Maria Thürk

@mariathurk.bsky.social

Assistant Professor (TT) Political Science @ Uppsala University | Minority govs and coalitions | Legislative institutions and behavior | Political parties and corruption perceptions | mariathuerk.com

early-career academics, if you don't have a website, make yourself one. yes it's annoying but just do it it can be plain text on a white background, or google sites, or even a free Wix one with ads. nobody cares we just need to be able to look you up, quickly, bc there's like 100 other apps here

Happy to see our new paper on mainstream-to-challenger defection in print! w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social & @aigneranna.bsky.social Check out Denis' summary below! Thanks to @nilssteiner.bsky.social, @conradziller.bsky.social & @ackermannk.bsky.social for organizing this SI! tinyurl.com/5aa9wrmb

First page of the journal article "From the center to the fringes: A comparative test of attitudinal explanations for mainstream-to-challenger defection" by Denis Cohen, Werner Krause, and Anna Aigner, published in Electoral Studies. The page shows the journal head, author affiliations at the University of Mannheim and the University of Potsdam, keywords, a link to the replication dataset, and the full abstract.Dot plot showing net balances of vote switching between mainstream and challenger parties, in percentage points, across 16 west European elections from 1973 to 2025. Each election is a point with a 95% credible interval, ordered left to right from most negative to most positive. Values run from about −6 to +15 points; positive values mean net gains for challengers. German elections are labeled individually and mostly sit between −4 and +4 points. Germany's February 2025 election, highlighted in red, is a clear outlier at nearly +10 points, placing it among the highest in the series alongside the Netherlands 2002, Greece 2012, Denmark 1973, and Italy 1992.
Denis Cohen@denis-cohen.bsky.social · last mo.

📄 New paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social: “From the center to the fringes: A comparative test of attitudinal explanations for mainstream-to-challenger defection” 👥 with @krausewe.bsky.social and @aigneranna.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

Es gibt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Aber es gibt auch Mecklenburg und Vorpommern. Wie wir heute Abend voraussichtlich wieder sehen werden, unterscheiden sich beide Regionen deutlich in ihrem Wahlverhalten. Woher kommen diese Unterschiede? Ein Thread mit Daten aus dem Kaiserreich bis heute. 🧵

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I am so sorry to hear about Torbjörn's passing. He was a great scholar & a genuinely generous person. As one of my MA thesis supervisors, he was the first senior academic who made me feel that my opinions on coalition research were worth taking seriously.My thoughts are with his family & loved ones.

Tim Bale@timbale.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Just heard of the passing of the Swedish political scientist Torbjörn Bergman, with whom I did some work a while back that allowed me to spend a few fab days with him up north in Umeå. He was a great scholar - particularly on coalition politics - and, most importantly, a really lovely bloke. RIP.

Really sad to hear that Torbjörn Bergman passed away. I had the pleasure to meet and to work with him as a junior scholar, and will never forget his kindness and his enthusiasm. This came way too early and my thoughts are with Torbjörn's family and close friends.

Tim Bale@timbale.bsky.social · 3mo ago

Just heard of the passing of the Swedish political scientist Torbjörn Bergman, with whom I did some work a while back that allowed me to spend a few fab days with him up north in Umeå. He was a great scholar - particularly on coalition politics - and, most importantly, a really lovely bloke. RIP.

📢 Job Ad: I am looking for one doctoral researcher (75%) in my newly funded DFG project on misperceptions and factual information on immigration from 1.10. or soon after! 📌 Location: MZES, University of Mannheim 💢 Application Deadline: 21st of July

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Excited to share our new paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @krausewe.bsky.social! Parties polling just below an electoral threshold are far less likely to clear it: a self-fulfilling prophecy that diminishes when polls communicate uncertainty. 🗳️📊 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Werner Krause@krausewe.bsky.social · 5mo ago

New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Image showing the abstract of the paper "Self-Fulfilling Prophecies at the Voting Booth" by Werner Krause and Christina Gahn, published in the Journal of Politics. The abstract describes a quasi-experimental study across 25 countries finding that parties polling just below electoral thresholds are approximately 45 percentage points less likely to clear them, and that this effect diminishes when voters are informed about polling uncertainty.

Does far-right legislative representation change the descriptive make-up of candidate lists among mainstream parties? Using a RDD with registry data from Sweden, this paper led by @grahn.bsky.social provides an answer doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

Does far-right legislative entry affect minority candidate diversity? | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core

Does far-right legislative entry affect minority candidate diversity?

doi.org