@ferguson-k.bsky.social

We're six weeks out and Trump is under 35% approval. I think it is safe to say that we're firmly in 2006 territory, and an even bigger wave than 2006 is on the table. We haven't felt the end of the fuel shock, and who knows how Trump will attempt to make himself the center of attention.

Bild

Like Tom in the 90s cult comedy classic PCU, Trump is speed running pissing off every constituency in the whole world that didn’t already despise him: Farmers US Military US Oil producers Small businesses Canadians Europeans Africans KSA, UAE, etc US legal immigrants US Hispanic population

In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.

Massive primary turnout points to biggest year for Democrats since Watergate

There’s a remarkably close correlation between the primary vote and the House popular vote

the-downballot.com

And it's not even because I personally care about the film/TV industry (I do, and this is an apocalyptic turn for that industry). It's because this is part of a massive right-wing media consolidation project, akin to Orban's takeover in Hungary, and any Dem helping that project is an enemy. Period.

You read that right: Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar will, thanks to the approval of Trump's FCC, own 49.5% of Paramount Warner Brothers, and CBS, and CNN. One of many things to keep in mind when you cast your vote in the next six weeks.

Conditions don't work to fix the problems caused by media consolidation, especially at the hands of authoritarian zealots. They rarely are meaningful or consistently enforced. this is why, as they say, we can't have nice things

Paramount and state AGs will settle lawsuit, allowing Warner Bros. merger to proceed, reports say

The antitrust lawsuit threatened to delay Paramount's acquisition until mid-2027 and to cost the company hundreds of millions of dollars in fees.

cnbc.com

Using AI chatbots to address financial questions could risk large losses, with models from a range of providers giving wrong answers most of the time. The most popular AI models from ChatGPT, Claude, Copilot, Grok and Gemini provided wrong answers to financial queries 57% of the time on average.

AI chatbots give wrong answers to financial queries ‘most of the time’

Report finds some chatbots ignored upcoming tax changes and hallucinated rules

ft.com

Eye popping. Court just unsealed Summary Judgment motions in New York Times v OpenAI / Microsoft. Easy to see why the AI companies had so many redactions (pink). Their own people wrote the lede for NYT, the "largest theft of labor in human history"... "more and more substitutive..." /1

Bild

“A senior executive at Microsoft said A.I. systems built on the work of others will be seen as ‘an astonishing theft of unprecedented proportions’ and possibly the greatest robbery of labor in human history, according to court documents unredacted Thursday in an ongoing Manhattan lawsuit.”

Docs in A.I. copyright suit reveal startling admission by Microsoft exec over ‘astonishing theft’

The admission appeared in a newly unredacted filing in the landmark copyright infringement legal battle playing out between newspapers like the Orlando Sentinel and tech companies Microsoft and OpenAI...

orlandosentinel.com

🚨 BREAKING — The Supreme Court will not allow the Trump administration to enforce new nationwide mail-ballot restrictions. The new USPS rules will not be in effect for the November midterms.

Just so we all understand the play here. Release initial polls showing Senate Dem candidates with modest leads. Release more in coming weeks showing the races "tightening," and their candidate gaining and ours losing ground. It's 2022 red wave, redux. No one should fall for it this time.

Bild

I saw a post earlier saying I need to integrate AI into my workflow as an artist or I'll be left behind. Sure I've seen dozens of posts like this before, but I'm really seriously thinking about it now and I am at a total loss as to what it would possibly do to improve my work.

Senate polling update, per Nate Silver: ALASKA 🔵 +1.2% FLORIDA 🔴 +5.3% GEORGIA 🔵 +8.4% IOWA ⚪ +0.0% (TIED) KANSAS 🔴 +3.6% MAINE 🔵 +4.0% MICHIGAN 🔵 +2.9% MINNESOTA 🔵 +4.8% NORTH CAROLINA 🔵 +8.7% NEBRASKA 🔴 +0.9% NEW HAMPSHIRE 🔵 +3.1% OHIO 🔵 +4.1% TEXAS 🔵 +2.4% GENERIC BALLOT 🔵 +8.1%

Money that comes into the United States government is government revenue. It is part of the public fisc. There's not "taxpayer money" and then "extra bonus money outside the rules." It's all taxpayer money. And spending *any* of it requires Congressional authorization. 2/

On the morning of September 11, 2001, I stood with a face full of shaving cream smearing the phone as I reassured my brother-in-law in Japan that my wife was in the other Tower. Her family were worried over the breaking news they were getting from across the Pacific. We watched together ... 1/

🧵🧵🧵Here's a thread with 10 questions the news media should ask Republicans at their “Trumpapalooza” convention in Dallas this Wednesday and Thursday. 1. Did you avoid driving to Dallas because gas is too expensive, or did you avoid flying because airfares are up so much?

Photo of Republicans at a past convention