joshuafoust.com · 3mo ago

The way Ron DeSantis has turned Florida’s previously top-notch university system into a lavish slush fund for his friends and co-segregationists needs to be the subject of a withering political campaign. Everyone who touched this process should be made radioactive in polite society.

WeRateDogs@weratedogs.com · 3mo ago

This is Jam. He said he was the highest jumping golden retriever in Ontario. May or may not have lied on his resume. Still 13/10 (IG: skythepupvlogger)