Caroline Krafft

@ckrafftc.bsky.social

Economist, Associate Prof. @ Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota Development/Labor/Education/Gender/ECD/Inequality in the Middle East and North Africa.

This paper shows that immigration enforcement can _increase_ crime. Undocumented immigrants already have the lowest crime rate, but tough-on-immigration policy makes immigrants less likely to report crime. So immigration enforcement worsens the problem it was ostensibly meant to solve

Community Engagement and Public Safety: Evidence from
Crime Enforcement Targeting Immigrantst
By FELIPE GONÇALVES, ELISA JÁCOME, AND EMILY WEISBURST*
We study the role of victim reporting in the production of public safety.
We examine the Secure Communities program, a crime-reduction policy that involved police in detecting unauthorized immigrants and increased deportation fears in immigrant communities. We find that the policy reduced the likelihood that Hispanic victims report crimes to police and increased offending against Hispanics. The number of reported crimes is unchanged, masking these opposing effects. We show that reduced reporting drives the offending increase and provide the first elasticity of offending to victim reporting in the liter-ature, calculating that a 10 percent decline in reporting increases offending by 7.9 percent. (JEL J15, K37, K42)

The evidence from the US, where over more than a decade some states have raised the minimum wage while others have not, is clear. - Statutory MW hikes are effective in raising the wages of the low paid. - No substantial job losses. - Adjustment via higher productivity, prices &/or lower profits

Arin Dube@arindube.bsky.social · 2mo ago

We've been running an unprecedented natural experiment running for a decade and half. 30 states have raised their minimum wages. 20 have not. What happened to pay? What happened to jobs? The good news is that it's pretty easy to figure out now. substack.com/home/post/p-...

A Minnesota religious studies professor is facing six years in prison, with the DOJ saying he is part of an "antifa" conspiracy against ICE Erik Davis speaks out about his prosecution, largely based on a handful of his comments in Signal chats. He's not accused of any violence “It’s petty revenge"

The professor facing prison in ‘antifa’ case: ‘They want to scare all who oppose ICE’

Erik Davis is accused by the government of a ‘conspiracy’ to obstruct ICE – experts say it’s part of a pattern to criminalize lawful organizing and ruin activists’ lives

theguardian.com

I sound like a broken record, but if you can only do one sanity check before sharing your data, let it be this. Check your rows. 1. Do you have the correct number of cases? 2. Are any cases duplicated or missing? 3. Are the unique identifiers valid? Thank you for your time. 🙏

Missed a MiCDA webinar this year? They're all archived on our YouTube channel: catch up on past sessions on aging and demographic research, including the Schoeni TRENDS Lecture and "Caregiving and Relationship Dynamics" anytime at www.youtube.com/@MiCDA-UMISR

Michigan Center on the Demography of Aging

The Michigan Center on the Demography of Aging (MiCDA) has been a leader in aging-related research for more than 25 years. MiCDA affiliates pioneer the collection of innovative data for study of the d...

youtube.com

ICE is quietly arresting more people than ever. After months of releasing no detention data at all, the new numbers show a record 1,474 arrests a day in early July, the highest daily pace of the entire Trump administration. 🧵 austinkocher.substack.com/p/ice-quietl...

ICE Quietly Arresting More People Than Ever According to Latest Data

NEW DATA ALERT 🚨 After months of data silence, ICE's new numbers show 65,765 people in immigration detention, deportations near 1,250 a day, and arrests now at 1,473 a day.

austinkocher.substack.com

I am seeing reports of wildfires, which reminds me that air purifiers and high-fitration masks also work on smoke. However, you need to change your filters regularly, run the air purifiers on all the time, and make sure the masks fit properly on your face.

The United States banned naturalization by ethnically Asian people in 1870. Then it banned entry by ethnically Chinese people in 1882, Japanese in 1908/1924, and almost all other Asians in 1917. Courts clarified these were racial, not geographic bans. Extremist memes will not erase history.

Catherine Rampell@crampell.bsky.social · 3w ago

A White House report has defended the 1882 Chinese Exclusion Act, pushing back against its characterization by a Smithsonian Institution exhibit that the law was racially motivated. www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...