Two(!) permanent lectureships coming up at Cardiff: One in political behaviour/opinion cardiffuniweb.eploy.net/vacancies/52... One in British politics (very loosely defined) cardiffuniweb.eploy.net/vacancies/53... Feel free to get in touch and I'll be happy to answer any questions I can

Just an enormous difference in Russian support for the war when comparing direct question estimates with experiments from list experiments. Also, peep those CIs! sensitivity bias has to be HUGE (which it apparently is in this case) to be detected with Direct - List

Georgy Tarasenko@tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social · last wk.

Every wave after that splits. Direct support holds at ~75%. Indirect support drops to 44–58%. The gap runs from 16 to 30 percentage points.

Fantastic job opportunity at the European University Institute in Florence: Stein Rokkan Chair in Comparative Politics Application deadline: October 15. @eui-sps.bsky.social www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...

Check out also at @eui-sps.bsky.social Peter Mair Assistant Professorship in Comparative Politics Deadline: 27 August 2026 at midnight (Florence time) www.eui.eu/About/JobOpp...

Tomorrow: “Norris slams spiders for having eight legs”.

Meaningless correlations, p-hacking, vast swathes of marginally incremental research -- I mean, for those of us in political behaviour this dystopian world is frankly hard to conceive of. www.ft.com/content/52e6...

If you had a choice between instantly receiving £50,000 or a 50% chance to win £1m, which would you pick? £50,000: 73% 50/50 chance of winning £1m: 21% yougov.com/en-gb/daily-...

📄 New pre-print on SSRN New evidence on a timely question: Does holding anti-democratic leaders legally accountable produce democratic backlash? Contrary to widespread concerns, I find no evidence that accountability increased affective polarisation or reduced support for democracy. 🧵👇

I’ve seen a version of this presented at a conference and so I know that it’s a) very good and b) many miles up the street of my @essexsummerschool.bsky.social students on the Designing & Analysing Surveys class.

Essex Summer School in Social Science Data Analysis@essexsummerschool.bsky.social · 2w ago

📌 TODAY 📌 @benlauderdale.bsky.social presents "Studying Individual-Level Attitudes Towards Important Problems Using Pairwise Comparisons" 📆 Wednesday 22 July, 6:30 pm 📍 EBS 2.2. 💻 Free webinar registation ▶ essex-university.zoom.us/s/95426008058 #ESS2026 #HaroldClarkeSpeakerSeries

As Ed Miliband leaves his post as energy and net-zero secretary, a final tally: There have been an incredible 251 newspaper editorials attacking him and his approach to net-zero since the start of 2024 That amounts to two editorials a week, mainly in the Sun, Daily Mail, Times and Daily Telegraph.

Always nice to see a sprawling literature brought to order.

Politics_Oxford@politicsoxford.bsky.social · 2w ago

New paper in the European Journal of Political Research, co-authored by DPIR’s @profjanegreen.bsky.social:  politicians rarely change people’s views on immigration, but they can shape how important the issue feels—and whether those views affect voting and behaviour: https://f.mtr.cool/myfmjwimmj

Behold, the delightful Lyttle Lytton contest for the worst opening sentences for books that do not exist. It's a glorious little experiment with what, truly, makes writing "bad". adamcadre.ac/lyttle/2026....

I thought Keir Starmer might need some cheering up and so here's a graph which shows his personal popularity above a regression line. Main message: while he may have the record for the lowest approval ratings ever, that's got a fair bit to do with the unpopularity of his party.

New paper out now 🥳 When psychologists discuss generalisability, they often refer to vague notions of representativeness. We provide an accessible intro to the total survey error framework as a tool to reason about this more rigorously. w @taymalsalti.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci >

🔊 Today! Wednesday 15 July, 6:30pm Ryan T Moore: "10 Experiments in Public Policy and What We Can Learn from Them" Free webinar registation ➡️ essex-university.zoom.us/s/95830499314 #ESS2026 #EssexSummerSchool

first they add fizzy drinks to our red wine, now this

Life’s pretty good (even when working) at @essexsummerschool.bsky.social. If you’re not here this year, see you next year for the 60th anniversary edition.

Other parties should stand aside for Binface

One for @drjennings.bsky.social and @lawrencemckay.bsky.social

JEPP Journal@jeppjournal.bsky.social · 2mo ago

🏙️ vs ⛰️: Who gets their policy preferences reflected? 💡@stefanhp.bsky.social shows that urban residents see their policy preferences reflected more often than rural counterparts - even when controlling for education and income 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

This is a big problem. If the last information people receive is always “numbers went up” because “numbers went down” is never reported we shouldn’t be surprised that perceptions about immigration end up so skewed. Media should take some responsibility here - this is a salient and polarising issue.

Sunder Katwala (sundersays)@sundersays.bsky.social · last mo.

Revealed preferences suggest this 37% drop in small boat nunbers (first two quarters) is treated as ×10-x50 times less newsworthy than a 37% increase has been. Given high salience of the issue, should broadcasters try to check/balance that instinct?

New publication out and open access at @poqjournal.bsky.social with the legendary @jaclarner.bsky.social! How does support for the UK monarchy change over the lifespan or differ between cohorts? 🧵 (1/x) doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

Long May They Reign? Age and Cohort Effects on Monarchism in the UK

Abstract. The monarchy is a long-standing British institution that enjoys high visibility across the world. However, there is concern that younger generati

doi.org

good morning everyone, Mondays are hard, would you like a thread of the most expensive house currently on Rightmove for every English county? here's a thread of the most expensive house currently on rightmove for every English (ceremonial) county. we'll be going alphabetically

Calling all PhD students and Early Career Researchers in European Studies Join us for this year’s Graduate Forum Doctoral Training Academy (DTA), taking place on Sunday 6 September at Charles University, Prague Registration Opens July 1st #UACES2026 #DoctoralTrainingAcademy #EuropeanStudies

Life goals

The headline should have read “Doku criticised by one person, who has since basically retracted that attack, while being backed by many, many others”. But it didn’t. (I suppose we should be grateful it didn’t say ‘slammed’.) www.bbc.co.uk/sport/footba...

World Cup 2026: Jeremy Doku criticised over plan to leave Belgium camp for birth of child

Winger Jeremy Doku is criticised for saying he wants to leave Belgium's World Cup camp to be with his wife when she gives birth to their first child.

bbc.co.uk

This story currently leads BBC Scotland. But down here in London you have to scroll all the way down past the London news, the World Cup, whatever the BBC calls its Reels equivalent, more World Cup, weekend picks and 'lazy summer recipes' to the 'around the UK' to see it

Sunder Katwala (sundersays)@sundersays.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Four people in hospital after knife attacks in Edinburgh. An arrest made. BBC report say man shouted about "protecting the country". Sone signs the attacks near a mosque at petrol station & pizzeria may have had anti-Muslim or anti-migrant/minority motives (tbc) www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

With the winner seemingly in little doubt, the betting interest in Makerfield lies elsewhere.

Come join us next Tuesday for new analysis on how Wales has changed in the 10 years since the Eu Referendum 👇

Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru@walesgovernance.bsky.social · 2mo ago

🎙️DIGWYDDIAD | EVENT - 23/06/2026 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇬🇧🇪🇺 Degawd ers Refferendwm am adael yr Undeb Ewropeaidd | A Decade on from the EU Referendum Ymunwch â ni i wythnos nesaf i glywed ein hymchwil diweddaraf ar #Cymru ôl-Brecsit | Join us to hear our research on post-Brexit #Wales. www.eventbrite.com/e/1991988577...

Now, these times can’t both be right. (Don’t worry: of course neither of them was.) #EPSS2026