(Also, once again: WEAR SUNSCREEN, EVERYONE. Always and forever. Especially you, my strawberry-blonde compatriots.)
Caroline Krafft
@ckrafftc.bsky.social
Economist, Associate Prof. @ Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota Development/Labor/Education/Gender/ECD/Inequality in the Middle East and North Africa.
The BLS reports mostly little or unchanged metrics in the latest #JOLTS report for June. After a weaker than expected jobs report for June, today's slightly softer job openings numbers as well as unchanged numbers of hires, quits, and layoffs are not surprising. bsky.app/profile/elis...
Today's jobs report came in weaker than expected. The economy added 57k jobs in June and prior months were revised down. April and May are a combined 74k lower than previously reported. Analysts believe the World Cup added 40k to June numbers—without that, job growth would have been 17k. #EconSky
June JOLTS: Openings down slightly, hires up slightly, layoffs functionally unchanged. Lots more movement beneath the surface, but at the aggregate level, "low-hire, low-fire" remains solidly in place. www.bls.gov/news.release... #NumbersDay
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary - 2026 M06 Results
bls.gov
I had the pleasure of talking to @hughesstephanie.bsky.social at @marketplace.org about a depressing topic: health insurance taking a growing bite out of US workers' paychecks. www.marketplace.org/story/2026/0...
Rising health insurance costs may take a bite out of your paycheck
Health insurance costs for employers have been growing at a high rate. To cope, experts said employers could raise costs, hold off hiring, or cut into employee raises.
marketplace.org
This paper shows that immigration enforcement can _increase_ crime. Undocumented immigrants already have the lowest crime rate, but tough-on-immigration policy makes immigrants less likely to report crime. So immigration enforcement worsens the problem it was ostensibly meant to solve
If this passes, it will earn that the Senate mobilized to protect science (for now).* * note, though, that there are numerous other attacks on science that have gone through since January 2025. www.politico.com/news/2026/08...
Senate finalizes funding patch that would block Trump’s grant overhaul
Language is included to delay the president’s move to put political appointees in charge of grant approval.
politico.com
Minnesota’s paid leave payroll tax will remain at 0.88% in 2027, the state announced Friday — but a new actuarial analysis indicates the program may need to increase the rate in 2028 to abide by state law.
Minnesota paid leave payroll tax rate to remain the same next year • Minnesota Reformer
Minnesota’s paid leave payroll tax will remain at 0.88% in 2027, shared between workers and their employers, the state announced Friday — but a new actuarial analysis indicates the program may need to...
minnesotareformer.com
The evidence from the US, where over more than a decade some states have raised the minimum wage while others have not, is clear. - Statutory MW hikes are effective in raising the wages of the low paid. - No substantial job losses. - Adjustment via higher productivity, prices &/or lower profits
We've been running an unprecedented natural experiment running for a decade and half. 30 states have raised their minimum wages. 20 have not. What happened to pay? What happened to jobs? The good news is that it's pretty easy to figure out now. substack.com/home/post/p-...
The @aefpweb.bsky.social EdDev (Scholars of Education in Developing Countries) resumes its work-in-progress seminar series this fall. Meetings are the 2nd Friday of each month, 11a-12p ET. Register your interest in presenting: forms.gle/8ag4Bm8QjkudPBaj6 Plz reskeet! #econsky #edusky
AEFP EdDev Community Group Presentation Sign-ups Fall 2026-2027
This is the sign-up for presenting work-in-progress at the AEFP EdDev Community Group for the Fall semester of the 2026-2027 academic year. We meet at 11am ET for an hour every second Friday of the mo...
forms.gle
A Minnesota religious studies professor is facing six years in prison, with the DOJ saying he is part of an "antifa" conspiracy against ICE Erik Davis speaks out about his prosecution, largely based on a handful of his comments in Signal chats. He's not accused of any violence “It’s petty revenge"
The professor facing prison in ‘antifa’ case: ‘They want to scare all who oppose ICE’
Erik Davis is accused by the government of a ‘conspiracy’ to obstruct ICE – experts say it’s part of a pattern to criminalize lawful organizing and ruin activists’ lives
theguardian.com
What’s the relationship between age and height? What about height and mortality? I discuss what National Health Interview Survey data can tell us about these questions in a blog for the University of Minnesota Life Course Center’s new Aging and Health Launchpad. lcc.umn.edu/node/2091
Age and Height: What’s the Relationship? | LIFE COURSE CENTER, AN NIA CENTER ON THE DEMOGRAPHY AND ECONOMICS OF AGING
lcc.umn.edu
Writing a paper introduction is more art than science, but a good formula gets you most of the way there. Today's blog post: a paragraph-by-paragraph template that is used pretty commonly, plus the mistakes I see most often. 🧵 #EconSky deryugina.com/a-two-for-on...
A two-for-one blog post on writing introductions – Tatyana Deryugina
deryugina.com
Hoping to see some of you at the NBER Summer Institute Gender in the Economy meeting tomorrow. I'll be presenting "The Consequences of Faculty Misconduct" (coauthored with Katie Leu) at 1pm ET. www.nber.org/conferences/...
SI 2026 Gender in the Economy
nber.org
I stand by everything I said previously. At least with a major bank I know there is oversight, deposit insurance, and regulation for things like anti-money laundering.
X Money is launching in the US starting today
We're looking for a temporary lecturer in economics of education, labour economics, applied econometrics, for 1 year to cover for parental leave. Apply by August 4: www.ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/...
UCL – University College London
UCL is consistently ranked as one of the top ten universities in the world (QS World University Rankings 2010-2022) and is No.2 in the UK for research power (Research Excellence Framework 2021).
ucl.ac.uk
Happy 🎂William Carter Jenkins b #OTD 1945 (d 17 Feb 2019) The Tuskegee whistle-blower epidemiologist, he was first to publicize the Tuskegee Syphilis Study (“the most unethical study in US history”) in the Drum (an anti-discrimination newsletter). 1/3 🧵
I sound like a broken record, but if you can only do one sanity check before sharing your data, let it be this. Check your rows. 1. Do you have the correct number of cases? 2. Are any cases duplicated or missing? 3. Are the unique identifiers valid? Thank you for your time. 🙏
Missed a MiCDA webinar this year? They're all archived on our YouTube channel: catch up on past sessions on aging and demographic research, including the Schoeni TRENDS Lecture and "Caregiving and Relationship Dynamics" anytime at www.youtube.com/@MiCDA-UMISR
Michigan Center on the Demography of Aging
The Michigan Center on the Demography of Aging (MiCDA) has been a leader in aging-related research for more than 25 years. MiCDA affiliates pioneer the collection of innovative data for study of the d...
youtube.com
ICE is quietly arresting more people than ever. After months of releasing no detention data at all, the new numbers show a record 1,474 arrests a day in early July, the highest daily pace of the entire Trump administration. 🧵 austinkocher.substack.com/p/ice-quietl...
ICE Quietly Arresting More People Than Ever According to Latest Data
NEW DATA ALERT 🚨 After months of data silence, ICE's new numbers show 65,765 people in immigration detention, deportations near 1,250 a day, and arrests now at 1,473 a day.
austinkocher.substack.com
Given the lack of details provided by Taylor Farms thus far, Consumer Reports' food safety experts are advising folks in the 27 states implicated by the recall to discard ALL iceberg lettuce until we know more about where the parasite-linked products ended up www.consumerreports.org/health/food-...
Some of the AQI readings in the northern Midwest and Northeast are downright scary. Stay indoors. If you have asthma or difficulties breathing, consider taking steps to keep yourself safe. Air filtration can make a huge difference.
As air quality reaches record danger levels, resharing this easy DIY kit to make an air purifier out of inexpensive box fans that can clean up to 800 cubic feet per minute— which outperforms many consumer air purifiers at ⅓-⅕ of the cost. engineering.ucdavis.edu/news/science...
I am seeing reports of wildfires, which reminds me that air purifiers and high-fitration masks also work on smoke. However, you need to change your filters regularly, run the air purifiers on all the time, and make sure the masks fit properly on your face.
The United States banned naturalization by ethnically Asian people in 1870. Then it banned entry by ethnically Chinese people in 1882, Japanese in 1908/1924, and almost all other Asians in 1917. Courts clarified these were racial, not geographic bans. Extremist memes will not erase history.
A White House report has defended the 1882 Chinese Exclusion Act, pushing back against its characterization by a Smithsonian Institution exhibit that the law was racially motivated. www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...
The IHGIS data finder has a new topic filter. It's now easier to find the tables you are interested in by filtering on topics such as school enrollment, toilet and bathing facilities, or irrigation. https://data.ihgis.ipums.org/
IHGIS Data Finder
data.ihgis.ipums.org
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