gelbach
@gelbach.bsky.social
Expert provider of lay opinions, and also of Duo push approvals. Day job: Herman F. Selvin Professor of Law at UC Berkeley Law. Opinions my own, not intended to represent UC's. Formerly economics professor at Maryland and Arizona
Recently graduated with your doctorate in statistics, econometrics, or a related discipline? Interested in being in an environment supportive of open source software? Then this position (careers.pageuppeople.com/513/cw/en/jo...) might be for you, and we want you! #rstats 🐨🦘
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Upwards of 200,00 people may have lost their jobs today; or will in the upcoming days. There is a palpable sense of fear among the Haitian community right now. They need your support.
My Haitian friend was just fired from his job. "They said I don't have a legal status now." This is likely happening to hundreds of thousands of people across this country today. Sick.
Feel like you could get a pretty good spiral with a baguette
Finally, someone asking the important questions
My coworkers are like family to me. We don’t enjoy spending time together or have much in common
CBS News is actually doing a pretty good job of debunking pretty much everything Trump said.
Reinert on Bivens’ Lasting Legacy Alex Reinert (Yeshiva University – Benjamin N. Cardozo School of Law) has posted Bivens’ Lasting Legacy…...
Reinert on Bivens’ Lasting Legacy
Alex Reinert (Yeshiva University – Benjamin N. Cardozo School of Law) has posted Bivens’ Lasting Legacy, 106 B.U. L. Rev. (forthcoming 2026) on SSRN. Here is the abstract: Bivens liability, we are told by the Supreme Court and federal courts scholars, is dying, if it has not passed away already. The evidence is all around us, with the most recent illustration the Supreme Court’s summary reversal, without dissent, on June 30, 2025, in Goldey v.
legaltheoryblog.com
Every headline, like this one from @apnews.com, should leave no doubt that he is full of shit. apnews.com/article/trum...
Trump will speak on elections in primetime address after pushing debunked conspiracies
President Donald Trump will deliver a primetime address this week that he says will include a focus on elections.
apnews.com
Whoa whoa whoa … Do you mean to tell me that striking a deal with Donald J. Trump does *not* buy you everlasting peace?? Surely no one could have foreseen this! Certainly not lawyers who get paid millions to make deals for a living!
Trump Administration Subpoenas Law Firms, Escalating Pressure Campaign (Gift Article)
The uneasy truce between the administration and the law firms it cut deals with last year has erupted into a pitched legal battle behind closed doors.
nytimes.com
Did he make a mistake when he shutdown the federal investigation of Renee Good? That seems pretty intentional to me. Did he make a mistake when he left unredacted names of Epstein victims in the production, but made sure to cover the names of their predators? That seems pretty intentional to me.
The con job begins for the next 72 hours. We’ve seen this drill before.
This right here. I am economically WAY far to the right of the standard Democratic Party establishment centrist but because I actually mean my liberal views, in 2026 and 2028 I will support an anti-Trumpism fighter even if they’re a socialist. Of course I’d be happier with centrist fighters.
what i’m puzzled by is he absolutely refuses to separate the ideology axis from the intensity axis. moderate ideology + fighter is plausibly the winningest combination right now but he advocates against fighters and for folders as such and declines to see the difference when it’s said right to him
For too long, many young children with disabilities had to travel across the city to get the education they deserve. Now, they won't have to. This is just the beginning. Our administration won't stop until every child has what they need to grow.
Universal childcare needs to be truly universal. Today, we took a huge step toward this vision with a $67.5 million investment in high-quality Special Education programs — coming to all five boroughs this fall.
The tragedies in Houston and Maine are the predictable result of a system that’s allowed ICE to operate with little accountability and few safeguards. Every worker, no matter where they're born, should be able to work with dignity and return home safely.
This is I believe the third incident where ICE has gone to arrest people, they flee, and someone is hit by a car or other vehicle and dies. In this case, ICE officers went to question some people at a gas station, they panicked, and one of them ran into the road and was hit by a truck.
NEW: A 28-year-old man died Tuesday morning following an encounter with Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Homeland Security Investigations agents in St. Augustine, marking the third death involving ICE in a week.
Horrible day. ICE is preparing a deportation flight to Laos so some of my former, current, and were-to-be clients are being brought to the Whipple Building and shipped off to Louisiana for final removal. Lots of calls from them, their families, and friends. So much pain visited on our community
Officers shooting a man, running away from law enforcement, who is not a target of law enforcement, and who poses no threat to law enforcement, is murder. Federal officers do not have the power to commit summary executions because they are aggrieved.
It took DHS 12 hours to come up with this statement, And the best they could come up with is that ICE shot and killed an unarmed man who didn’t present a threat to the agents. They know they fucked this one up. And it’ll be up to state and local prosecutors—not the feds—to make the case
ICE is beyond repairing. We can't reform our way out of this. Strip it down to the studs and start over.
This morning in Biddeford, Maine, a 26-year-old man said goodbye to his wife and daughter and left for work. Moments later he was dead, shot in the head by ICE agents, the second man ICE has killed in six days. ICE is killing our neighbors. ICE cannot be reformed. Abolish ICE.
A half century on, Yglesias has discovered the Lucas critique
A real difficulty for political science as a discipline is that practitioners read the papers (or at least journalistic summaries of the papers) and change their behavior based on their shifting understanding of how things work, which in turn changes how things work.
come work with us! we are nerds but we are fun!!! www.lawfaremedia.org/article/come...
Come Work With Us—As Our New Associate Editor!
The Lawfare Institute—publisher of information and insight at the intersection of national security, law and policy—seeks a motivated full-time associate editor based in Washington, D.C.
lawfaremedia.org
a sign remembering Lorenzo Salgado Araujo at Alex Pretti’s memorial 📍Whittier, Mpls
“We have a weird machine which uses language exactly like a human, ‘thinks’ sorta like a human (maybe), and does not reason like a human at all, but which is easily capable of solving problems humans do think and reason about” is The Most Interesting Question Ever for a half-dozen different fields!
this is absolutely my hobbyhorse but nothing I've seen yet has convinced me that we do a good job of evaluating how the sort of solution manifold of LLMs diverges from that of humans and that strikes me as so much more important than pure performance
It can't be easy to walk away from a job but we should be grateful when civil servants decide their oath to the Constitution really means something
MS NOW: Two Atlanta-based FBI intelligence analysts were fired last week after refusing to participate in the Trump admin's investigation of Georgia's 2020 election. The analysts told colleagues they did not believe the investigation was justified under FBI and DOJ policies.
Thank you to these public servants for standing up for the rule of law against abuse of public power.
“.. The analysts, a husband and wife, told colleagues they did not believe the investigation was justified under FBI and Justice Department policies, the people said, adding that the couple was escorted out of their office ..” @ms.now www.ms.now/news/fbi-kas...
In 1970, the 5th grade students at Hawthorne School in Beverly Hills were assigned to write to someone they admired and ask what makes a good citizen. Joel Lipton, then 10 years old, wrote to Peanuts creator Charles M. Schulz. Schulz's response is relevant even today: