@middecon.bsky.social's colleagues Germán Reyes and Zara Contractor were featured in the Addison County Independent for their research on AI: www.addisonindependent.com/2026/06/25/r...
Research at Middlebury reveals nuanced story about AI use | Addison Independent
addisonindependent.com
Minor rant about the AEA/J-PAL RCT Registry. (@aeajournals.bsky.social @j-pal.bsky.social). I've received pushback (and heard similar stories from others) when trying to register pre-analysis plans for experiments that don't fit neatly into a treatment/control framework. 1/
New @nber.org WP out this week with @caitlinmyers.bsky.social and @dmunro.bsky.social ! Playing it Safe: The Effect of Abortion Restrictions on Sexual Behavior A 🧵… www.nber.org/papers/w35333
Playing it Safe? The Effect of Abortion Bans on Sexual Behavior
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
nber.org
Administration is stumbling towards a debacle. Millions of U.S. businesses & local govts use the threatened data to make better investment decisions. It's like gouging out our own eyes for no reason. www.npr.org/2026/06/12/n...
Two @middecon.bsky.social colleagues, @caitlinmyers.bsky.social and @dmunro.bsky.social, join formidable forces in this NBER WP. www.nber.org/papers/w35333
Playing it Safe? The Effect of Abortion Bans on Sexual Behavior
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
nber.org
We are not angry enough--a whistleblower provided evidence a DOGE brat stole social sec data & sold it to a Palantir contractor. Our data is used to sell services back to the govt at taxpayer expense for big profits. That is OUR data. Instead of investigating the whisteblower is threatened 😠
Don Moynihan@donmoyn.bsky.social · 4mo agoTerror and retribution are a core part of how the Trump administration has governed. DOGE whistleblower had threatening note taped to his door and his brakes cut after Elon Musk accused him of lying. www.wired.com/story/he-ble...
Scott Pelley has provided @status.news a statement blasting current CBS News management and even accusing them of having tried (and failed) to "inject falsehoods and bias" into his stories. www.status.news/p/scott-pell...
Finished a fun short paper looking at early warning signs of recessions, focusing on unemploy. claims data. Claims often to signal downturns earlier, particularly initial claims (i.e. displacements). Project digitizes weekly claims data back to 1940s, hope others can use it! doi.org/10.1016/j.ec...
I'm the AI pessimist. @causalinf.bsky.social is the AI optimist. Season 5 of The Mixtape — The Odd Couple — is us doing real economics research live, on air, using Claude Code. Come for the causal inference. Stay for the existential dread. causalinf.substack.com/p/the-mixtap...
The Mixtape with Scott (Featuring Caitlin Myers) Season 5: Episode 1 of The Odd Couple!
It’s like The View if The View had two economists staring at a terminal.
causalinf.substack.com
For those in the neighborhood, @willhpyle.bsky.social will give the next talk in the 2025/26 Carol Rifelj Faculty Lecture Series on Wednesday at 4:30 p.m. in Hillcrest 103. The topic is Russian Public Opinion, the War in Ukraine, and the Lingering Effects of the Soviet Collapse.
Never underestimate the quest for knowledge no matter how irrelevant it may seem in the moment If I hadn’t gone to a public university, I honestly wouldn’t have ever bothered to watch a basketball game. But now? “Boxing out” is a top ten skills for boarding public transportation
Here is Sharyn Alfonsi’s email to her ‘60 Minutes’ colleagues in full:
It's wild to me that the profession, macro in particular, essentially ignored Larry's role in laying the foundations for the 2008 crisis. Their dismissal of Brooksley Born's warning is also dripping with sexism, so par for the course. @akhilrao.bsky.social www.pbs.org/video/frontl...
FRONTLINE | "The Warning" - Preview | Season 2009 | Episode 14
Long before the meltdown, one woman tried to warn about a threat to the financial system.
pbs.org
Since we don't yet have new official claims data, my last (?) rogue report (I missed last week!), for week ending Nov. 1st. CC increased 20k (SA) or 7k (NSA) last week.
The @financialtimes.com suggests US drew $900 million worth of SDRs from its (~$170 billion) account at the IMF and transferred them to Argentina so Argentina could make a scheduled debt repayment to the IMF. on.ft.com/4oBeQMm
US drew $900mn from IMF account as Argentina debt payment loomed
Buenos Aires’s reserves rose by the same margin as Washington seeks to bolster Javier Milei’s government
on.ft.com
Every month for the last 77 years, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has estimated Americans' unemployment rate This streak dies tomorrow Govt staff could not survey Americans about whether they're working or looking for work in Oct, the 1st time in 934 months This blind spot will remain forever
Aaron Sojourner@aaronsojourner.org · 11mo agoHere's the planned BLS data release schedule for Nov 2025. On Tues, it couldn't release Sept job openings, hires, layoffs and firings data. This morning, it couldn't release 2025Q3 business Productivity and Costs data. Tomorrow, it can't release Oct 2025 #JobsReport www.bls.gov/schedule/202...
Week #5 Rogue Unemployment Report, Halloween Edition 🎃 (hoping we won't have a Christmas Edition...). Data up to week ending Oct. 18th. Insured Unemployment ticked up slightly: +34k or 2.2% (NSA), +28k or 1.5% (SA)
Week #4 Rogue Unemployment Report (compiled from state data). Insured Unemployment relatively steady (+18k or 1.2% (NSA). -6k or -0.3% (SA). (excl. CO, MA, TN, not reported yet)
Government of the scammer, by the scammer, for the scammer
FinTwitter@fintwitter.bsky.social · 11mo agoU.S. PRESIDENT TRUMP PARDONS BINANCE CRYPTO FOUNDER ZHAO - WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL
Week #3 Rogue Unemployment Report: Insured unemployment (Continued Claims) (excl. AZ, MA, NV, TN: not reported yet) declined by 8k (SA), so pretty steady.
In the United States. Not another country. Happening right now.
Nick Kristof@nickkristof.bsky.social · 12mo agoIn Portland, an ambulance was summoned to the ICE office to treat an injured protester (not clear how he was injured). But when the patient was loaded inside, ICE officers refused to let the ambulance leave and threatened to shoot the ambulance driver: www.wweek.com/news/2025/10...
Three big announcements concerning new data from the AEA on the #EconJobMarket First, there are now live dashboards on AEA JOE that show the # of jobs listed on JOE each week, with comparisons to recent years. These will be updated weekly. www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/co... #EconSky 1/many
JOE Openings by Week - Pre-ASSA
aeaweb.org
Did DOGE save us $2 trillion? “Not even close. .. Total spending excluding interest rose $220 billion, or 4%, for the entire fiscal year.” 🤡 @wsj.com www.wsj.com/economy/tari...
Trump’s tariffs won’t deliver many jobs on.ft.com/4ncOgYN | opinion
Trump’s tariffs won’t deliver many jobs
Nostalgia is not a strategy: the past cannot return
on.ft.com
New post, I finally wrote my thoughts on the Stephen Miran Federal Reserve speech. I think it shows yet another reason for central bank independence. Without it, you can't tell what's a genuine outsider take and what's just carrying water for the Executive. mikekonczal.substack.com/p/mirans-cas...
Miran’s Case for Cuts: A Reminder of Why Independence is Essential
Stephen Miran's recent speech highlights not just a debate over r*, but the deeper risks of allowing White House talking points to shape monetary policy.
mikekonczal.substack.com
@stlouisfed.bsky.social Modest suggestion for FRED: can you add a sort by "time series length" option? When teaching I often like to show long time series. When I sort by "observation start" I often have to wade through pages of time series that start early but end in, e.g., 1948.
When Minneapolis dramatically reduced zoning restrictions home prices fell 16-34% and rents fell 17.5-34%. Powerful stuff. Technical details in great research below.
David Munro@dmunro.bsky.social · last yr.🚨 Excited to share a new working paper with an exceptional former student of mine, Helena Gu. The paper looks at the impact of one of the largest zoning reforms in US history: the Minneapolis 2040 plan. We find significant impacts on home prices: (1/N) ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/glodps...
