I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.

Open letter to the PM on Rosebank & Jackdaw oil and gas fields, covered in the Guardian: www.theguardian.com/environment/... Full letter here: climateuncensored.com/letter-to-th...

New drilling isn't just a catastrophic signal of us stepping back from our climate commitments, it also runs against the geological reality of an almost depleted resource. Our focus should be on cheap, clean fuel for the future - not propping up oil and gas. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Burnham to Back North Sea Oil and Take Control of Thames Water

Within days of taking office incoming prime minister Andy Burnham is preparing to announce new drilling for oil and gas in the North Sea as well as taking public control of Thames Water.

bloomberg.com

🔎 How to use LLMs to analyze news coverage? @fdabl.bsky.social, postdoc at @seven-uva.bsky.social, presented to us research conducted with @jmbh.bsky.social and Simon Wimmer as part of the Climate Media Lab on how media cover climate change, which also employed a new LLM-based methodology.

Should scientists advocate for climate action? Our new review @plosclimate.org finds there is no single answer. The effects of scientist advocacy depend heavily on context, including who is speaking, what they are advocating for, and who is listening. Open access: journals.plos.org/climate/arti...

🔥 Material life satisfaction increases willingness to engage in costly climate action @maiensachis.bsky.social, @jmbh.bsky.social, & I use causally informed regression models to estimate the effect of life satisfaction on climate action in a large Dutch sample (N = 22,749): osf.io/preprints/ps...

You can get to a high-warming world without high emissions . That's the part of this week's "RCP 8.5 is implausible" discussion that's getting missed. A short thread on why the relief is premature 🧵

🚨 Climate change coverage in The Guardian In a new preprint, Simon Wimmer, @jmbh.bsky.social, and I analyzed over 18,000 articles about climate change in @theguardian.com (2010-2025) using large language models 🧵 🔗 Link: osf.io/preprints/so...

Octavia E. Butler, 1998:

⭐NEW PAPER ⭐ We collaborated with AWorld, the largest app for personal climate action, to examine behavioral patterns, data quality, and the links between users' actions, carbon footprints and psychological factors. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1... @fdabl.bsky.social @cameronbrick.bsky.social

What a stunning demonstration of how data centre development is directly and materially boosting fossil fuels. After ferocious lobbying the Carney government caved and killed off environmental rules to allow fossil gas power plants to be built for data centres: thewalrus.ca/after-intens...

1/ Yesterday @wmo-global.bsky.social made Earth's Energy Imbalance a headline #climate indicator for the first time. I think this could be a significant reframing of climate discourse, and it's worth paying close attention to why. 🧵

Even in a world of extremes, some events still stand out to me. This is one. All-time monthly records are being shattered. The size of this ridge across the western U.S. is truly striking for March, and we see a very clear climate change connection. Explore: csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shif...

We recently published a report from a project at SEVEN, in which we used group model building to map the systems shaping home insulation and shifting electricity use away from peak hours in the Netherlands: seven.uva.nl/en/content/n... It also highlights something broader about behaviour change 🧵

🚨 Techno-optimism reduces willingness to address climate change 🚨 In a new preprint, @maiensachis.bsky.social, @fdabl.bsky.social, and I examined the causal effect of techno-optimist beliefs on the willingness to contribute to addressing climate change. 🔗 Read the paper: lnkd.in/eE847_jK

How do scientists balance science with protest? My new piece for @theconversation.com, explores how scientists transition into activism and sustain their engagement. This is based on my recently published ethnographic paper journals.plos.org/climate/arti... theconversation.com/how-climate-...

How climate scientists balance the tension between research and public protest – new study

Researchers said they tried to manage how their activism was perceived by clarifying their expertise and acting alongside other scientists.

theconversation.com

No one trains teachers for this part of the job. Watch The Hardest Lesson - a short film about what it's really like to teach during a #climate crisis. Not the facts. The feelings. The silence. The responsibility. www.youtube.com/watch?v=4H-5...

The Hardest Lesson | Climate Majority Project

The one lesson he's afraid to teach. Watch. Discuss. Act. Use our Discussion Guide to start a conversation in your classroom, community, or home:…

youtube.com

Important new @annualreviews.bsky.social review on #AMOC collapse. 🌊⚠️ 🔗 www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... Here are 8 key takeaways from Dijkstra & van Westen (2026) on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and its risks. 👇🧵

Status of the most recent monthly-averaged greenhouse gases including carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. Observational data provided by gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/

Speaker Spotlight: Rachel Donald How can we make sense of a world shaped by interlocking crises? Where in the world can we find stories and places already modeling the changes we need? We're excited to have @racheldonald.bsky.social help us tackle these questions! ⏳ Apply until Jan 26: acscc.nl

Speaker Spotlight: Kristian Nielsen How do individual behavior change & broader systems change interact? How can behavioral science realize its full potential to address climate change? We're excited to have @kristiansn89.bsky.social help us tackle these questions! ⏳ Apply until Jan 26: acscc.nl

Speaker Spotlight: Julia Steinberger How can societies ensure decent living for all while staying within planetary boundaries? We are excited to have @jksteinberger.bsky.social as an ACSCC keynote speaker to address this critical question. ⏳ Apply until Jan 26 at acscc.nl

Stephen Miller goes on a rant defending Trump's imperialist aggression against Venezuela: "We’re a superpower… we are going to conduct ourselves as a superpower." Jake Tapper: "I don't even know what you're talking about right now."

Just a few things I'd like to say about this @hausfath.bsky.social piece. The first is that every 10th of a degree of heating over 2C raises risks for multiple irreversible catastrophes MORE than every 10th of a degree of heating under 2C. That's why the 2C target exists. It's not random. 🧵

Zeke Hausfather@zekehausfather.com · 7mo ago

In the era of affordability politics, making clean energy cheaper may be a more viable emissions mitigation strategy than making dirty energy more expensive. My latest over at The Climate Brink digs into the debate:

Eyes wide open, folks. They're revealing the supervillain plot.

This one is resonating today. #Andor

What better way to end 2025 than getting our paper published in Global Environmental Change 🥳💚 We studied perceptions of the feasibility of climate-relevant behavior change and how these perceptions connect to income differences and climate policy support. Let me tell you all about it🧵👇

On the 10th Anniversary of the Paris Agreement, you’re going to hear a lot about the progress we’ve made — people saying we “are” heading to 2.5 degrees heating instead of four. I deeply regret to tell you that this is complacent misinformation. 🧵

🚨 Mapping climate change coverage In a new preprint, Simon Wimmer, @jmbh.bsky.social, and I analyzed over 50,000 articles about climate change from major German newspapers across the political spectrum (2010-2024) using large language models 🧵 🔗 Link: osf.io/preprints/so...